Miniature-Flight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

434

Trades

823

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-19 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

77% 82% +$2

Crypto

19% 82% +$1

Politics

3% 92% +$0

Tech

1% 50% $0

Sports

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 28 be between 86 and 89?	6	$103	61	43	+18	Yes	$0	07-24 12:56
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 23?	4	$103	51	51	+0	No	+$0	07-23 08:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	3	$94	47	47	+0	No	$0	07-21 00:31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 28?	7	$88	44	44	+0	No	+$0	07-28 10:13
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	3	$86	43	43	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 23:35
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on September 11?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	09-11 21:22
bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	2	$69	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 20?	2	$69	35	34	+0	No	+$0	07-20 12:21
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-27 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 30?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-30 00:20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 19?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-19 11:27
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-20 00:30
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 23?	4	$67	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-22 20:41
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-21 19:04
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-30 23:43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 19?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-19 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on July 28?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-27 12:12
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 25?	5	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-24 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 25?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-25 00:06
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-10 14:47
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	08-01 01:08
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on May 29?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-28 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on July 26?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-25 07:51
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 26?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-26 02:49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 24?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-24 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on July 22?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-21 19:06
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 19:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	2	$59	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	10-13 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 29?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-29 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on July 19?	5	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-19 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x300c62…
10-18 19:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on October 19?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1018f8…
10-18 11:04:50	Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1ae7bb…
10-16 10:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf86918…
10-13 09:46:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x0ead29…
10-13 09:22:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb0b6c1…
10-12 07:26:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0xaa7389…
10-12 05:31:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x75a848…
10-11 17:59:58	Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x0bcfdb…
10-11 14:39:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a8e82…
10-10 08:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 10?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x3581c6…
10-07 21:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xea52aa…
10-05 09:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on October 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xcd4176…
10-02 03:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on October 2?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xdc0d34…
10-01 22:20:23	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdcf927…
10-01 05:45:03	bitcoin above 78k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x438c43…
09-28 03:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 28?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb181a8…
09-27 22:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 28?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xc35a96…
09-23 22:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 89°F or below on September 24?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9aad36…
09-23 02:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x212126…
09-22 23:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5e8032…
09-22 22:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd0dd48…
09-22 20:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x580aab…
09-21 19:55:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x851076…
09-18 18:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 19?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa53689…
09-18 00:55:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x341c20…
09-17 11:15:18	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x883c61…
09-13 03:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x609da3…
09-11 21:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 11?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8c6819…
09-11 21:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on September 11?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x01eb17…
09-11 02:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x02592a…
09-10 19:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on September 11?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x868987…
09-07 14:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7487af…
09-06 15:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa6589f…
09-06 06:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x226185…
09-05 23:52:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4d3323…
09-05 07:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46e76c…
09-05 02:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6cfaca…
09-04 23:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on September 5?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xce75e1…
09-04 22:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xb94995…
09-04 18:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xcd1f56…
09-04 09:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x99500c…
09-04 01:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x00a87e…
09-03 20:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x333217…
09-03 11:55:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xde352b…
09-03 02:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x95cd72…
09-02 14:04:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x596143…
09-02 09:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3beb78…
09-02 07:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x319f99…
09-01 08:42:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbb3e58…
09-01 04:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7fc7c1…
08-31 04:57:27	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xea8901…
08-30 20:24:06	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x0e533f…
08-30 16:10:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf936d5…
08-29 23:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x696758…
08-29 21:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x975d29…
08-28 19:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xeee338…
08-28 18:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5887b9…
08-28 15:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 29?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x65037f…
08-28 06:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on August 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7d871d…
08-27 12:33:37	will bitcoin reach 85k on august 27 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x263406…
08-27 05:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x149408…
08-27 00:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xcf3c14…
08-26 18:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5fb456…
08-26 17:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xff7c46…
08-26 03:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x563fef…
08-25 10:59:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x54dc03…
08-25 07:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2551cf…
08-25 04:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfca759…
08-24 17:17:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1f1cd7…
08-24 11:36:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa83dd4…
08-24 05:11:37	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 24?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x8dea08…
08-23 18:12:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4ba6d1…
08-18 09:36:46	Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb20c2a…
08-14 18:11:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f3409…
08-14 08:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x46eed4…
08-13 22:03:57	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d50bc…
08-13 15:39:42	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be at least 60,000?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef767f…
08-13 08:28:31	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x150bf8…
08-13 07:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2a7a0b…
08-12 21:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C or below on August 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xce705d…
08-12 05:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc5123…
08-12 03:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe3c061…
08-12 00:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xaa211d…
08-11 21:21:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9f6835…
08-11 12:21:30	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x86119a…
08-10 21:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd5768b…
08-10 20:51:10	bitcoin above 68k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x68e173…
08-10 14:36:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2771ed…
08-10 11:53:06	will super troopers 3 score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260804175312532	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbf4f57…
08-09 13:22:03	Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb6392b…
08-09 11:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on August 10?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1914b2…
08-09 04:10:12	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8a53f…
08-09 03:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd3c5d1…
08-08 18:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 90°F or higher on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x2d355c…
08-08 04:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on August 8?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xefaa37…
08-08 00:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x96c88f…
08-07 20:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9be02b…
08-07 19:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe6e27d…
08-07 11:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x763413…