Realized P&L
+$433
Unrealized P&L
+$1.37K
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved
612
Trades
4,125
lifetime
Volume
$193.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$5.06K
26 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-28 06:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Politics
62% 52% +$4,298
Crypto
21% 57% -$1,771
Other
16% 45% -$2,210
Tech
1% 60% +$141
Sports
1% 71% +$57
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$82
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,733 $829 100¢ $1.7K +$902 10-27 20:11
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +905 $666 98¢ $891 +$226 10-27 21:05
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1,049 $506 83¢ $870 +$365 10-27 21:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +1,000 $319 34¢ $345 +$26 10-23 13:56
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +331 $284 96¢ $318 +$34 10-27 20:38
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +154 $129 98¢ $150 +$21 10-27 20:40
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +200 $144 74¢ $148 +$4 09-06 17:14
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +112 -$174 94¢ $106 +$279 10-28 04:30
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 No +156 $78 50¢ $77 -$1 10-22 04:40
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 No +2,634 $403 2¢ $66 -$337 10-26 06:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -132 -$76 48¢ $-64 +$12 10-27 19:00
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +147 $129 43¢ $63 -$65 10-27 20:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +96 $50 57¢ $55 +$5 10-17 16:27
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +58 $42 88¢ $51 +$10 10-25 22:09
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +727 $50 5¢ $38 -$12 10-28 05:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +136 $50 26¢ $36 -$14 10-22 03:48
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +333 $30 8¢ $28 -$2 09-05 06:55
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -10 -$8 82¢ $-8 -$1 09-05 18:06
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +617 $40 1¢ $4 -$36 10-20 06:40
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -800 -$2 0¢ $-4 -$2 09-01 17:35
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? No +200 $17 1¢ $3 -$14 10-24 12:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10 -$2 18¢ $-2 +$1 09-05 18:07
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -800 -$1 0¢ $-1 $0 09-05 18:05
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -800 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$0 09-01 17:34
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -600 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 09-01 17:34
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +0 $28 4¢ $0 -$28 09-15 16:45