Lumpy-Fur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$4.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-20 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

72% 67% $-0

Crypto

22% 100% +$0

Politics

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the total number of tsa passengers for april 6 april 12 be greater than 18500000	6	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	04-13 11:00
Will BNB reach $700 in April?	4	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	04-30 17:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	4	$63	31	31	+0	open	—	05-19 16:41
Will Alfonso López Chau and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?	3	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	04-13 09:17
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 19?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	05-18 21:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	05-17 22:47
highest temperature in chicago on march 28 2026 58 59f	1	$58	58	0	+58	open	—	03-28 05:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	3	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	05-17 06:49
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	05-19 09:03
will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	1	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	04-02 02:49
highest temperature in houston on april 11 2026 70 71f	1	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	04-11 03:11
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 9?	2	$51	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 22:34
highest temperature in mexico city on april 20 2026 21c	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-20 20:47
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 21corhigher	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-16 13:18
highest temperature in seattle on april 4 2026 68forhigher	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	04-04 02:29
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	3	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-30 20:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	3	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	05-19 19:22
will bernard arnault be 3rd richest person on march 31	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	03-30 03:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	05-20 08:00
highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 28c	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-18 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C or below on April 27?	2	$45	22	22	+0	open	—	04-26 19:39
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-05 14:11
highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 12c	5	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-21 02:43
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on April 27?	4	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-27 11:38
Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	4	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-28 08:40
highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 18c	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-24 07:13
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 30corhigher	2	$43	21	21	+0	open	—	04-22 13:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 25?	2	$43	21	21	+0	open	—	04-25 16:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-29 21:39
highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 19c	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-01 11:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 08:00:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0xa76bb9…
05-20 07:34:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x0586c1…
05-19 19:22:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf17561…
05-19 19:18:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x24bd57…
05-19 16:41:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2f327e…
05-19 12:48:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x856760…
05-19 11:03:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6b9faf…
05-19 09:03:41	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2a0dbc…
05-19 08:57:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfe520c…
05-19 08:38:39	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf6e926…
05-19 08:28:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x16bffb…
05-19 05:33:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x39f174…
05-19 04:36:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11b1eb…
05-19 02:47:26	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x39020d…
05-19 01:22:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x464006…
05-19 00:22:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe70e73…
05-19 00:22:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc5e2f0…
05-18 21:55:23	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x44c51a…
05-18 14:53:26	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfea4df…
05-18 14:16:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x204356…
05-18 10:25:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6b530a…
05-18 04:10:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x58a12a…
05-17 22:47:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$29	0x5e3a9e…
05-17 17:51:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x6429d4…
05-17 14:26:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x65ec5e…
05-17 08:08:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x96db95…
05-17 06:49:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x076718…
05-17 02:40:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x79ae75…
05-17 01:29:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfd1a19…
05-16 22:40:20	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8c630b…
05-16 17:56:08	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd14d4f…
05-15 06:41:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe50156…
05-14 12:04:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x423b10…
05-10 15:22:47	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8080df…
05-10 15:17:44	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa857e5…
05-10 15:17:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6e6e8c…
05-10 15:11:47	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8ad22c…
05-10 10:32:17	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x795436…
05-09 23:44:10	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5856aa…
05-09 23:03:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1f14bf…
05-09 22:34:47	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x80fc70…
05-09 04:34:15	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2012d0…
05-09 04:11:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x434297…
05-08 19:18:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x660f2b…
05-08 11:59:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfb7b3b…
05-07 18:45:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x426575…
05-05 23:13:50	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x76049d…
05-05 20:34:22	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2a38bc…
05-05 14:19:24	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x943bfa…
05-05 14:11:50	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x89996b…
05-05 05:20:32	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3e601f…
05-02 16:38:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe4c45f…
05-01 22:57:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x848876…
04-30 20:58:24	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xc02cd5…
04-30 19:55:38	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xecd0b6…
04-30 17:10:40	Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb25f58…
04-30 17:08:52	Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2e36e0…
04-30 14:26:10	Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xede47f…
04-30 10:36:36	Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4576a9…
04-30 09:54:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9341bf…
04-30 09:14:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb4ec4f…
04-30 02:03:08	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4b4ae1…
04-29 21:39:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc5d8bb…
04-29 04:14:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd3197d…
04-28 23:29:34	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x80ee70…
04-28 22:03:16	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x033bd9…
04-28 08:40:52	Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc6fa35…
04-28 08:39:54	Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0ee03e…
04-28 08:38:32	Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2bd6a7…
04-27 20:08:04	Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0xda684f…
04-27 19:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on April 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfdf246…
04-27 19:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on April 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x62b48d…
04-27 19:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x50d969…
04-27 19:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x45e3bd…
04-27 15:38:10	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x44e27f…
04-27 13:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75b00d…
04-27 12:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 27?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0xb6cbfb…
04-27 11:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc92b6e…
04-27 11:38:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdf881f…
04-27 11:16:32	Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7fedbc…
04-27 11:02:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2127a0…
04-27 10:41:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x513e91…
04-27 09:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x571585…
04-27 08:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on April 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdcb627…
04-27 08:23:14	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa2fc6d…
04-26 22:58:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0f9691…
04-26 20:36:50	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe4c682…
04-26 19:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C or below on April 27?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7cc7fa…
04-26 19:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x3b737b…
04-26 14:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0d8937…
04-25 21:36:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on April 26?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9d60dd…
04-25 16:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x7a52ec…
04-25 16:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x1cbdb9…
04-25 16:06:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x0e945c…
04-25 06:20:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x744fd2…
04-25 03:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8498b9…
04-24 16:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfde375…
04-24 12:30:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on April 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x12a04a…
04-24 10:09:50	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 19c	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdbf12d…
04-24 09:00:06	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 73forbelow	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7d5205…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	89	$3.36K	9,351	04-28 09:52
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	83	$8.95K	1,121	04-27 18:34
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	77	$6.19K	496	04-23 08:27
Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0	64	$2.73K	148	04-27 18:46
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	60	$83.6K	1,407	05-19 10:22
Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6	58	$2.06K	631	04-28 10:48
(anonymous) 0x5aec…904b	57	$5.56K	337	04-27 12:54
Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376	57	$906	885	04-27 05:04