Realized P&L (90d)
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
83.3%
Resolved (90d)
6
Trades (90d)
1
1,706 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$0
$656.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$385
Open exposure
$43
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-06 19:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 187 days
Categories
Crypto
93% 80% +$821
Politics
5% 71% +$99
Other
2% 69% -$196
Sports
0% 82% +$24
Tech
0% 100% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +11 $10 97¢ $11 +$1 06-01 07:42
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 06-02 08:22
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 05-31 07:18
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 $0 05-03 03:53
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +28 $10 1¢ $0 -$10 07-16 07:10
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes -14 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 10-06 19:43
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +14 $10 1¢ $0 -$10 05-23 07:33