Tender-Scarf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$573

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$19

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-29 07:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$0

Sports

24% 100% +$0

Other

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	+7	$7	100¢	$7	+$0	06-28 23:24
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	+6	$6	100¢	$6	$-0	06-29 07:32
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$-0	06-29 00:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	05-15 14:05
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	02-05 23:06
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 31?	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	05-30 23:10
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	05-20 03:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-24 12:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-26 09:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	2	$25	13	12	+0	open	—	05-28 04:05
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	02-05 23:07
ethereum above 2000 on june 28 2026	2	$23	11	11	+0	open	—	06-27 13:04
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$23	11	11	+0	open	—	05-30 10:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-23 15:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 29?	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	05-29 05:36
will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	06-26 15:00
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	05-30 10:07
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$15	0	15	-15	open	—	01-06 00:19
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 18-24?	2	$15	7	7	+0	open	—	05-24 10:01
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 18?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	05-18 22:13
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$14	0	14	-14	open	—	01-06 00:15
Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	02-05 23:08
Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	06-01 00:20
xrp above 1pt3 on june 6 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	06-06 01:34
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	02-09 15:00
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	2	$11	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 08:11
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	02-12 12:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	06-03 07:27
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	06-28 23:24
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 11?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-10 12:56
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	06-29 07:32
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-22 15:12
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-17 08:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 07:32:25	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x370c75…
06-29 00:48:16	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90d6e6…
06-28 23:24:17	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7f6549…
06-27 13:04:32	ethereum above 2000 on june 28 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x29b182…
06-27 06:12:10	ethereum above 2000 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xba40a1…
06-26 15:00:25	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x95d5de…
06-26 10:12:05	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5833d4…
06-06 01:34:37	xrp above 1pt3 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7a5186…
06-03 07:27:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8dbb0…
06-01 08:11:35	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdf4630…
06-01 02:59:48	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x66e5e6…
06-01 00:20:41	Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9ead5b…
05-30 23:10:05	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfe2618…
05-30 10:23:07	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x386f2d…
05-30 10:07:35	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x446492…
05-30 10:04:43	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe41601…
05-29 22:06:49	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4443e9…
05-29 17:31:55	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x34818f…
05-29 05:36:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 29?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd91f52…
05-28 16:20:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc04f7a…
05-28 04:05:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x45a442…
05-27 08:31:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xad016e…
05-26 09:24:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8f0c85…
05-26 08:11:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x23dd1e…
05-24 12:53:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3cc070…
05-24 10:01:41	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 18-24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xeea1fd…
05-24 08:15:45	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 18-24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb8125c…
05-24 06:59:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x3d1ba7…
05-23 15:03:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x465ef7…
05-22 15:12:12	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x902bff…
05-20 03:51:53	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x52fcba…
05-19 04:40:03	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x358b06…
05-18 22:13:14	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9bbfaa…
05-17 08:43:38	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa4e3cc…
05-15 14:05:28	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xff9176…
05-14 22:13:21	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdc87cd…
05-10 12:56:10	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb2ade7…
03-09 04:55:45	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x15c148…
02-24 12:51:50	Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xda0352…
02-19 21:24:44	will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd345df…
02-12 12:18:39	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c1269…
02-09 15:00:29	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdb2d0a…
02-05 23:08:13	Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$6	0xcaa4a0…
02-05 23:07:25	Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x77f8e5…
02-05 23:06:33	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x69ece8…
01-31 17:19:20	Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x4cdeef…
01-24 21:30:20	Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf410fa…
01-15 08:50:06	Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x974671…
01-14 07:09:54	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x9e58c0…
01-06 00:19:17	Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x14cfad…
01-06 00:15:59	Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x73657c…