Realized P&L
-$59
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
92.3%
Resolved
671
Trades
919
lifetime
Volume
$18.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$276
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-10 15:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Crypto
43% 94% +$11
Other
42% 88% +$6
Politics
11% 88% -$38
Tech
2% 89% +$4
Sports
1% 68% -$40
Pop-Culture
0% 86% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -153 -$148 99¢ $-151 -$3 05-03 06:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -86 -$81 96¢ $-82 -$2 07-22 14:07
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +21 $12 64¢ $13 +$1 08-10 15:21
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -9 -$9 100¢ $-9 $0 07-22 14:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -9 -$9 98¢ $-9 +$0 05-14 11:37
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -6 -$6 99¢ $-6 $0 07-12 17:21
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -61 -$5 6¢ $-3 +$2 07-22 06:27
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes -9 -$1 8¢ $-1 +$1 07-11 09:18
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -26 -$1 2¢ $-1 +$0 07-21 05:56