Naive-Bidet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.65K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

307

Trades

1,866

lifetime

Volume

$47.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-28 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

87% 50% +$2,537

Crypto

7% 50% -$23

Sports

6% 28% +$147

Politics

0% 50% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$3	99¢	$0	-$3	05-07 11:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$1	100¢	$0	-$1	05-01 10:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tjrs mentee timmeh receive a payout within 30 days	48	$3.4K	2,086	2,413	-327	Yes	+$134	03-30 23:48
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 15?	20	$2.0K	1,209	1,009	+200	Up	+$32	06-15 13:35
spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	45	$1.6K	2,752	2,045	+708	Up	+$81	06-12 13:29
will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	52	$1.3K	946	1,311	-365	Yes	+$334	04-08 18:35
spx up or down on june 12 2026	48	$1.2K	1,249	832	+417	Up	+$7	06-12 14:34
spx up or down on june 17 2026	37	$1.2K	1,640	565	+1,076	Down	-$17	06-17 13:44
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	32	$1.1K	1,953	474	+1,479	No	+$23	05-08 19:59
spy closes above 750 on june 12 2026	12	$999	555	550	+5	No	+$27	06-12 16:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	18	$975	500	500	+0	open	—	05-01 10:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$969	500	500	+0	open	—	05-14 08:53
spy closes above 755 on june 12 2026	8	$965	802	701	+101	No	-$1	06-12 16:27
will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	19	$853	683	483	+200	Yes	+$119	06-12 08:09
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 15?	15	$814	581	580	+1	Yes	+$62	06-15 18:05
Will there be exactly 5 games played during the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$764	411	411	-0	Yes	+$58	06-14 03:39
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	4	$642	400	400	+0	Yes	+$18	05-08 17:23
spy up or down on june 17 2026	12	$634	898	484	+414	Down	+$11	06-17 09:07
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	33	$577	565	565	+0	Yes	+$7	05-07 11:25
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 8?	2	$551	562	0	+562	No	+$11	05-08 19:29
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?	31	$543	989	879	+110	Yes	+$7	05-06 20:05
spy up or down on june 12 2026	28	$541	704	335	+369	Up	+$17	06-12 12:51
wti up or down on june 17 2026	4	$516	600	200	+400	Down	-$8	06-17 07:44
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	14	$495	628	628	+0	No	-$38	05-07 16:08
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of May 4 2026?	13	$491	660	194	+466	Yes	+$329	05-06 14:10
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	21	$469	538	567	-30	Down	-$22	05-04 01:19
spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	72	$449	1,094	811	+283	Up	-$5	06-17 12:56
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	30	$448	494	394	+100	No	+$9	05-08 00:51
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	8	$422	533	0	+533	No	+$111	05-22 20:50
spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	4	$422	290	290	+0	Down	+$4	06-21 22:13
wti closes above 79 on june 17 2026	7	$415	313	313	+0	No	+$1	06-17 10:18
spy closes above 725 on june 12 2026	3	$411	220	220	+0	Yes	-$2	06-12 13:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:05:05	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in October?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x974c97…
10-22 06:42:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdafc7c…
10-22 06:29:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xd99186…
10-22 05:31:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x2e19df…
10-21 13:31:14	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x8ca6f5…
10-21 10:33:06	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	No	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xd5fa43…
10-21 02:38:27	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 in October?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x5c7ffa…
10-20 19:22:05	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	No	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xcf1e2a…
10-01 14:06:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x08d997…
09-30 12:30:44	will spy reach 770 in september 2026 from september 28	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9aebb6…
09-30 08:42:27	will googl reach 350 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x225f2c…
09-30 08:01:51	will spy reach 770 in september 2026 from september 28	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x4c37b0…
09-30 04:16:09	will googl reach 350 in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x2d0594…
09-30 04:14:35	will googl reach 350 in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x3d14ea…
09-30 00:00:38	will spy reach 775 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xbded79…
09-25 16:06:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xe7125d…
09-25 13:02:00	will spy dip to 765 by september 21 2026 from september 24	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xd3bf68…
09-24 06:55:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x2a4b18…
09-24 04:03:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x5f8f6b…
09-23 17:04:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xcae0dc…
09-23 16:52:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xbf999a…
09-23 16:31:40	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in September?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xa674e7…
09-23 16:29:24	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x582e70…
09-23 16:27:31	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in September?	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xec3f5c…
09-23 16:20:54	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in September?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x2d6eb8…
09-23 15:50:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x2c9374…
09-23 15:49:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in September?	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x90d9f1…
09-23 15:26:23	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8f913d…
09-23 14:49:02	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0x7c28de…
09-23 14:38:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0x866282…
09-23 14:22:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xb5a125…
09-23 14:11:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in September?	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x50a915…
07-30 14:42:44	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x3b5a15…
07-29 18:01:06	will spy dip to 730 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xbaaf02…
07-29 00:18:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x4ef3ea…
07-29 00:15:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?	No	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0x3ae0ce…
07-29 00:07:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x672a40…
07-29 00:07:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 27 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x453dc5…
07-28 03:44:39	will hood dip to 90 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x6c4038…
07-28 00:33:13	will spy dip to 715 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x3d25d7…
07-27 23:59:24	will spy dip to 730 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	130	48¢	$62	0x69cc96…
07-27 17:41:04	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x4b90bc…
07-27 15:38:39	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x898713…
07-27 15:37:51	will spy dip to 730 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xece89f…
07-27 14:55:58	will spy dip to 725 by july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	362	31¢	$112	0x087465…
07-27 14:55:40	will spy dip to 725 by july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	37	32¢	$12	0x61baff…
07-27 14:32:09	will spy dip to 715 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xd0fbf0…
07-27 04:45:04	will spy dip to 730 in july 2026	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x630161…
07-27 04:44:43	will spy dip to 730 in july 2026	No	SELL	23	68¢	$16	0xe391b2…
07-27 02:34:57	spy closes above 735 on july 27 2026	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x0b4462…
07-27 01:58:42	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0x0c25e6…
07-27 01:21:52	will spy dip to 730 in july 2026	No	SELL	46	68¢	$32	0xa3d5f5…
07-27 00:55:37	spy closes above 735 on july 27 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x6ad564…
07-27 00:22:18	will spy dip to 720 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	101	83¢	$84	0x441e01…
07-27 00:21:33	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	BUY	90	82¢	$73	0x5c5496…
07-27 00:21:09	will spy dip to 725 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	399	17¢	$68	0xf51d7e…
07-26 23:56:57	will spy dip to 730 in july 2026	No	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0xcd66f4…
07-26 23:55:58	will spy dip to 730 in july 2026	No	BUY	163	65¢	$106	0x5276a8…
07-26 23:22:51	will spy dip to 730 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x9c9ee7…
07-26 23:22:22	will spy dip to 730 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x7d1cc8…
07-23 13:30:16	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xb1478f…
07-22 11:34:58	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xc0d139…
07-19 23:39:49	spy closes above 730 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xde4f2e…
07-19 22:25:06	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x5a6058…
07-19 22:22:36	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x8a08b8…
07-19 21:49:51	Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	164	95¢	$156	0xad6dee…
07-17 16:36:51	Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	58¢	$117	0x4ea535…
07-16 01:34:17	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x40e7ef…
07-16 01:34:08	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	29	48¢	$14	0x061bc4…
07-16 01:31:56	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xdffcb3…
07-16 01:31:56	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x86790c…
07-16 01:29:34	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x889f00…
07-14 15:42:28	Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x83a8b1…
07-13 17:10:07	will spy reach 755 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x0aa3ec…
07-13 16:35:26	will spy reach 755 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	93	55¢	$51	0x930ad6…
07-13 16:28:01	will spy reach 755 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x587afd…
07-13 16:27:38	will spy reach 755 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x534b21…
07-12 03:41:31	Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xdb9c61…
07-12 03:14:26	Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	96	3¢	$3	0x886182…
07-12 03:05:08	Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8cc475…
07-12 01:11:35	Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xff80b9…
07-12 01:11:35	Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x807884…
07-12 01:11:35	Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x0b54f7…
07-12 01:11:25	Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xdf77c0…
07-12 01:10:50	Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x15d993…
07-12 01:10:16	Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x4a5739…
07-12 00:55:32	Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0x69228e…
07-12 00:45:20	Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x608f7d…
07-11 22:17:58	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x971aa9…
07-11 22:06:13	Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x9cbd99…
07-11 21:47:34	Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6c5f2f…
07-11 21:42:05	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x40b787…
07-11 21:39:17	Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x96777c…
07-11 21:36:26	Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xdbc6fd…
07-11 03:49:10	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0x5f6290…
07-11 00:55:56	Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0xc0efa7…
07-10 23:58:34	Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x42713c…
07-10 23:48:05	Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	18	59¢	$11	0x4ce1dc…
07-10 22:55:41	Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xf44fd0…
07-10 22:52:20	Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x28a3f6…