Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?
No won
Total volume
$3,683
Trades
288
Unique wallets
74
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-09-23
last 10-06 13:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.0¢
(top1%: 9% YES on $839
vs crowd: 17% YES on $3.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 26 | $255 | $1.4K | $1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $214 | $662 | $448 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $73 | $686 | $614 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $24 | $26 | $2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 21 | $75 | $764 | $689 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $75 | $682 | $607 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | $5 | $0 |
| Median | 2 | $2 | $17 | $14 |
| Below median | 5 | $26 | $22 | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $54 | $21 | +$33 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $40 | $195 | $155 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 18 | $289 | $1.1K | $779 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +510 | $84 | $84 | 9 | 10-02 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | No | +410 | $324 | $324 | 1 | 09-23 15:06 |
| Vacant-Legacy 0x20dc…201d | No | +398 | $350 | $350 | 2 | 10-03 12:01 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +385 | $52 | $72 | 11 | 10-03 23:59 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +370 | $309 | $309 | 26 | 10-02 06:22 |
| Steep-Visa 0xd3ec…6603 | No | +345 | $255 | $255 | 1 | 09-28 15:00 |
| Plush-Reminder 0x1964…5e04 | No | +257 | $224 | $376 | 2 | 10-03 15:47 |
| Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | Yes | +220 | $46 | $46 | 9 | 09-23 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a9d…f332 | Yes | +188 | $30 | $30 | 6 | 09-30 17:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +187 | $157 | $157 | 3 | 10-01 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x037b…a36f | Yes | +170 | $15 | $15 | 5 | 10-06 13:26 |
| Bumpy-Conscience 0x4d02…2ad3 | Yes | +128 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 09-25 15:33 |
| Shy-Note 0xe432…934a | Yes | +124 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 09-28 22:47 |
| Queasy-Airship 0x048a…9be4 | Yes | +100 | $19 | $22 | 3 | 10-06 12:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +88 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-01 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +88 | $70 | $70 | 2 | 10-01 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fa7…907e | No | +84 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 10-06 13:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +83 | $67 | $67 | 2 | 09-23 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b89…ddae | Yes | +78 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 09-30 22:56 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +78 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 09-30 22:56 |
| Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | No | +75 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 09-25 22:45 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +72 | $8 | $27 | 4 | 10-03 15:47 |
| Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | +72 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 10-01 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb139…0ba0 | Yes | +70 | $10 | $17 | 6 | 10-02 09:30 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +70 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 10-02 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb139…0ba0 | No | +70 | $61 | $61 | 2 | 10-02 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | +65 | $11 | $11 | 13 | 10-02 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +60 | $53 | $55 | 4 | 10-03 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +60 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 10-03 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +60 | $1 | $1 | 8 | 10-06 13:26 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +56 | $21 | $53 | 6 | 09-30 17:56 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +55 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 10-06 12:09 |
| Cumbersome-Circulation 0x2a31…f2f0 | Yes | +50 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 10-02 00:56 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +50 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 09-23 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +48 | $40 | $48 | 2 | 10-01 12:05 |
| Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | +46 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 09-30 06:04 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +43 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 10-06 13:19 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +41 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 09-25 22:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 3 | 10-06 12:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b15…96d4 | Yes | +40 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-24 14:51 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +40 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 09-30 22:55 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +35 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 10-01 10:20 |
| Slim-Target 0x1894…a936 | Yes | +30 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 10-02 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7ae…97e6 | Yes | +29 | -$1 | $1 | 9 | 10-06 12:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf43…b321 | No | +26 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 09-23 12:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x5568…9ea3 | Yes | +23 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-23 15:06 |
| Scornful-Software 0xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | +23 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-23 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x5568…9ea3 | No | +23 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 09-23 15:07 |
| Cheery-Science 0x3089…92f6 | Yes | +21 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-26 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x5591…ebe0 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-25 11:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-23 15:06 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $8 | 3 | 10-03 12:01 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-03 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-06 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +20 | $18 | $27 | 3 | 10-02 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 09-23 15:06 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 10-06 13:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 10-06 12:08 |
| Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-06 12:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x5937…11da | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-28 15:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:27:03 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x150e94… |
| 10-06 13:27:03 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x150e94… |
| 10-06 13:27:03 | (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x150e94… |
| 10-06 13:26:54 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb00c2b… |
| 10-06 13:26:54 | (anonymous) 0x037b…a36f | Yes | BUY | 74 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb00c2b… |
| 10-06 13:26:54 | (anonymous) 0x6fa7…907e | No | BUY | 84 | 100¢ | $83 | 0xb00c2b… |
| 10-06 13:19:12 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x6b26c1… |
| 10-06 13:19:12 | (anonymous) 0x037b…a36f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35aea9… |
| 10-06 13:19:12 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x3610d8… |
| 10-06 13:19:12 | (anonymous) 0x037b…a36f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3610d8… |
| 10-06 13:19:12 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x35aea9… |
| 10-06 13:19:12 | (anonymous) 0x037b…a36f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b26c1… |
| 10-06 13:11:45 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf68b49… |
| 10-06 13:11:45 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf68b49… |
| 10-06 13:11:39 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9b24c3… |
| 10-06 13:11:39 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9b24c3… |
| 10-06 13:11:33 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34ce6f… |
| 10-06 13:11:33 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34ce6f… |
| 10-06 13:11:27 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3b0e5… |
| 10-06 13:11:27 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3b0e5… |
| 10-06 12:09:00 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x47b23c… |
| 10-06 12:09:00 | Queasy-Airship 0x048a…9be4 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc8aab7… |
| 10-06 12:09:00 | Queasy-Airship 0x048a…9be4 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x47b23c… |
| 10-06 12:09:00 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x12bd2b… |
| 10-06 12:09:00 | (anonymous) 0xf7ae…97e6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12bd2b… |
| 10-06 12:09:00 | (anonymous) 0x7a55…9e6b | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc8aab7… |
| 10-06 12:09:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x47b23c… |
| 10-06 12:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xaf6369… |
| 10-06 12:08:58 | (anonymous) 0xf7ae…97e6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaf6369… |
| 10-06 12:08:54 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xc91d74… |
| 10-06 12:08:54 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xef0815… |
| 10-06 12:08:54 | (anonymous) 0xf7ae…97e6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xef0815… |
| 10-06 12:08:54 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4f75b9… |
| 10-06 12:08:54 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd0e356… |
| 10-06 12:08:54 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xef0815… |
| 10-06 12:08:54 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x4f75b9… |
| 10-06 12:08:54 | (anonymous) 0xf7ae…97e6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4f75b9… |
| 10-06 12:08:54 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4f75b9… |
| 10-06 12:08:54 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd0e356… |
| 10-06 12:08:54 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc91d74… |
| 10-06 12:08:54 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4f75b9… |
| 10-04 03:47:04 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x607e9c… |
| 10-04 03:47:04 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x607e9c… |
| 10-04 03:47:04 | (anonymous) 0x6e7f…2dd0 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x607e9c… |
| 10-03 23:59:16 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4aa35e… |
| 10-03 23:59:16 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 70 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x4aa35e… |
| 10-03 23:59:16 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4aa35e… |
| 10-03 15:47:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 11¢ | $9 | 0x8e002a… |
| 10-03 15:47:23 | Plush-Reminder 0x1964…5e04 | No | SELL | 86 | 89¢ | $76 | 0x8e002a… |
| 10-03 12:01:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa77a88… |
| 10-03 12:01:47 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf1d56a… |
| 10-03 12:01:47 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x306034… |
| 10-03 12:01:47 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xf1d56a… |
| 10-03 12:01:47 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xa77a88… |
| 10-03 12:01:47 | Vacant-Legacy 0x20dc…201d | No | BUY | 160 | 94¢ | $150 | 0x306034… |
| 10-03 12:01:47 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x306034… |
| 10-03 12:01:47 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x306034… |
| 10-02 16:19:09 | Jovial-Pickaxe 0x14a0…d8e3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x84ae7a… |
| 10-02 16:19:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x84ae7a… |
| 10-02 09:30:12 | Plush-Reminder 0x1964…5e04 | No | BUY | 343 | 87¢ | $300 | 0xce99a4… |
| 10-02 09:30:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0xce99a4… |
| 10-02 09:30:12 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xce99a4… |
| 10-02 09:30:12 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xce99a4… |
| 10-02 09:30:12 | (anonymous) 0xb139…0ba0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xce99a4… |
| 10-02 09:30:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x21c569… |
| 10-02 09:30:12 | (anonymous) 0xb139…0ba0 | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x21c569… |
| 10-02 09:30:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 12¢ | $11 | 0xce99a4… |
| 10-02 09:30:12 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xce99a4… |
| 10-02 06:22:05 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0x21bd5b… |
| 10-02 06:22:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0x21bd5b… |
| 10-02 05:41:14 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x381978… |
| 10-02 05:41:14 | (anonymous) 0xf7ae…97e6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x381978… |
| 10-02 00:56:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x496082… |
| 10-02 00:56:57 | Cumbersome-Circulation 0x2a31…f2f0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x60eb69… |
| 10-02 00:56:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x60eb69… |
| 10-02 00:56:57 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x496082… |
| 10-02 00:56:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x440061… |
| 10-02 00:56:15 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x440061… |
| 10-02 00:56:14 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x98f8da… |
| 10-02 00:56:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x98f8da… |
| 10-02 00:53:12 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xb633b5… |
| 10-02 00:53:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xb633b5… |
| 10-02 00:53:12 | Slim-Target 0x1894…a936 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x663eef… |
| 10-02 00:53:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x663eef… |
| 10-02 00:51:44 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xd858fd… |
| 10-02 00:51:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xd858fd… |
| 10-02 00:51:42 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xf7786d… |
| 10-02 00:51:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xf7786d… |
| 10-02 00:51:42 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x0b89b0… |
| 10-02 00:51:42 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xf7786d… |
| 10-02 00:51:42 | Slim-Target 0x1894…a936 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x0b89b0… |
| 10-02 00:50:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x187c6c… |
| 10-02 00:50:14 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x187c6c… |
| 10-02 00:48:00 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xfeddec… |
| 10-02 00:48:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xfeddec… |
| 10-02 00:47:57 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xddbc5a… |
| 10-02 00:47:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xddbc5a… |
| 10-02 00:47:14 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x504e2c… |
| 10-02 00:47:14 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x504e2c… |
| 10-02 00:47:12 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xcf04ac… |