Plush-Reminder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

Trades

433

lifetime

Volume

$9.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-10 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

57% 25% $-46

Politics

26% 100% +$34

Tech

14% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	8	$352	225	225	+0	open	—	02-27 11:31
ebola case in the us by june 30	5	$300	411	0	+411	open	—	06-05 13:36
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	11	$289	188	188	+0	open	—	05-29 19:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$260	136	136	+0	open	—	05-29 13:43
gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	7	$240	1,202	1,202	+0	open	—	03-03 15:29
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?	5	$222	244	0	+244	open	—	05-30 10:12
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	10	$213	298	75	+224	open	—	06-01 12:29
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	9	$212	173	158	+16	open	—	05-28 15:00
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	2	$211	157	118	+39	open	—	05-10 16:23
VEO 4 released by April 30, 2026?	3	$162	108	108	+0	open	—	04-11 05:51
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?	7	$156	223	0	+223	open	—	05-30 09:27
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	3	$143	114	114	+0	open	—	05-16 09:11
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	4	$127	76	75	+1	open	—	05-29 05:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	6	$126	168	0	+168	open	—	04-01 08:04
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$126	70	70	+0	open	—	03-08 06:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$117	68	68	+0	open	—	05-30 10:11
will john fleming drop out	8	$110	137	0	+137	open	—	06-08 16:15
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 4 2026 20260722225036928	3	$107	182	0	+182	open	—	08-07 19:14
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	2	$105	82	41	+41	open	—	04-22 15:53
iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	07-31 17:09
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	1	$100	143	0	+143	open	—	07-30 09:48
will wti reach 125 by april 13 2026	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	04-12 09:10
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 3 2026 20260722225036927	3	$100	121	0	+121	open	—	08-02 08:20
Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?	1	$100	107	0	+107	open	—	06-08 13:16
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	4	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	06-08 18:20
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	5	$95	247	247	+0	open	—	03-03 18:22
will iran strike safaniya field by march 31	5	$95	114	0	+114	open	—	03-28 12:30
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 28 2026 20260722225036952	1	$90	100	0	+100	open	—	08-01 19:03
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 11 2026 20260722225036935	1	$90	101	0	+101	open	—	08-01 17:14
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 12 2026 20260722225036936	1	$90	101	0	+101	open	—	08-01 17:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 09:54:01	will anthropic reset claude usage limit by august 15 1785441877172	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x18d0b1…
08-08 19:40:42	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x3892a2…
08-08 18:56:57	russia strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 8 2026 20260805160021491	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x29d15d…
08-08 18:55:45	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 11 1786098036075	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb7156e…
08-08 18:46:49	chatgpt outage on august 12 2026 20260806133118516	No	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xa87b89…
08-07 19:14:31	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 4 2026 20260722225036928	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xef3a2a…
08-07 19:05:46	will carlos alcaraz play in the uptspt open 20260805193315485	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1a5e7f…
08-07 18:59:27	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x39e584…
08-07 18:17:13	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xcb4b2d…
08-07 18:12:07	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 7 20260730202035443	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe2574a…
08-07 18:03:09	will tony score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107431	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x30972c…
08-07 17:40:48	bitcoin above 64k on august 8 2026	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4da44a…
08-06 08:37:59	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 4 2026 20260722225036928	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5e5d25…
08-06 08:37:38	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 4 2026 20260722225036928	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x544a28…
08-05 15:26:30	iran successfully targets shipping on august 5 2026 20260729163314525	No	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0xfabfda…
08-04 17:11:26	spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xbdb95d…
08-04 17:11:17	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x734c89…
08-03 18:57:29	will anthropic reset claude usage limit by august 15 1785441877172	No	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xdfe6ea…
08-03 09:37:05	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 14 2026 20260722225036938	No	BUY	101	89¢	$90	0x2bd6b0…
08-03 09:31:56	will uefa end its fifa boycott by august 24 2026 20260731024630662	Yes	SELL	29	53¢	$15	0x5075f0…
08-03 07:25:17	will uefa end its fifa boycott by august 10 2026 20260731024630661	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x001bb2…
08-02 12:52:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	42	47¢	$20	0xe6edb2…
08-02 08:20:33	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 3 2026 20260722225036927	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xdba931…
08-02 06:30:38	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 3 2026 20260722225036927	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xb41cff…
08-01 19:06:38	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 3 2026 20260722225036927	No	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x778506…
08-01 19:04:53	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 21 2026 20260722225036945	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x2b1b86…
08-01 19:03:51	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 28 2026 20260722225036952	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x88d81f…
08-01 19:03:11	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 8 2026 20260722225036932	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x39413e…
08-01 19:01:44	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 15 20260710184334566	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9c3f14…
08-01 18:17:09	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 19 2026 20260722225036943	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xda0fc9…
08-01 18:13:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x5b1edb…
08-01 17:15:59	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 16 2026 20260722225036940	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xc59947…
08-01 17:15:15	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 12 2026 20260722225036936	No	BUY	101	89¢	$90	0x91fb78…
08-01 17:14:14	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 11 2026 20260722225036935	No	BUY	101	89¢	$90	0x5b1367…
08-01 12:06:02	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 19 2026 20260722225036943	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x1a7beb…
08-01 12:05:18	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 24 2026 20260722225036948	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xb1c56a…
08-01 12:04:45	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 8 2026 20260722225036932	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xf624f0…
08-01 12:03:45	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 19 2026 20260722225036943	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xbfbb10…
08-01 11:59:14	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	No	BUY	58	87¢	$50	0x07c6a8…
08-01 11:44:30	will uefa end its fifa boycott by august 24 2026 20260731024630662	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x39f8fa…
08-01 11:43:24	will uefa end its fifa boycott by august 24 2026 20260731024630662	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xeffeff…
07-31 17:09:20	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xb294d2…
07-30 18:33:06	another frontier math problem solved by september 30 2026 20260728180257858	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6d44f5…
07-30 18:13:45	will gas hit 4pt25 high by august 31 20260728213741796	No	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x9c2bac…
07-30 18:12:50	will gas hit 4pt25 high by august 31 20260728213741796	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf9fc93…
07-30 15:31:35	will houthis successfully target shipping on july 31 2026 20260722225036924	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x5c5873…
07-30 12:46:05	will gas hit 4pt25 high by august 31 20260728213741796	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x88e519…
07-30 12:44:47	will gas hit 4pt25 high by august 31 20260728213741796	No	BUY	55	37¢	$20	0x44e487…
07-30 12:44:20	will gas hit 4pt50 high by august 31 20260728213741795	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x13b6df…
07-30 09:48:53	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x06d68d…
07-28 09:41:55	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x092f43…
07-28 09:41:35	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x872089…
06-30 09:32:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x7aed23…
06-09 13:12:45	will marco rubio attend the g7 summit	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xc04ff1…
06-08 18:20:48	Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xf5da40…
06-08 18:20:36	Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x583b77…
06-08 18:20:09	Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xb1fe73…
06-08 18:19:42	Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xa7dfff…
06-08 18:19:28	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x016832…
06-08 18:19:19	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x50efe1…
06-08 18:18:36	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x949d80…
06-08 18:18:06	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x16558a…
06-08 17:55:34	will victor glover be chosen for the artemis iii mission	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xedcf75…
06-08 17:55:28	will victor glover be chosen for the artemis iii mission	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x2ac0a9…
06-08 17:55:16	will victor glover be chosen for the artemis iii mission	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x813f71…
06-08 17:55:12	will victor glover be chosen for the artemis iii mission	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x23c2aa…
06-08 17:54:48	will victor glover be chosen for the artemis iii mission	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xdb4a50…
06-08 17:54:43	will victor glover be chosen for the artemis iii mission	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xa1e41f…
06-08 17:45:28	fda approves camurus oclaiz 06 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8748d5…
06-08 16:51:57	chwy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 10 2026 0pt43	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x5aa7f3…
06-08 16:15:49	will john fleming drop out	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x449f35…
06-08 14:27:22	Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x661941…
06-08 14:27:01	Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x488f94…
06-08 13:16:03	Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xc39598…
06-08 12:36:27	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa7163b…
06-08 12:34:31	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7b6586…
06-07 08:03:34	will trump say make america great again this week 20260605142537487	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x6a90d7…
06-06 13:25:10	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x8b888d…
06-06 13:21:18	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x546c70…
06-06 13:20:57	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xe418e5…
06-06 13:06:09	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x96d747…
06-06 12:06:12	will trump say polling this week 20260605142537482	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1a9be3…
06-06 12:05:24	will trump say uranium this week 20260605142537493	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xb56345…
06-05 13:36:19	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xc6e65d…
06-04 08:57:16	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	No	SELL	58	17¢	$10	0xa42f72…
06-03 20:06:37	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x578f1c…
06-03 20:06:10	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x851678…
06-03 20:06:06	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe2751a…
06-03 20:05:57	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x759d42…
06-03 20:05:46	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x72d527…
06-03 20:05:39	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x8aecda…
06-02 07:59:56	Will John Fleming drop out?	No	BUY	34	90¢	$30	0x8b1776…
06-02 07:59:26	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xc915e6…
06-01 12:55:12	Will John Fleming drop out?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x01dd18…
06-01 12:54:07	Will John Fleming drop out?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xd55363…
06-01 12:54:04	Will John Fleming drop out?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb6a0b3…
06-01 12:53:50	Will John Fleming drop out?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe55639…
06-01 12:53:38	Will John Fleming drop out?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x0cb531…
06-01 12:53:34	Will John Fleming drop out?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd89752…
06-01 12:32:18	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xa2a944…