Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
open
Total volume
$453
$1,264 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$3,366
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-13 07:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $66 | $66 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $221 | $221 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $2 | $135 | $133 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $53 | $53 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 4 | — | $156 | $156 |
| Below median | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | — | $191 | $191 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $20 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | +94 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 05-12 18:56 |
| Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | +86 | $84 | $84 | 3 | 05-12 18:56 |
| Unsung-Burning 0x62bc…97ac | Yes | +74 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 01:31 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +52 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 05-12 21:52 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-12 18:56 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +37 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 05-11 23:35 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-12 18:56 |
| Plush-Reminder 0x1964…5e04 | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-09 10:35 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-11 10:57 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 03:48 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-11 05:19 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 20:43 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 05:23 |
| Oval-Essential 0xeb03…5d15 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 03:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 07:56:12 | Likable-Share 0x5af5…5fcc | No | SELL | 21 | 98¢ | $21 | 0x6a06f6… |
| 05-13 01:32:01 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xcd77d6… |
| 05-13 01:31:58 | Unsung-Burning 0x62bc…97ac | Yes | BUY | 74 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x6d8eb6… |
| 05-12 21:52:57 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0xe89e83… |
| 05-12 18:56:45 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 66 | 98¢ | $64 | 0x28c180… |
| 05-12 18:56:44 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | BUY | 94 | 98¢ | $92 | 0xd03abc… |
| 05-12 18:56:44 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x0467fe… |
| 05-12 18:56:44 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xf1d377… |
| 05-12 03:48:58 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x4cfb6d… |
| 05-12 03:48:58 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0xcac13c… |
| 05-11 23:35:43 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xc05865… |
| 05-11 22:14:17 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x05c411… |
| 05-11 20:43:36 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x6bfa8e… |
| 05-11 10:57:42 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xb4a52e… |
| 05-11 10:57:42 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xd07852… |
| 05-11 10:57:42 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $16 | 0x55248f… |
| 05-11 05:19:24 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0x7b99e4… |
| 05-11 05:19:24 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x46e684… |
| 05-10 05:23:32 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x3490d3… |
| 05-09 10:35:15 | Plush-Reminder 0x1964…5e04 | No | BUY | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0x00f765… |
| 05-09 03:54:28 | Oval-Essential 0xeb03…5d15 | No | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x7241dc… |
| 05-08 18:07:40 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd33647… |
| 05-08 18:02:05 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x022fe1… |