Athletic-Acknowledgment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

870

Trades

1,015

lifetime

Volume

$6.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 07-01 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

75% 99% +$46

Politics

20% 96% -$19

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% 90% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	5	$35	21	21	+0	open	—	07-01 12:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$25	5	20	-15	No	+$0	05-08 10:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$25	20	5	+15	No	+$0	05-10 15:05
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-01 12:39
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-26 14:43
Will Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	4	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-03 12:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-14 02:54
Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 5.5	2	$20	20	0	+20	Under	+$0	05-21 23:31
Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-18 01:45
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-02 20:21
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-16 14:57
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-17 18:53
Will "COWARD by Lukas DHONT" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-21 17:18
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be greater than $170M at market close on IPO day?	5	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-26 20:14
Will "PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-21 16:20
Will Ben Flook win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	4	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-04 22:01
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?	3	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	06-01 17:16
Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-14 22:00
Will "The Crash" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	3	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-25 12:04
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	4	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-05 18:29
Will Ryan Crosswell be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-18 19:57
Will Serbia win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-12 12:47
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-23 22:08
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	3	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-18 21:02
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-14 20:36
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 0.5	2	$20	20	0	+20	Over	+$0	05-17 14:45
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 6% or more?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$1	06-02 15:44
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	05-10 14:59
Will Kandiss Taylor be the Republican nominee for GA-01?	2	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	05-18 08:14
Will John Mills be the Republican nominee for AL-01?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	-$3	07-01 12:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 12:40:11	Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xadf5f6…
07-01 12:39:38	Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1cee2d…
07-01 12:39:28	Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0248c3…
07-01 12:39:19	Will John Mills be the Republican nominee for AL-01?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x957afd…
07-01 12:39:08	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	21	83¢	$17	0xaa23c2…
06-04 09:40:24	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x52d026…
06-04 09:40:24	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x17c01e…
06-04 09:40:21	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb7bfa4…
06-04 09:40:21	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa4853d…
06-04 09:40:21	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x97017a…
06-04 09:40:21	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x84ec67…
06-04 09:40:19	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa62f71…
06-04 09:40:18	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb6f14c…
06-04 09:40:18	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8b8620…
06-04 09:40:15	nvda above 185 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x20af8e…
06-04 07:49:22	will spy reach 770 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xee2e68…
06-04 06:18:55	Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.5B and $2.75B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x19e79a…
06-04 06:18:45	Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.5B and $2.75B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x872fce…
06-04 06:14:55	Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)	Slovenia	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1b8006…
06-04 04:48:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1074d2…
06-04 02:39:07	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x26828a…
06-03 16:44:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x511b2f…
06-03 16:44:06	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd79ca0…
06-03 16:43:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3f0ac0…
06-03 14:40:24	Will Anna Muzychuk win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x66db95…
06-03 14:01:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc81bd4…
06-03 13:33:27	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be at least $5.25B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa0952c…
06-03 11:28:35	Will Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb8f515…
06-03 11:20:30	Will Choi Min-ho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb6121…
06-03 10:44:34	Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 6 or 7 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3dec5d…
06-03 07:57:18	Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5aff09…
06-03 06:22:01	Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xacbece…
06-03 06:00:31	Will Divya Deshmukh win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1a38ab…
06-03 05:26:46	Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x27c3cd…
06-03 04:55:41	Will voter turnout be at least 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7d9fef…
06-03 04:33:59	Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 6 or 7 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xd125ad…
06-03 04:31:21	Will voter turnout be between 50% and 55% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6c5ef5…
06-03 04:27:23	Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x47b6e4…
06-03 03:33:47	Will Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x34ef2a…
06-03 03:05:59	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by 20% or more?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x045bce…
06-03 02:32:19	Will the Democratic Party win 15 upper-level local government races?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7daf28…
06-03 01:37:10	Will Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6b4c8c…
06-03 00:18:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6013f6…
06-02 22:35:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6a57a3…
06-02 20:21:11	Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc523cb…
06-02 18:38:41	Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x517ebc…
06-02 17:31:19	Will Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xadeea5…
06-02 15:44:30	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 6% or more?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xee5468…
06-02 14:05:11	Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9054ad…
06-02 11:05:09	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0x8e8ea7…
06-02 03:46:25	Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 6 or 7 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x3d9d54…
06-02 03:27:15	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $10B and $13B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc7aa0d…
06-02 03:27:12	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $10B and $13B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x113f98…
06-02 03:26:44	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $10B and $13B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdff294…
06-02 03:26:44	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $10B and $13B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa9279a…
06-02 03:26:42	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $10B and $13B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7504b3…
06-02 03:26:42	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $10B and $13B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6f4ec9…
06-02 03:26:40	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $10B and $13B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x83a3e0…
06-02 03:26:40	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $10B and $13B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x664d24…
06-02 02:44:37	Will "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfe61c2…
06-02 02:07:26	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $10B and $13B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0fc92f…
06-02 02:07:22	Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $10B and $13B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdc0f40…
06-01 23:57:10	Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc41788…
06-01 22:36:45	Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb370e0…
06-01 19:30:56	First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x33eaa0…
06-01 17:16:51	Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xe2abf2…
06-01 17:16:51	Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x77554a…
06-01 17:16:51	Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3f2183…
06-01 16:37:43	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-06-01?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa78385…
06-01 16:21:11	Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x25cb1a…
06-01 13:20:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x6b53f9…
06-01 10:29:57	Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5ad766…
06-01 10:20:02	Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb783c3…
06-01 10:18:38	Will Sam Bregman win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdd43d1…
06-01 10:18:15	Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x26c45d…
06-01 04:15:24	Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x55c4b9…
06-01 01:36:24	Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x55c40b…
06-01 01:15:33	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x95afd1…
05-31 10:20:33	Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x28f51e…
05-31 05:20:06	Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5fd3fd…
05-30 06:58:42	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1aeef5…
05-29 06:49:47	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x127e8b…
05-29 05:22:08	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe79cba…
05-29 04:45:34	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd8222c…
05-29 04:44:53	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x041bb2…
05-29 02:11:27	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x0d8808…
05-29 00:48:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4ed082…
05-28 23:29:20	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x311c6e…
05-28 22:19:43	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xfedc38…
05-28 20:51:50	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc59d51…
05-28 20:22:26	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x637246…
05-28 19:41:54	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfb3b22…
05-28 18:49:53	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb30c13…
05-28 18:44:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbde0f7…
05-28 17:46:18	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x74049e…
05-28 17:39:32	Will Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x27f199…
05-28 16:15:38	Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4b0d0c…
05-28 15:42:35	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Finals Playoffs	TYLOO	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf8b369…
05-28 14:24:23	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5307ed…
05-28 14:15:15	Will Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x03dc42…