Realized P&L
+$755
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
94.6%
Resolved
967
Trades
1,706
lifetime
Volume
$656.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$385
Open exposure
$56
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-06 19:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 186 days
Categories
Crypto
93% 80% +$821
Politics
5% 71% +$99
Other
2% 69% -$196
Sports
0% 81% +$21
Tech
0% 100% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +13 $10 99¢ $13 +$3 04-29 05:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 06-01 07:42
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 05-31 07:18
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-02 08:22
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +10 $10 94¢ $10 $0 05-03 03:53
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +28 $10 4¢ $1 -$9 07-16 07:10
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +14 $10 3¢ $0 -$10 05-23 07:33
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes -14 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 10-06 19:43