Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$695
$2,166 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$8,149
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 10:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $170 | $170 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | — | $519 | $519 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $191 | $191 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $150 | $150 |
| Median | 10 | — | $304 | $304 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $45 | $45 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This-Lion 0x3f4a…a5a5 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-15 10:25 |
| Austere-Literate-Pound 0xbda2…97eb | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-15 10:25 |
| Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-15 08:15 |
| Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-15 08:01 |
| Glossy-Cream 0x8e6c…6ed0 | No | +41 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-14 06:29 |
| Another-Lox 0xdcb9…1879 | No | +41 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-15 10:25 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 20:47 |
| Some-Supernatural 0xcf42…20df | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 06:01 |
| Required-Vote 0xeb6b…6266 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-15 07:49 |
| Rotating-Consignment 0xced2…0b4e | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 05:06 |
| Necessary-Tag 0x06f7…53e0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 05:24 |
| Gigantic-Outhouse 0x208f…88a8 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 08:24 |
| Unfolded-Folder 0xf275…beb8 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 07:49 |
| Tragic-Footstep 0xcdd5…0213 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 09:34 |
| Outlandish-Evaporation 0x7747…fe40 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 23:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 10:25:29 | This-Lion 0x3f4a…a5a5 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0xc1eb97… |
| 05-15 10:25:29 | Austere-Literate-Pound 0xbda2…97eb | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x4326a3… |
| 05-15 10:25:29 | Another-Lox 0xdcb9…1879 | No | BUY | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0xf86a6f… |
| 05-15 10:12:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbea11a… |
| 05-15 08:24:32 | Gigantic-Outhouse 0x208f…88a8 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x3f5ff0… |
| 05-15 08:15:01 | Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x0c33e8… |
| 05-15 08:01:01 | Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x9f08cf… |
| 05-15 07:49:27 | Required-Vote 0xeb6b…6266 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xfbd970… |
| 05-14 17:39:30 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x57c9ec… |
| 05-14 09:34:17 | Tragic-Footstep 0xcdd5…0213 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x638a06… |
| 05-14 08:49:22 | Zany-Parliament 0xfcb3…e377 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x81e90c… |
| 05-14 07:49:06 | Unfolded-Folder 0xf275…beb8 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x38bb83… |
| 05-14 07:33:49 | Zany-Parliament 0xfcb3…e377 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xf538d6… |
| 05-14 06:29:06 | Glossy-Cream 0x8e6c…6ed0 | No | BUY | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0x43d153… |
| 05-14 06:01:24 | Some-Supernatural 0xcf42…20df | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xf1aaa7… |
| 05-14 05:06:14 | Rotating-Consignment 0xced2…0b4e | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xbba80a… |
| 05-14 00:46:22 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41dca4… |
| 05-14 00:44:35 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa68bc7… |
| 05-14 00:29:32 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b6264… |
| 05-14 00:29:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5abc23… |
| 05-14 00:29:15 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x715296… |
| 05-13 23:57:10 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae90d2… |
| 05-13 23:49:21 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb6cf12… |
| 05-13 23:42:15 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x231122… |
| 05-13 23:42:00 | Outlandish-Evaporation 0x7747…fe40 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x745b87… |
| 05-13 22:28:47 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 44 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc64547… |
| 05-13 22:17:30 | Required-Vote 0xeb6b…6266 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x6a7ed9… |
| 05-13 20:58:36 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe46942… |
| 05-13 20:47:54 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x1bf090… |
| 05-13 05:24:18 | Necessary-Tag 0x06f7…53e0 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3de818… |