Realized P&L
-$150
Unrealized P&L
+$113
Hit rate
45.4%
Resolved
778
Trades
1,117
lifetime
Volume
$8.62K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$479
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-12
last 10-31 11:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Politics
64% 49% +$285
Other
36% 39% -$423
Crypto
0% 0% -$13
Tech
0% 0% -$3
Sports
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +27 $10 100¢ $27 +$17 10-14 21:49
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +26 $5 99¢ $26 +$21 10-26 17:47
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +75 $20 32¢ $24 +$3 09-23 01:10
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +22 $7 99¢ $22 +$15 10-26 17:14
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +24 $21 76¢ $19 -$2 09-24 20:35
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +24 $21 76¢ $18 -$3 09-24 20:35
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +18 $14 98¢ $18 +$4 10-19 03:30
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +34 $10 52¢ $17 +$8 09-30 18:18
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +17 $12 100¢ $17 +$5 10-27 17:06
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +61 $10 28¢ $17 +$7 09-16 16:21
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +21 $15 80¢ $17 +$2 09-26 11:48
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? No +34 $10 48¢ $16 +$7 10-03 23:18
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +16 $13 100¢ $16 +$3 10-27 23:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +24 $11 65¢ $16 +$4 10-30 00:53
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +23 $12 68¢ $15 +$4 09-27 17:56
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +34 $15 44¢ $15 $0 09-25 03:22
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +15 $8 98¢ $15 +$7 10-27 22:33
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +21 $16 66¢ $14 -$2 10-29 20:41
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +561 $9 2¢ $14 +$5 10-04 13:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $9 68¢ $13 +$5 10-27 10:50
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +43 $13 32¢ $13 +$0 09-16 00:43
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +13 $11 99¢ $13 +$2 10-18 15:25
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +17 $13 74¢ $13 $0 10-06 18:08
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +13 $6 98¢ $13 +$6 08-26 10:11
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +18 $14 70¢ $13 -$1 10-26 07:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +22 $17 57¢ $13 -$4 10-27 13:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +13 $11 100¢ $13 +$2 10-19 18:24
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +13 $11 94¢ $12 +$1 10-15 15:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +39 $7 29¢ $11 +$4 10-29 01:28
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +172 $15 6¢ $10 -$5 09-30 04:33