Fat-Peer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,203

lifetime

Volume

$432

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-29 04:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

94% 75% +$8

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in paris on march 13 2026 11c	12	$36	1,030	25	+1,005	open	—	03-13 09:39
highest temperature in seoul on march 6 2026 4c	7	$24	15	20	-5	open	—	03-06 05:08
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 6c	11	$21	20	18	+2	open	—	03-11 04:34
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 5 2026 28corbelow	4	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	02-05 15:07
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 4 2026 31corbelow	5	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	02-04 09:47
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 12 2026 29corbelow	4	$11	15	10	+5	open	—	02-12 17:58
highest temperature in seattle on march 5 2026 50 51f	7	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	03-05 11:46
highest temperature in seattle on march 10 2026 44 45f	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 09:20
highest temperature in seattle on march 13 2026 38 39f	3	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	03-13 11:56
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 11 2026 32corbelow	4	$9	5	6	-1	open	—	02-11 18:41
highest temperature in london on january 30 11c	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	01-30 12:03
will tsla reach 435 by june 1 2026	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	06-03 14:54
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 6 2026 25corhigher	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-06 04:31
will meta reach 640 by june 1 2026	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	06-04 13:36
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 11 2026 28c	4	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	03-11 08:46
highest temperature in seattle on march 16 2026 56forhigher	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-16 08:16
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 10 2026 27c	4	$6	10	5	+5	open	—	03-10 07:39
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 10 2026 36c	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	02-11 05:41
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 10 2026 37c	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-10 10:48
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 5 2026 28corhigher	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	03-05 06:37
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 18 above $128?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 13:35
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 13:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 07:45
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 12 2026 28c	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	03-12 06:20
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 5 2026 27c	3	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	03-05 06:28
will tsla reach 435 in june 2026	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-05 14:25
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.50 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 15:09
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $87.50 Week of June 1 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-01 14:23
will abnb dip to 132 by may 25 2026	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-26 13:38
will meta reach 600 by june 8 2026	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-08 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 10:32:41	will abnb dip to 140 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x85555c…
06-29 04:28:53	will abnb dip to 144 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4b0181…
06-29 04:19:37	will googl reach 340 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x099aa0…
06-29 04:14:53	will rklb reach 86 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xda72b5…
06-29 04:13:28	will hood dip to 97 50 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xeccaae…
06-29 04:13:10	will hood reach 100 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x61607c…
06-29 04:11:05	will ewy dip to 197 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdb3a84…
06-29 04:08:26	will aapl reach 284 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0abee1…
06-29 04:06:37	will pltr reach 114 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe05d22…
06-29 04:03:31	will spy reach 735 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe2b059…
06-29 03:59:46	will msft reach 375 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x05c8de…
06-29 03:56:22	will amzn reach 232 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x010f00…
06-22 09:33:38	will nflx reach 77 50 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5240a6…
06-22 04:24:26	will googl dip to 365 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe0f2e1…
06-22 04:20:37	will hood dip to 107 50 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc2a58f…
06-22 03:43:01	will spy dip to 745 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8dc9dd…
06-22 03:40:38	will aapl dip to 296 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x38a0ad…
06-22 03:31:32	will rklb dip to 106 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x218ec1…
06-22 03:31:23	will rklb dip to 104 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9b9a40…
06-15 03:56:28	will pltr reach 129 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf541e2…
06-15 03:54:19	will meta reach 570 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcd9ed9…
06-15 03:43:06	will open reach 4 50 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3bbe1b…
06-15 03:41:54	will msft reach 397 50 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x09ee16…
06-15 03:35:36	will googl reach 365 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5712f4…
06-08 17:02:42	will meta reach 600 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x59c004…
06-05 16:40:25	will rklb reach 136 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x91fecf…
06-05 14:25:21	will tsla reach 435 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe70cba…
06-04 13:36:39	will meta reach 640 by june 1 2026	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x5bd4ec…
06-03 14:54:00	will tsla reach 435 by june 1 2026	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x80c16d…
06-02 19:08:52	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8e3a37…
06-01 20:55:29	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in June?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3b6fbc…
06-01 17:38:05	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xaba497…
06-01 15:56:55	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x985d36…
06-01 14:58:00	will tsla reach 435 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x371791…
06-01 14:23:08	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $87.50 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2ddb76…
06-01 13:42:41	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in June?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x78bbcd…
06-01 13:36:48	will googl reach 385 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x261120…
06-01 13:32:37	will meta reach 640 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbaa7f5…
06-01 13:30:21	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x90ad84…
06-01 13:30:21	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x330e26…
05-27 18:23:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf6b10e…
05-27 13:28:05	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8bcc0b…
05-26 13:38:15	will abnb dip to 132 by may 25 2026	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5b7ddb…
05-26 10:23:45	will ewy reach 183 by may 25 2026	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xce0bc1…
05-26 04:55:07	will rklb reach 138 by may 25 2026	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x450aeb…
05-25 11:53:34	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xd219cb…
05-25 10:17:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7d6104…
05-22 04:34:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc4149f…
05-20 13:35:34	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 18 above $128?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe547db…
05-20 06:19:47	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $130 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3aaa8d…
05-19 07:57:42	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc0a815…
05-18 18:50:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $215?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd54dde…
05-18 15:09:41	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.50 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfc4dd7…
05-18 14:48:58	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcb9780…
05-18 14:17:05	will abnb dip to 132 by may 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x413db7…
05-18 13:51:36	will hood dip to 75 by may 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3008b3…
05-18 07:45:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7da483…
05-18 04:37:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe1207f…
05-15 20:30:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb34524…
05-15 20:00:02	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x159277…
05-15 13:39:07	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x197b14…
05-15 04:44:44	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x42a018…
05-14 19:42:31	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb650d0…
05-14 19:25:10	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0ae020…
05-13 19:53:44	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1d49fa…
05-13 17:00:47	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6801f6…
05-12 10:27:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcf8b32…
05-07 13:32:04	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x1df8f4…
05-07 13:32:02	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x520570…
05-07 13:32:02	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0a6335…
05-06 07:46:44	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1a70f8…
05-05 14:38:30	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xed2b75…
05-04 13:35:32	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x45943e…
05-04 10:31:06	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8af482…
05-04 10:30:18	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xbcb7da…
05-04 07:55:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcc8d3b…
05-01 10:38:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xedf554…
04-28 10:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x9fb849…
04-28 10:54:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf16db5…
04-28 10:48:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xec3260…
04-28 10:44:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8cc071…
04-28 10:39:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfe4850…
04-28 10:24:42	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xee9f3f…
04-28 10:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc6a808…
04-28 09:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xba5fb6…
04-28 09:12:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x3283d4…
04-28 05:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa60b4b…
04-28 05:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x245fb7…
04-28 05:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x18007a…
04-28 05:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xbf03f5…
04-28 05:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xc4dbf9…
04-28 05:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x014e6c…
04-28 05:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x3e189a…
04-28 05:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xdb774a…
04-28 05:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa94f0b…
04-28 05:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xd6ae5a…
04-28 05:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x82964a…
04-28 05:14:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x897311…
04-27 10:39:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xe6f81d…
04-27 08:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x90a82f…