Piercing-Conifer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$3.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-17 11:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

73% 100% +$0

Crypto

17% 86% +$0

Sports

5% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chongqing on april 4 2026 31c	1	$67	67	0	+67	open	—	04-04 04:42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	3	$65	32	32	+0	open	—	05-17 09:26
nflx above 130 on march 27 2026	1	$63	64	0	+64	open	—	03-27 04:25
highest temperature in jeddah on april 22 2026 26c	3	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-22 00:35
will the drama opening weekend box office be between 11m and 12m	1	$57	58	0	+58	open	—	04-05 05:42
Will Alfonso López Chau and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?	2	$57	28	28	+0	open	—	04-13 11:56
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 3pt9	2	$53	53	0	+53	open	—	04-02 04:21
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	05-16 20:22
foreign intervention in gaza by march 31	1	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	03-30 03:54
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	02-06 00:36
highest temperature in seattle on april 17 2026 70forhigher	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	04-17 20:33
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-30 02:52
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 29 2026 25c	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	03-29 07:12
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	4	$47	23	23	+0	open	—	05-01 03:35
highest temperature in wuhan on april 1 2026 24c	1	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	04-01 13:09
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 28 2026 17corbelow	1	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	03-28 03:32
ethereum above 2000 on april 24	3	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-24 03:36
highest temperature in chicago on april 19 2026 62forhigher	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-19 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on April 26?	2	$45	22	22	+0	open	—	04-26 10:11
highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 48 49f	2	$45	22	22	+0	open	—	04-22 00:44
highest temperature in lucknow on april 21 2026 47c	3	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-21 07:37
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	02-01 20:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	2	$41	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on April 27?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 02:42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 26?	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	04-26 10:12
highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 82 83f	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-20 08:00
will anaconda be the top global netflix movie this week 954	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-14 19:02
will the total number of tsa passengers for april 6 april 12 be less than 16500000	7	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-13 12:07
highest temperature in denver on april 15 2026 58 59f	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-15 07:34
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 28 2026 27corhigher	2	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-28 12:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 11:16:11	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1f9358…
05-17 09:26:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x92f25b…
05-17 03:56:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcead47…
05-17 02:55:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x358992…
05-16 20:22:43	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x8799d6…
05-16 16:51:33	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcd11a9…
05-15 21:59:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2e9504…
05-15 17:08:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9e6e19…
05-15 08:11:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc8c2f9…
05-15 04:21:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa19987…
05-14 09:25:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7d7fb0…
05-14 08:52:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x663327…
05-14 08:32:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc627b1…
05-14 00:29:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5bedb5…
05-12 21:14:13	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x0709cc…
05-12 02:54:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0f8996…
05-11 18:21:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7f250…
05-11 07:01:01	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7a5c17…
05-10 09:08:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x718ca7…
05-10 04:34:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb5461e…
05-08 16:57:31	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 8?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xed39cf…
05-08 12:44:51	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf51c83…
05-06 06:12:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe1efa9…
05-06 04:11:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42a46f…
05-05 18:38:56	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x161073…
05-05 17:37:48	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbc5cd9…
05-05 14:42:34	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x39745e…
05-05 00:38:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x93c0c5…
05-05 00:02:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x919ef5…
05-04 16:15:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb256fa…
05-04 15:13:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5d8bf0…
05-04 12:08:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x778a9e…
05-04 02:03:50	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4d041f…
05-03 18:52:06	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd77d20…
05-03 14:09:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5c51f9…
05-02 15:27:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5cc664…
05-01 20:52:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x410647…
05-01 03:35:44	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe06610…
04-30 13:47:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x927c41…
04-30 13:14:44	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2616ba…
04-30 08:01:18	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x4c1648…
04-30 02:52:54	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x56c15a…
04-29 17:36:42	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa8d1e5…
04-29 10:19:32	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3398c7…
04-29 06:29:04	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x67b578…
04-29 02:02:28	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x6957cb…
04-28 22:35:30	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb1bb78…
04-28 16:39:28	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7a73ca…
04-27 18:42:40	will paul hounkp be the next president of benin	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xefee20…
04-27 14:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on April 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x076484…
04-27 13:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x357f6c…
04-27 11:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 27?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x21d1a3…
04-27 09:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x83dc37…
04-27 06:36:44	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 27?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xebd446…
04-27 02:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on April 27?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8120ed…
04-26 21:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on April 27?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb049b3…
04-26 20:40:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa26979…
04-26 20:32:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x93aa4e…
04-26 19:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on April 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5f0cf0…
04-26 18:28:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe5b8cf…
04-26 14:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on April 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7a539a…
04-26 13:10:04	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5e9dcf…
04-26 10:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 26?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x824fc5…
04-26 10:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x039daf…
04-26 10:13:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on April 25?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x765128…
04-26 10:12:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 26?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xef4019…
04-26 10:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on April 26?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xdfe7e3…
04-26 08:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on April 26?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc45c47…
04-26 04:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x39b485…
04-26 00:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x447bf8…
04-25 17:26:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 26?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5b3643…
04-25 12:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x741567…
04-25 08:32:30	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on April 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa2dbb0…
04-24 23:32:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on April 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfd3fa4…
04-24 19:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7bdebd…
04-24 16:35:28	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on April 24?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe51d4e…
04-24 12:45:34	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0f85ad…
04-24 10:31:32	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 26c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe70af4…
04-24 09:51:14	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x698153…
04-24 08:14:36	highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 22c	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf035e8…
04-24 06:13:58	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe32f59…
04-24 05:56:32	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 30c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbd9ea6…
04-24 05:55:46	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 30c	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x13379b…
04-24 04:07:10	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 90forhigher	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd66a11…
04-24 03:39:32	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 78 79f	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9e9cbd…
04-24 03:36:36	ethereum above 2000 on april 24	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x3b9314…
04-24 00:30:04	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 30c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x605f2a…
04-23 21:54:38	ethereum above 2000 on april 24	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x053028…
04-23 14:47:10	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x883efd…
04-23 13:26:36	ethereum above 2000 on april 24	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6f5728…
04-23 12:45:12	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 90forhigher	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8900c8…
04-23 08:06:06	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d4ad2…
04-23 02:29:30	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7b8c86…
04-22 23:37:02	will xrp dip to 1pt3 on april 22	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2a04b…
04-22 20:05:28	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 23	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1b80e5…
04-22 19:15:48	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0c4e5b…
04-22 15:29:42	highest temperature in houston on april 23 2026 66 67f	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xa719e3…
04-22 13:25:46	highest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 16c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x98a7e9…
04-22 11:27:16	highest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x38dd9c…
04-22 08:52:52	highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 13c	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf1cd1e…