Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?
open
Total volume
$4,820
$12,731 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$23,146
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-14 10:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $0 | $736 | $736 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $9 | $4.1K | $4.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | $736 | $736 |
| Median | 15 | — | $4.0K | $4.0K |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | $7 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 10 | — | $83 | $83 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Intelligence 0x9dcb…8716 | No | +1,930 | $1,928 | $1,928 | 1 | 05-13 22:57 |
| Canine-Bicycle 0x540a…ce41 | No | +1,916 | $1,914 | $1,914 | 1 | 05-13 22:53 |
| Discrete-Mussel 0x3d8d…a7e9 | Yes | +1,180 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 03:52 |
| Soft-Platform 0x2858…119d | No | +743 | $736 | $736 | 1 | 05-13 00:27 |
| Grumpy-Error 0xad45…b8c9 | Yes | +230 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 18:11 |
| Junior-Boot 0x4571…32fc | No | +37 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-13 22:58 |
| Grubby-Meteor 0xbd63…a019 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-13 21:20 |
| Meager-Dude 0xd42c…f7a9 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 02:14 |
| Limping-Colorlessness 0xab01…a875 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 22:13 |
| Shy-Carnation 0x0d3b…12ae | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 22:04 |
| Piercing-Conifer 0x7872…b8d2 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 00:29 |
| Cavernous-Softdrink 0xf67e…2826 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 06:29 |
| Ideal-Coverall 0xffc9…1676 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-13 21:50 |
| Peppery-Piracy 0xcbbe…4c93 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 02:16 |
| Close-Nothing 0x331b…e94d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 02:16 |
| Alarming-Cleaner 0x672f…6a1b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 22:23 |
| Normal-Moonlight 0x3c87…546e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 20:34 |
| Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 17:00 |
| Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 10:30 |
| Elementary-Mean 0xd2a7…26b8 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 08:13 |
| These-Compromise 0x71a7…6fcf | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 22:27 |
| Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 04:35 |
| Insecure-Cheer 0xcf8c…5830 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 17:15 |
| Impractical-Devastation 0x4cdb…172c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:11 |
| Robust-Disappointment-Deviation 0xf79a…12d8 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 01:56 |
| Angelic-Wild 0xf8c7…53aa | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 02:15 |
| Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-13 04:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x981b…53a5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 18:02 |
| Important-Jack-Depressive 0x8ce7…082b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:35 |
| Female-Destruction 0x0164…1317 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:00 |
| Long-Compensation-Scheme 0x5a08…1ba5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:17 |
| Everlasting-Metro-Refund 0x272f…cc61 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 10:30:13 | Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x36364e… |
| 05-14 08:13:59 | Elementary-Mean 0xd2a7…26b8 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x2c896c… |
| 05-14 06:29:11 | Cavernous-Softdrink 0xf67e…2826 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xf58e0b… |
| 05-14 04:35:07 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1a67c… |
| 05-14 03:25:11 | Untrue-Service 0xeb8a…ed2b | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x44b9dc… |
| 05-14 02:35:30 | Important-Jack-Depressive 0x8ce7…082b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe04258… |
| 05-14 02:31:41 | Everlasting-Metro-Refund 0x272f…cc61 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa5472f… |
| 05-14 02:17:06 | Long-Compensation-Scheme 0x5a08…1ba5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7af508… |
| 05-14 02:16:17 | Peppery-Piracy 0xcbbe…4c93 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x807832… |
| 05-14 02:16:07 | Close-Nothing 0x331b…e94d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x74594e… |
| 05-14 02:15:37 | Angelic-Wild 0xf8c7…53aa | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x58152e… |
| 05-14 02:14:58 | Meager-Dude 0xd42c…f7a9 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xf75cbd… |
| 05-14 02:00:06 | Female-Destruction 0x0164…1317 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd154e5… |
| 05-14 01:56:57 | Robust-Disappointment-Deviation 0xf79a…12d8 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xa88729… |
| 05-14 00:29:15 | Piercing-Conifer 0x7872…b8d2 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x5bedb5… |
| 05-13 22:58:58 | Junior-Boot 0x4571…32fc | No | BUY | 37 | 100¢ | $37 | 0x585d17… |
| 05-13 22:57:08 | Impressive-Intelligence 0x9dcb…8716 | No | BUY | 1,930 | 100¢ | $1,928 | 0x397115… |
| 05-13 22:53:45 | Canine-Bicycle 0x540a…ce41 | No | BUY | 1,916 | 100¢ | $1,914 | 0x8c5873… |
| 05-13 22:23:55 | Alarming-Cleaner 0x672f…6a1b | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x08bd31… |
| 05-13 22:13:23 | Limping-Colorlessness 0xab01…a875 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xaf94e3… |
| 05-13 22:04:01 | Shy-Carnation 0x0d3b…12ae | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xd1f374… |
| 05-13 21:50:42 | Ideal-Coverall 0xffc9…1676 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x769bcd… |
| 05-13 21:20:36 | Grubby-Meteor 0xbd63…a019 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x89166f… |
| 05-13 20:34:04 | Normal-Moonlight 0x3c87…546e | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x41fca5… |
| 05-13 04:03:33 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdb519b… |
| 05-13 04:02:33 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4624cf… |
| 05-13 03:52:47 | Discrete-Mussel 0x3d8d…a7e9 | Yes | BUY | 1,180 | 0¢ | $6 | 0xab7188… |
| 05-13 00:27:23 | Soft-Platform 0x2858…119d | No | BUY | 743 | 99¢ | $736 | 0x9b9c6a… |
| 05-12 18:11:42 | Grumpy-Error 0xad45…b8c9 | Yes | BUY | 230 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x2a6289… |
| 05-12 18:02:30 | (anonymous) 0x981b…53a5 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5840eb… |
| 05-10 22:27:36 | These-Compromise 0x71a7…6fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x19c633… |
| 05-10 17:00:49 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xddc1e0… |
| 05-10 01:11:04 | Impractical-Devastation 0x4cdb…172c | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc87fd3… |
| 05-09 17:15:00 | Insecure-Cheer 0xcf8c…5830 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf82424… |