Naive-Bidet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$69

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

12 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$166

$166 lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-13 05:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

100% 88% +$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes		+21	$8	51¢	$11	+$3	05-13 05:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	2	$55	0	107	-107	Yes	+$55	05-06 15:48
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$36	50	0	+50	Yes	+$14	05-11 15:09
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$33	100	10	+90	No	$-29	05-08 13:39
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 11?	1	$19	0	111	-111	No	+$19	05-11 14:32
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 6?	2	$11	12	200	-188	No	+$8	05-06 19:50
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$8	21	0	+21	open	—	05-13 05:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$2	0	50	-50	No	+$2	05-07 10:53
Will MrBeast's video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 4?	1	$1	0	60	-60	No	+$1	05-05 22:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$0	0	200	-200	No	+$0	05-08 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 05:18:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x5dae24…
05-11 15:09:23	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xd7d337…
05-11 14:32:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	111	17¢	$19	0x5190bb…
05-08 16:27:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x51d2ef…
05-08 13:39:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xb1f734…
05-07 10:53:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x2f476c…
05-07 07:13:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x191f76…
05-06 19:50:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x35aa55…
05-06 16:38:46	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$9	0xce1923…
05-06 15:48:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	No	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x1fedb9…
05-06 08:54:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	No	SELL	101	52¢	$52	0x3fdc44…
05-05 22:39:54	Will MrBeast's video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x00ac8a…