Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of May 11 2026?
open
Total volume
$12,493
$905 in 24h
Trades
249
Unique wallets
69
Liquidity
$3,526
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-15 21:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.0¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $1.7K
vs crowd: 23% YES on $8.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $1.3K | $3.9K | $2.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $346 | $2.0K | $1.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $355 | $201 | +$154 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $62 | $508 | $446 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $352 | $1.4K | $1.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $7 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $46 | $271 | $224 |
| Median | 9 | $13 | $170 | $157 |
| Below median | 15 | $19 | $158 | $139 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $0 | $28 | $28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $658 | $1.6K | $915 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $894 | $1.6K | $751 |
| unranked | 6 | $35 | $280 | $244 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | +2,094 | $481 | $1,211 | 26 | 05-15 20:00 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +1,231 | $1,089 | $2,079 | 14 | 05-15 14:01 |
| Any-Polenta 0x7c59…0c2c | No | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 05-15 20:00 |
| Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | +772 | $81 | $81 | 14 | 05-15 09:18 |
| Essential-Establishment 0xcbd0…dec4 | No | +538 | $533 | $533 | 1 | 05-15 14:01 |
| Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | +380 | $282 | $282 | 6 | 05-14 12:39 |
| Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | No | +260 | $255 | $255 | 3 | 05-14 23:02 |
| Unripe-Instruction 0x8ca9…f466 | No | +246 | $65 | $65 | 3 | 05-11 13:16 |
| Required-Chemical 0x605f…87a9 | No | +231 | $227 | $227 | 1 | 05-14 22:51 |
| Warlike-Burro 0x8295…610c | Yes | +228 | $237 | $422 | 6 | 05-11 13:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x153c…e5d0 | Yes | +200 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-15 20:00 |
| Paltry-Blank 0x9473…3b20 | No | +200 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 05-14 18:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x936a…3ee7 | No | +192 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 05-15 20:00 |
| Insubstantial-Tonight 0x90c2…8c24 | Yes | +159 | $-105 | $265 | 6 | 05-15 15:19 |
| Grateful-Chance 0xb82e…5278 | Yes | +158 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 12:31 |
| Lonely-Alcove 0x1977…b024 | Yes | +149 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 23:02 |
| Sure-Footed-Everybody 0xc2b4…4053 | Yes | +111 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 22:57 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-15 19:05 |
| Utter-Silk 0x5e84…8e88 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 05-14 04:08 |
| Descriptive-Overshoot 0x0785…ecb4 | Yes | +95 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-12 12:23 |
| Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | +67 | $-1 | $3 | 10 | 05-15 17:45 |
| Close-Cadet 0x2a3a…a752 | Yes | +67 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 13:10 |
| Baggy-Poster 0x9d21…18d7 | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-15 13:02 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 19:05 |
| Naive-Bidet 0x3e77…e626 | No | +50 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-12 19:49 |
| Insubstantial-Tonight 0x90c2…8c24 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-14 15:09 |
| Imperturbable-Equinox 0x743d…f77e | No | +45 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-15 13:10 |
| Actual-Competence 0x50e7…6440 | No | +45 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-15 17:06 |
| Scaly-Waterbed 0xd65a…21eb | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-15 15:06 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 05-15 08:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x8333…1493 | Yes | +28 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 05:21 |
| Stained-Female 0x7aa7…afb4 | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-11 03:36 |
| Eager-Bumper 0xe7f0…7a17 | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 08:53 |
| Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | +23 | $2 | $4 | 5 | 05-15 21:59 |
| Brief-Keeper 0x7713…06fd | Yes | +22 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-11 03:36 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-11 13:16 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-11 18:49 |
| Demanding-East 0x2698…43da | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 09:29 |
| Peppery-Crepe-Disaster 0x025d…3f0c | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 03:36 |
| Back-Wingtip 0x6247…a97b | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +10 | $44 | $53 | 2 | 05-15 06:15 |
| Miserly-Fishnet 0x1929…346b | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-13 15:59 |
| Early-Mood 0x7ef1…fc93 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 03:28 |
| Athletic-Acknowledgment 0x21b5…58ca | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 03:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xa98e…371e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 11:56 |
| Scholarly-Removal 0x58b2…fc39 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 08:22 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 12:55 |
| Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 02:50 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 02:50 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 02:50 |
| Peppery-Crepe-Disaster 0x025d…3f0c | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 02:39 |
| Stained-Female 0x7aa7…afb4 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 02:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 21:59:22 | Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2e9504… |
| 05-15 21:59:22 | Piercing-Conifer 0x7872…b8d2 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x2e9504… |
| 05-15 20:00:44 | Back-Wingtip 0x6247…a97b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe089a3… |
| 05-15 20:00:44 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 172 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe089a3… |
| 05-15 20:00:44 | (anonymous) 0x936a…3ee7 | No | BUY | 192 | 100¢ | $192 | 0xe089a3… |
| 05-15 20:00:08 | (anonymous) 0x153c…e5d0 | Yes | BUY | 172 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f7435… |
| 05-15 20:00:08 | Any-Polenta 0x7c59…0c2c | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x1f7435… |
| 05-15 20:00:08 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 828 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1f7435… |
| 05-15 19:05:51 | (anonymous) 0x153c…e5d0 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x064886… |
| 05-15 19:05:51 | Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x064886… |
| 05-15 19:05:51 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x064886… |
| 05-15 19:05:51 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x064886… |
| 05-15 17:46:13 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52118a… |
| 05-15 17:46:13 | Cheap-Drain 0x405f…4940 | Yes | SELL | 78 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52118a… |
| 05-15 17:45:45 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | BUY | 175 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfcb96d… |
| 05-15 17:45:45 | Cheap-Drain 0x405f…4940 | Yes | SELL | 292 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xfcb96d… |
| 05-15 17:14:26 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | SELL | 307 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x50ba91… |
| 05-15 17:14:26 | Cheap-Drain 0x405f…4940 | Yes | BUY | 307 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x50ba91… |
| 05-15 17:08:18 | Cheap-Drain 0x405f…4940 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e6e19… |
| 05-15 17:08:18 | Piercing-Conifer 0x7872…b8d2 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x9e6e19… |
| 05-15 17:06:00 | Actual-Competence 0x50e7…6440 | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0xda37f8… |
| 05-15 17:06:00 | Cheap-Drain 0x405f…4940 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda37f8… |
| 05-15 15:19:06 | Insubstantial-Tonight 0x90c2…8c24 | Yes | SELL | 258 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd02fae… |
| 05-15 15:19:06 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | BUY | 187 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd02fae… |
| 05-15 15:06:34 | Scaly-Waterbed 0xd65a…21eb | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x3f19c9… |
| 05-15 15:06:34 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f19c9… |
| 05-15 14:01:19 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 488 | 99¢ | $483 | 0xadc81a… |
| 05-15 14:01:19 | Essential-Establishment 0xcbd0…dec4 | No | BUY | 538 | 99¢ | $533 | 0xadc81a… |
| 05-15 14:01:19 | Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xadc81a… |
| 05-15 13:38:04 | Lone-Photoreceptor 0x0de9…a15d | Yes | SELL | 70 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfcfbab… |
| 05-15 13:38:04 | Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfcfbab… |
| 05-15 13:38:04 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfcfbab… |
| 05-15 13:38:04 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xfcfbab… |
| 05-15 13:10:55 | Imperturbable-Equinox 0x743d…f77e | No | BUY | 45 | 97¢ | $44 | 0xacf195… |
| 05-15 13:10:55 | Close-Cadet 0x2a3a…a752 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xacf195… |
| 05-15 13:02:42 | Close-Cadet 0x2a3a…a752 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9bc360… |
| 05-15 13:02:42 | Baggy-Poster 0x9d21…18d7 | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x9bc360… |
| 05-15 13:02:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x9bc360… |
| 05-15 12:31:31 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x18ef14… |
| 05-15 12:31:31 | Grateful-Chance 0xb82e…5278 | Yes | BUY | 158 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x18ef14… |
| 05-15 12:31:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x18ef14… |
| 05-15 12:31:31 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 122 | 95¢ | $116 | 0x18ef14… |
| 05-15 09:18:26 | Insubstantial-Tonight 0x90c2…8c24 | Yes | SELL | 181 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xae7cac… |
| 05-15 09:18:26 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xae7cac… |
| 05-15 09:18:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xae7cac… |
| 05-15 09:18:26 | Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0xae7cac… |
| 05-15 09:18:26 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xae7cac… |
| 05-15 08:22:01 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7a60ce… |
| 05-15 08:22:01 | Scholarly-Removal 0x58b2…fc39 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7a60ce… |
| 05-15 08:20:02 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 1,109 | 95¢ | $1,058 | 0x75bf05… |
| 05-15 08:20:02 | Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x75bf05… |
| 05-15 08:20:02 | Handsome-Recovery 0xc12a…dc73 | No | SELL | 1,009 | 95¢ | $963 | 0x75bf05… |
| 05-15 08:14:05 | Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6f3794… |
| 05-15 08:14:05 | Quick-Phase 0x4eb6…5517 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6f3794… |
| 05-15 08:13:36 | Quick-Phase 0x4eb6…5517 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6b0a38… |
| 05-15 08:13:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6b0a38… |
| 05-15 06:15:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xe653bb… |
| 05-15 06:15:14 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe653bb… |
| 05-15 06:15:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe653bb… |
| 05-15 06:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xe653bb… |
| 05-15 06:15:14 | Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xe653bb… |
| 05-15 06:15:14 | Handsome-Recovery 0xc12a…dc73 | No | SELL | 220 | 96¢ | $211 | 0xe653bb… |
| 05-15 05:52:52 | Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x330473… |
| 05-15 05:52:52 | Insubstantial-Tonight 0x90c2…8c24 | Yes | BUY | 598 | 1¢ | $7 | 0x330473… |
| 05-15 05:52:52 | Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | Yes | SELL | 498 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x330473… |
| 05-15 05:34:28 | Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x08125d… |
| 05-15 05:34:28 | Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x08125d… |
| 05-15 05:21:08 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xacb59f… |
| 05-15 05:21:08 | (anonymous) 0x8333…1493 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xacb59f… |
| 05-15 05:21:08 | Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xacb59f… |
| 05-15 03:54:06 | Athletic-Acknowledgment 0x21b5…58ca | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x65975f… |
| 05-15 03:54:06 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x65975f… |
| 05-15 02:57:15 | Unruly-House 0x89c1…7380 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2481ff… |
| 05-15 02:57:15 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2481ff… |
| 05-15 02:50:34 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x67f7e7… |
| 05-15 02:50:34 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x67f7e7… |
| 05-15 02:50:34 | Humongous-Pagan 0xb63f…793c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x67f7e7… |
| 05-15 02:50:34 | Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x67f7e7… |
| 05-15 02:50:34 | Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x67f7e7… |
| 05-15 02:50:34 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x67f7e7… |
| 05-15 02:49:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a1ab9… |
| 05-15 02:49:09 | Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a1ab9… |
| 05-15 02:49:09 | (anonymous) 0xc255…62f8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4a1ab9… |
| 05-15 02:47:36 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x442923… |
| 05-15 02:47:36 | Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x442923… |
| 05-15 02:47:36 | Ruddy-Alien 0xe327…bc97 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x442923… |
| 05-14 23:02:54 | Lonely-Alcove 0x1977…b024 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x15945a… |
| 05-14 23:02:54 | Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | No | BUY | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x15945a… |
| 05-14 23:02:35 | Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | No | BUY | 96 | 98¢ | $94 | 0x76e74f… |
| 05-14 23:02:35 | Lonely-Alcove 0x1977…b024 | Yes | BUY | 96 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x76e74f… |
| 05-14 22:57:02 | Sure-Footed-Everybody 0xc2b4…4053 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x87efd6… |
| 05-14 22:57:02 | Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | No | BUY | 111 | 98¢ | $109 | 0x87efd6… |
| 05-14 22:51:45 | Required-Chemical 0x605f…87a9 | No | BUY | 231 | 98¢ | $227 | 0xed69e2… |
| 05-14 22:51:45 | (anonymous) 0xc255…62f8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xed69e2… |
| 05-14 22:51:45 | Quick-Phase 0x4eb6…5517 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xed69e2… |
| 05-14 22:51:45 | Unruly-House 0x89c1…7380 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xed69e2… |
| 05-14 22:51:45 | Ruddy-Alien 0xe327…bc97 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xed69e2… |
| 05-14 22:51:45 | Humongous-Pagan 0xb63f…793c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xed69e2… |
| 05-14 18:11:09 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xdfdb67… |
| 05-14 18:11:09 | Paltry-Blank 0x9473…3b20 | No | BUY | 200 | 98¢ | $196 | 0xdfdb67… |