Glossy-Cream — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

Trades

763

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$31

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-11 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$2

Other

35% 85% $-15

Politics

9% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

2% 33% $-21

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No		+18	$17	96¢	$17	+$0	05-30 09:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No		+14	$13	98¢	$13	$-0	06-09 06:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	5	$296	172	126	+46	open	—	01-18 08:09
nvda close above 185 on march 10 2026	6	$225	200	200	+0	open	—	03-10 18:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	5	$178	89	89	+0	open	—	05-14 09:11
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	3	$163	73	90	-18	open	—	01-13 07:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$162	89	89	+0	open	—	05-14 22:36
bitcoin above 62k on february 20	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	02-20 15:28
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$129	129	0	+129	open	—	02-26 06:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	1	$126	127	0	+127	No	+$1	05-13 06:42
ethereum above 2500 on february 5	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	02-05 11:52
Will the National People’s Party (NPEP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	1	$118	118	0	+118	open	—	04-05 07:06
tsla up or down on march 10 2026	3	$114	200	200	+0	open	—	03-10 15:40
will xrp reach 4 in january 2026	3	$112	96	17	+78	open	—	01-21 07:07
will israel nuke iran by january 31	3	$101	102	0	+102	open	—	01-20 20:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$101	0	102	-102	open	—	05-12 15:35
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	04-08 04:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	05-25 07:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	1	$101	101	0	+101	Yes	+$0	05-05 05:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	05-03 08:27
will the price of xrp be between 2pt00 2pt10 on january 4	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	01-04 17:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	1	$99	99	0	+99	open	—	05-22 10:29
ethereum above 1900 on april 9	1	$99	99	0	+99	open	—	04-09 03:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$98	98	0	+98	open	—	05-17 07:18
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	9	$97	250	250	+0	open	—	03-10 12:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	1	$97	97	0	+97	open	—	05-19 05:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$97	97	0	+97	open	—	05-15 06:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	1	$97	97	0	+97	open	—	05-21 05:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$97	97	0	+97	Yes	+$0	05-11 06:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	1	$96	97	0	+97	No	+$1	05-12 06:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	1	$95	95	0	+95	open	—	05-04 07:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$93	74	31	+43	open	—	05-29 18:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 11:01:28	adbe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 5pt83	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x3d80c5…
06-11 11:00:33	bitcoin above 58k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x64d111…
06-09 06:57:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0xa6c39b…
06-09 06:56:24	ethereum above 1500 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0f6bf5…
06-08 08:14:28	acn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 18 2026 3pt69	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x55f95d…
06-08 08:13:49	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x99bf30…
06-05 16:45:33	adbe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 5pt83	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd44d93…
06-04 08:56:10	bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x61fb2c…
06-04 08:55:18	iot quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 04 2026 0pt13	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x746a82…
06-02 08:54:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0x641e59…
06-02 08:54:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x378175…
06-02 08:52:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x8c622a…
06-01 06:35:11	Will Samsara (IOT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x781eb6…
06-01 06:35:01	Will Docusign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x3389a1…
06-01 06:34:50	Will Rubrik (RBRK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x4311ac…
06-01 06:34:31	Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xc3ec06…
06-01 06:34:14	Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x5a1201…
06-01 06:33:56	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x7e62ec…
06-01 06:33:39	Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xe94b85…
06-01 06:33:23	Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf7c6df…
06-01 06:32:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x6c2193…
05-30 09:40:27	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x29fe64…
05-30 09:39:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x71a893…
05-29 18:48:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	93¢	$29	0x4088fd…
05-29 16:19:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	87¢	$37	0x3c72cf…
05-29 16:18:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0x0df381…
05-28 08:20:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x38a943…
05-28 08:19:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7df579…
05-28 08:18:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xd51839…
05-25 07:52:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x46262d…
05-25 07:51:20	Will a hurricane form by May 31?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x09dbed…
05-24 06:40:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xbdd865…
05-24 06:38:26	Will Semtech (SMTC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x98a4b0…
05-24 06:37:54	Will Snowflake (SNOW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x91c536…
05-24 06:37:42	Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xd687ab…
05-24 06:37:26	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xc4df76…
05-24 06:36:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xd04f0f…
05-23 06:00:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x0ca325…
05-23 06:00:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x41d50c…
05-23 05:59:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x729f77…
05-22 10:29:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x722c29…
05-21 05:52:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xca9a36…
05-20 03:17:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x4540e6…
05-19 05:13:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x199b27…
05-19 05:12:46	Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x38bd4a…
05-18 06:38:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xf38f09…
05-18 06:37:50	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4d5f1d…
05-18 06:36:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x6394c3…
05-17 07:18:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x3784e0…
05-17 07:07:09	Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x875bb7…
05-17 07:06:55	Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x5ec99d…
05-17 07:06:40	Will Deere & Co (DE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9a8980…
05-17 07:06:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x294dd4…
05-16 06:58:30	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5ca1fb…
05-16 06:58:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x7fc9cd…
05-15 14:57:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9531ca…
05-15 14:53:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x14fe72…
05-15 14:19:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x12826f…
05-15 14:00:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x851ede…
05-15 06:22:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xf7c091…
05-15 06:20:03	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x61317c…
05-15 04:17:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe36825…
05-14 22:36:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	89	93¢	$83	0x6d6081…
05-14 09:11:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa63a21…
05-14 08:55:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf8cb54…
05-14 08:55:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x59168a…
05-14 08:52:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x663327…
05-14 06:31:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xf2c7f5…
05-14 06:30:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xef0d25…
05-14 06:29:39	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6b3acc…
05-13 06:42:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0x7fc1d9…
05-12 15:35:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$101	0x3ee1d9…
05-12 11:21:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	89	89¢	$79	0x95ae34…
05-12 06:56:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x6594ec…
05-11 06:10:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xf3519b…
05-10 06:59:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x21c455…
05-10 06:59:03	Will Gambling.com (GAMB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x876681…
05-10 06:58:52	Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xe7b934…
05-10 06:58:35	Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xb0075a…
05-10 06:58:23	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x108185…
05-10 06:58:10	Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xecad57…
05-10 06:57:55	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x31642f…
05-10 06:57:46	Will Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xbf9df8…
05-10 06:57:28	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x3ba06b…
05-10 06:57:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x43a42c…
05-09 06:43:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x8840aa…
05-08 06:19:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa25232…
05-07 06:28:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x27ffa9…
05-06 06:42:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x873d76…
05-06 06:42:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xdc00eb…
05-06 06:40:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xd02f6c…
05-05 05:20:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x0b4974…
05-04 07:38:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xc5de25…
05-04 07:35:12	Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xb5f8e6…
05-04 07:34:44	Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x946143…
05-04 07:34:06	Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xff4d25…
05-04 07:32:24	Will Anheuser-Busch (BUD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x2ab779…
05-04 07:31:44	Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0623d6…
05-04 07:30:58	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x146729…
05-04 07:29:34	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x45e3fa…