Tender-Scarf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$2.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-09 23:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 100% +$0

Other

25% — —

Sports

9% 100% +$0

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ice cream man score at least 25 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173450583	4	$92	46	46	+0	open	—	08-09 23:18
ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	4	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	07-26 00:56
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	07-27 07:05
will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	07-27 00:08
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	05-15 14:05
bitcoin above 70k on july 30 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	07-29 19:33
will josh hader be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533473	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	08-04 02:23
ethereum above 2100 on august 1 2026	2	$51	25	25	+0	open	—	08-01 07:15
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	2	$51	25	25	+0	open	—	07-31 03:33
will bitcoin reach 70k july 27 august 2 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	08-02 00:50
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	4	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	07-30 22:44
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in july 2026 20260626153701908	3	$47	23	23	+0	open	—	07-31 19:42
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	08-07 01:30
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	2	$45	22	22	+0	open	—	07-19 23:12
will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	08-09 16:23
will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	07-19 23:16
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	02-05 23:06
will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	07-31 18:44
will bitcoin reach 68k on july 19	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	07-19 23:18
will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	08-09 20:04
solana above 90 on july 22 2026	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	07-22 03:53
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 31?	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	05-30 23:10
sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	07-30 08:33
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	05-20 03:51
will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	3	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	07-26 05:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-24 12:53
will ethereum dip to 1500 july 20 26 2026	2	$31	15	15	+0	open	—	07-26 02:19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-26 09:24
bitcoin above 60k on august 5 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	08-05 06:37
ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	07-12 16:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 23:18:31	will ice cream man score at least 25 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173450583	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x084f00…
08-09 23:08:49	will ice cream man score at least 25 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173450583	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xd44ea6…
08-09 22:57:30	will ice cream man score at least 25 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173450583	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7b6a73…
08-09 22:06:18	will ice cream man score at least 25 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173450583	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x73d476…
08-09 20:04:58	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x444dfa…
08-09 16:23:12	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7f9538…
08-09 13:48:24	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb464e1…
08-08 16:49:58	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8ee82b…
08-07 01:30:36	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x3a8760…
08-06 20:20:20	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4bdcd7…
08-05 06:37:44	bitcoin above 60k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5092e4…
08-04 02:23:05	will josh hader be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533473	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x83fe19…
08-03 04:09:59	will josh hader be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533473	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5823ec…
08-02 22:14:27	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x23da9a…
08-02 20:08:08	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9ce65…
08-02 00:50:11	will bitcoin reach 70k july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xce7171…
08-02 00:28:56	will bitcoin reach 70k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x94d0d0…
08-01 07:19:47	will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcbe851…
08-01 07:15:26	ethereum above 2100 on august 1 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x8887bc…
08-01 03:59:38	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 30 by july 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x242458…
08-01 01:03:39	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 30 by july 31	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa5ef75…
08-01 00:13:53	will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6493e…
07-31 22:10:17	ethereum above 2100 on august 1 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x07fcca…
07-31 19:42:56	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in july 2026 20260626153701908	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf14d58…
07-31 18:44:06	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb8e664…
07-31 18:10:50	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1917bd…
07-31 15:28:56	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 30 by july 31	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x287445…
07-31 12:56:21	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in july 2026 20260626153701908	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x73a9be…
07-31 11:37:44	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc157f0…
07-31 10:58:35	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xeb3178…
07-31 05:15:57	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in july 2026 20260626153701908	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe62d21…
07-31 03:33:21	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd974cf…
07-30 22:59:39	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x94eb0b…
07-30 22:44:29	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2df771…
07-30 19:01:12	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3a149d…
07-30 08:39:47	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe436c5…
07-30 08:36:44	ethereum above 1600 on july 30 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x654e25…
07-30 08:35:15	bitcoin above 56k on july 30 2026	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf34393…
07-30 08:33:48	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x69403d…
07-30 06:21:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2d2753…
07-30 05:28:35	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3c2e68…
07-29 19:33:21	bitcoin above 70k on july 30 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xc55a3e…
07-29 17:56:38	bitcoin above 56k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc1dbac…
07-29 16:31:12	ethereum above 1600 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ec7d2…
07-29 08:51:08	bitcoin above 70k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf403d2…
07-28 22:20:56	solana above 80 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x14ed9b…
07-27 07:05:07	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xfe10b8…
07-27 05:48:21	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe040a1…
07-27 00:08:57	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x8ad342…
07-26 20:27:18	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x63dee3…
07-26 05:51:58	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x960b87…
07-26 05:39:51	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf3b02f…
07-26 02:19:13	will ethereum dip to 1500 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x704647…
07-26 00:56:36	ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe7d73f…
07-26 00:25:40	ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdeab52…
07-26 00:08:40	ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf208d0…
07-25 20:42:25	ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8a6efb…
07-25 18:35:04	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x415abf…
07-25 16:27:18	will ethereum dip to 1500 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7e8720…
07-22 03:53:48	solana above 90 on july 22 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8217fd…
07-21 22:48:27	solana above 90 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8d1604…
07-21 05:11:43	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9a9e69…
07-19 23:18:40	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 19	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0x4f2aa9…
07-19 23:16:07	will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xe3ab33…
07-19 23:12:03	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8f8c92…
07-19 23:05:13	will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf5a62e…
07-19 21:29:04	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6333db…
07-19 19:58:22	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 19	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x982e6f…
07-18 23:50:57	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x926653…
07-18 21:34:55	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x49e51b…
07-17 18:34:19	2026 corales puntacana championship top5 emiliano grillo	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x914e21…
07-17 18:11:18	2026 corales puntacana championship top5 emiliano grillo	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x272689…
07-17 10:30:40	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc225aa…
07-17 08:58:16	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2eee59…
07-16 21:09:25	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 16	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd5145b…
07-16 15:06:02	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 16	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa400a9…
07-16 08:16:07	ethereum above 2100 on july 16 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x675179…
07-16 05:16:47	ethereum above 2100 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7f1b56…
07-13 18:23:17	bitcoin above 68k on july 14 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf9162c…
07-13 11:58:11	bitcoin above 68k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x166fee…
07-13 07:02:41	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd9d65d…
07-13 00:10:22	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2a680…
07-12 16:20:20	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x656111…
07-12 08:20:20	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x95e11e…
07-11 23:01:22	will bitcoin reach 72k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe94589…
07-11 20:44:44	will bitcoin reach 72k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8d920…
07-11 10:06:43	ethereum above 1700 on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5e752c…
07-11 07:30:08	ethereum above 1700 on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x63e02c…
07-11 01:58:32	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33407b…
07-11 00:19:32	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3949d…
07-08 16:58:22	ethereum above 2000 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x65dcea…
07-02 16:43:17	ethereum above 1900 on july 3 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc2b1d3…
07-02 04:17:25	ethereum above 1900 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5c87d9…
06-29 07:32:25	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x370c75…
06-29 00:48:16	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90d6e6…
06-28 23:24:17	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7f6549…
06-27 13:04:32	ethereum above 2000 on june 28 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x29b182…
06-27 06:12:10	ethereum above 2000 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xba40a1…
06-26 15:00:25	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x95d5de…
06-26 10:12:05	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5833d4…