Plush-Reminder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

Trades

381

lifetime

Volume

$7.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$105

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-30 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% 25% $-46

Politics

29% 100% +$34

Tech

14% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?	No		+107	$100	98¢	$105	+$5	06-08 13:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	8	$352	225	225	+0	open	—	02-27 11:31
ebola case in the us by june 30	5	$300	411	0	+411	open	—	06-05 13:36
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	11	$289	188	188	+0	open	—	05-29 19:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$260	136	136	+0	open	—	05-29 13:43
gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	7	$240	1,202	1,202	+0	open	—	03-03 15:29
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?	5	$222	244	0	+244	open	—	05-30 10:12
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	10	$213	298	75	+224	open	—	06-01 12:29
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	9	$212	173	158	+16	open	—	05-28 15:00
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	2	$211	157	118	+39	open	—	05-10 16:23
VEO 4 released by April 30, 2026?	3	$162	108	108	+0	open	—	04-11 05:51
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?	7	$156	223	0	+223	open	—	05-30 09:27
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	3	$143	114	114	+0	open	—	05-16 09:11
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	4	$127	76	75	+1	open	—	05-29 05:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	6	$126	168	0	+168	open	—	04-01 08:04
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$126	70	70	+0	open	—	03-08 06:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$117	68	68	+0	open	—	05-30 10:11
will john fleming drop out	8	$110	137	0	+137	open	—	06-08 16:15
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	2	$105	82	41	+41	open	—	04-22 15:53
will wti reach 125 by april 13 2026	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	04-12 09:10
Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?	1	$100	107	0	+107	open	—	06-08 13:16
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	4	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	06-08 18:20
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	5	$95	247	247	+0	open	—	03-03 18:22
will iran strike safaniya field by march 31	5	$95	114	0	+114	open	—	03-28 12:30
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	3	$86	47	47	+0	open	—	05-29 16:23
will khamenei tweet every day through march 20	5	$80	78	78	+0	open	—	03-14 19:10
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	3	$80	123	0	+123	open	—	06-06 13:21
houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	2	$75	91	0	+91	open	—	03-29 10:32
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?	2	$70	89	0	+89	open	—	04-01 13:43
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	1	$70	75	0	+75	open	—	04-01 14:38
Trump kiss by May 31?	2	$68	61	61	+0	open	—	05-20 12:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 09:32:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x7aed23…
06-09 13:12:45	will marco rubio attend the g7 summit	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xc04ff1…
06-08 18:20:48	Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xf5da40…
06-08 18:20:36	Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x583b77…
06-08 18:20:09	Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xb1fe73…
06-08 18:19:42	Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xa7dfff…
06-08 18:19:28	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x016832…
06-08 18:19:19	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x50efe1…
06-08 18:18:36	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x949d80…
06-08 18:18:06	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x16558a…
06-08 17:55:34	will victor glover be chosen for the artemis iii mission	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xedcf75…
06-08 17:55:28	will victor glover be chosen for the artemis iii mission	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x2ac0a9…
06-08 17:55:16	will victor glover be chosen for the artemis iii mission	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x813f71…
06-08 17:55:12	will victor glover be chosen for the artemis iii mission	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x23c2aa…
06-08 17:54:48	will victor glover be chosen for the artemis iii mission	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xdb4a50…
06-08 17:54:43	will victor glover be chosen for the artemis iii mission	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xa1e41f…
06-08 17:45:28	fda approves camurus oclaiz 06 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8748d5…
06-08 16:51:57	chwy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 10 2026 0pt43	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x5aa7f3…
06-08 16:15:49	will john fleming drop out	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x449f35…
06-08 14:27:22	Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x661941…
06-08 14:27:01	Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x488f94…
06-08 13:16:03	Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xc39598…
06-08 12:36:27	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa7163b…
06-08 12:34:31	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7b6586…
06-07 08:03:34	will trump say make america great again this week 20260605142537487	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x6a90d7…
06-06 13:25:10	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x8b888d…
06-06 13:21:18	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x546c70…
06-06 13:20:57	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xe418e5…
06-06 13:06:09	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x96d747…
06-06 12:06:12	will trump say polling this week 20260605142537482	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1a9be3…
06-06 12:05:24	will trump say uranium this week 20260605142537493	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xb56345…
06-05 13:36:19	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xc6e65d…
06-04 08:57:16	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	No	SELL	58	17¢	$10	0xa42f72…
06-03 20:06:37	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x578f1c…
06-03 20:06:10	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x851678…
06-03 20:06:06	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe2751a…
06-03 20:05:57	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x759d42…
06-03 20:05:46	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x72d527…
06-03 20:05:39	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x8aecda…
06-02 07:59:56	Will John Fleming drop out?	No	BUY	34	90¢	$30	0x8b1776…
06-02 07:59:26	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xc915e6…
06-01 12:55:12	Will John Fleming drop out?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x01dd18…
06-01 12:54:07	Will John Fleming drop out?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xd55363…
06-01 12:54:04	Will John Fleming drop out?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb6a0b3…
06-01 12:53:50	Will John Fleming drop out?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe55639…
06-01 12:53:38	Will John Fleming drop out?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x0cb531…
06-01 12:53:34	Will John Fleming drop out?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd89752…
06-01 12:32:18	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xa2a944…
06-01 12:29:48	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	No	SELL	75	90¢	$67	0xbf7555…
06-01 09:51:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x676ca9…
05-31 09:43:04	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xb56f58…
05-31 09:42:53	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbe75aa…
05-30 10:48:12	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xa8e25c…
05-30 10:42:22	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xd83ba0…
05-30 10:12:30	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xd4a663…
05-30 10:11:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$67	0xaeaf06…
05-30 10:01:52	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xdfa260…
05-30 09:57:05	Grok 4.4 released by June 30?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x67c027…
05-30 09:27:11	Will Trump say "UFC" this week?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x9f8a97…
05-30 09:26:53	Will Trump say "UFC" this week?	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x6e5efa…
05-30 06:46:46	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x983bfe…
05-30 05:25:06	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xc975f9…
05-30 05:24:20	Will Trump say "UFC" this week?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x7fbffe…
05-30 05:23:58	Will Trump say "UFC" this week?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x05eaea…
05-29 19:23:13	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x12a34b…
05-29 19:22:34	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	No	BUY	62	49¢	$30	0xe598e4…
05-29 19:21:42	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	SELL	188	95¢	$179	0x345dc1…
05-29 16:23:54	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	No	BUY	67	69¢	$46	0x68732b…
05-29 16:23:21	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$46	0x62fc88…
05-29 13:43:43	Will Trump say "UFC" this week?	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x5bd904…
05-29 13:43:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x061fb8…
05-29 13:42:21	Will Trump say "UFC" this week?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x8f70a7…
05-29 13:41:51	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xc47b70…
05-29 13:41:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xb02d23…
05-29 13:40:23	Will Trump say "UFC" this week?	No	BUY	49	73¢	$36	0x2b4d10…
05-29 13:39:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x52ea45…
05-29 05:22:36	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0xf2437a…
05-29 05:22:15	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	SELL	75	99¢	$75	0xdd3de5…
05-28 15:00:19	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x20d9b6…
05-28 08:44:32	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x35ce6c…
05-28 08:42:38	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x12b3d9…
05-28 08:42:35	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x206ced…
05-28 08:42:30	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x301604…
05-28 08:42:23	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	No	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xf1b153…
05-28 08:42:12	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x86200b…
05-28 08:06:28	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf7b6b7…
05-28 08:05:53	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x0c3fc3…
05-28 08:05:06	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	No	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0xf90a11…
05-28 08:05:03	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8c7bef…
05-28 07:33:54	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x836913…
05-28 07:33:52	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa5d9bf…
05-26 06:36:30	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	158	80¢	$126	0x11ce5a…
05-25 14:56:09	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xab4d8d…
05-25 14:55:39	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x52e246…
05-25 14:55:37	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfc6ba3…
05-25 14:55:35	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc57d2e…
05-25 14:55:18	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x193fe7…
05-25 14:26:43	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9d1024…
05-25 14:26:36	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x54e582…
05-25 14:26:27	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x17fc89…