Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on May 16?
open
Total volume
$2,047
$10 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$2,315
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 16:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $589 | $589 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $18 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $1 | $508 | $507 |
| Median | 14 | — | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Below median | 6 | $13 | $201 | $188 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 2 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icy-Footprint 0xcd54…5749 | Yes | +667 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 15:31 |
| Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | +509 | $508 | $508 | 3 | 05-15 09:34 |
| Nervous-Dresser 0x442f…e80f | Yes | +376 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 21:37 |
| Unequaled-Ton 0x7c63…93d4 | Yes | +357 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 21:37 |
| Genuine-Larva 0x404f…f2a1 | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-15 07:19 |
| Suburban-Lap 0x71b6…3804 | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 05-16 01:56 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +194 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 02:53 |
| Exhausted-Frost 0x2e9d…e9f4 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-16 16:01 |
| Austere-Literate-Pound 0xbda2…97eb | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-16 16:01 |
| Tame-Skirt 0x31de…03ff | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-16 16:01 |
| Rectangular-List 0xef5f…3d94 | No | +150 | $149 | $149 | 1 | 05-16 16:01 |
| Avaricious-Boudoir 0x66db…9f07 | No | +94 | $94 | $94 | 3 | 05-16 01:53 |
| Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | +61 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-14 21:37 |
| Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-16 14:29 |
| Pesky-Thong 0x875e…e6b5 | No | +36 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-16 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xba6e…e245 | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 15:51 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-15 11:47 |
| Lumpy-Victory 0x0eeb…c424 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-16 00:38 |
| Punctual-Drama 0x5f88…881a | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 08:31 |
| Some-Supernatural 0xcf42…20df | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 00:08 |
| Unused-Commitment 0xd3a1…3e80 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 15:27 |
| Wild-Deputy 0x708b…e937 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 21:37 |
| Mundane-Currency 0x5451…6f23 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 10:30 |
| Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 22:18 |
| Wan-Protein 0x8493…2cff | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 09:49 |
| Green-Passage-Salsa 0x11ab…3aea | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 13:52 |
| Curly-Prize 0x2713…f2c7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 02:20 |
| Idolized-Radiator 0xaaad…565e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 13:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 16:01:11 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | SELL | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x976a10… |
| 05-16 16:01:07 | Pesky-Thong 0x875e…e6b5 | No | BUY | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0x989f82… |
| 05-16 16:01:07 | Rectangular-List 0xef5f…3d94 | No | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $149 | 0xc3dd0a… |
| 05-16 16:01:07 | Tame-Skirt 0x31de…03ff | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x4c2b0b… |
| 05-16 16:01:07 | Austere-Literate-Pound 0xbda2…97eb | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x636516… |
| 05-16 16:01:07 | Exhausted-Frost 0x2e9d…e9f4 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x7499e2… |
| 05-16 15:51:23 | (anonymous) 0xba6e…e245 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2316db… |
| 05-16 15:31:50 | Icy-Footprint 0xcd54…5749 | Yes | BUY | 667 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x400429… |
| 05-16 15:27:45 | Unused-Commitment 0xd3a1…3e80 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xe38ded… |
| 05-16 15:24:54 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x581b7d… |
| 05-16 15:11:41 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe5c993… |
| 05-16 14:29:41 | Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0xe03ed6… |
| 05-16 13:52:16 | Green-Passage-Salsa 0x11ab…3aea | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5087db… |
| 05-16 13:49:58 | Idolized-Radiator 0xaaad…565e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbf4983… |
| 05-16 13:46:17 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5ad54… |
| 05-16 10:30:45 | Mundane-Currency 0x5451…6f23 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe1ecf1… |
| 05-16 08:31:35 | Punctual-Drama 0x5f88…881a | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x78a15a… |
| 05-16 01:56:20 | Suburban-Lap 0x71b6…3804 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x857463… |
| 05-16 01:55:51 | Suburban-Lap 0x71b6…3804 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xbfc392… |
| 05-16 01:53:18 | Avaricious-Boudoir 0x66db…9f07 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x5390ec… |
| 05-16 01:52:45 | Avaricious-Boudoir 0x66db…9f07 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x20f06e… |
| 05-16 01:50:57 | Avaricious-Boudoir 0x66db…9f07 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xdc0e3e… |
| 05-16 00:38:42 | Lumpy-Victory 0x0eeb…c424 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x6d367d… |
| 05-16 00:08:57 | Some-Supernatural 0xcf42…20df | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x504353… |
| 05-15 23:04:00 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4abc55… |
| 05-15 22:18:44 | Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x072120… |
| 05-15 21:58:47 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc989a0… |
| 05-15 11:47:13 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x543c9e… |
| 05-15 09:34:23 | Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | BUY | 110 | 100¢ | $109 | 0xa63598… |
| 05-15 08:34:27 | Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | BUY | 377 | 100¢ | $376 | 0x39da49… |
| 05-15 07:19:45 | Genuine-Larva 0x404f…f2a1 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x51a1fa… |
| 05-15 05:44:26 | Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x7b2f2e… |
| 05-15 02:58:29 | Elementary-Wallaby 0xb77e…15b6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x37ab79… |
| 05-15 02:53:14 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 194 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x52dead… |
| 05-15 02:20:30 | Curly-Prize 0x2713…f2c7 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb88070… |
| 05-14 21:37:32 | Unequaled-Ton 0x7c63…93d4 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x9e1a47… |
| 05-14 21:37:30 | Wild-Deputy 0x708b…e937 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x3750dc… |
| 05-14 21:37:25 | Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x518196… |
| 05-14 21:37:21 | Nervous-Dresser 0x442f…e80f | Yes | BUY | 376 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x53ee50… |
| 05-14 11:44:59 | Unequaled-Ton 0x7c63…93d4 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xf06ccb… |
| 05-14 09:49:43 | Wan-Protein 0x8493…2cff | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x738cec… |