Realized P&L
+$1.87K
Unrealized P&L
+$485
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved
3,950
Trades
9,018
lifetime
Volume
$798.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$6.10K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-07 07:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 187 days
Categories
Other
91% 54% +$2,067
Sports
4% 51% -$104
Crypto
3% 81% -$14
Politics
2% 58% -$70
Tech
0% 36% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +928 $900 99¢ $922 +$22 11-05 15:14
Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +789 $732 100¢ $785 +$53 11-05 15:14
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? Yes — +1,157 $606 53¢ $613 +$8 10-27 02:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 7? No +320 $319 100¢ $320 +$1 11-05 14:58
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +296 $288 100¢ $295 +$7 11-06 00:55
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +295 $290 100¢ $294 +$4 11-06 00:55
Will Yanbian Longding win on 2026-11-07? No +244 $159 99¢ $242 +$83 11-07 08:09
Will Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC win on 2026-11-07? No +244 $222 98¢ $239 +$17 11-07 08:09
Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.0500 on November 7? Yes +220 $198 99¢ $217 +$19 11-07 08:26
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +211 $188 88¢ $185 -$3 11-06 21:57
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +581 $131 30¢ $171 +$41 10-02 16:38
Will XRP reach $2.80 in November? No +170 $168 99¢ $169 +$1 11-04 14:12
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? Yes +221 $46 74¢ $163 +$117 10-13 08:51
Spread: Jets (-10.5) Chiefs +140 $133 96¢ $135 +$2 11-05 21:52
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw? Yes +129 $63 100¢ $128 +$65 11-05 13:25
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +581 $41 21¢ $121 +$80 10-02 16:38
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +581 $213 20¢ $116 -$97 10-02 16:38
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? Yes +173 $46 67¢ $115 +$70 09-01 12:58
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? Yes +121 $63 88¢ $107 +$44 10-27 03:48
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +581 $116 16¢ $93 -$23 10-02 16:38
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? Yes +97 $37 94¢ $91 +$54 07-28 22:36
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-11-06? No +90 $87 99¢ $90 +$3 11-06 15:05
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +90 $90 99¢ $90 $0 11-06 15:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? No +80 $79 99¢ $79 +$1 11-03 23:50
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes +220 $26 28¢ $61 +$35 08-15 19:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +104 $65 58¢ $61 -$4 10-02 17:27
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? Yes +221 $66 26¢ $57 -$9 10-13 08:51
Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? Yes +1,162 $151 5¢ $55 -$96 10-27 02:45
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? Yes +220 $51 19¢ $43 -$8 08-15 19:23
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +44 $42 95¢ $41 $0 11-07 02:58