Realized P&L
+$2.16K
Unrealized P&L
+$413
Hit rate
89.2%
Resolved
3,855
Trades
8,900
lifetime
Volume
$793.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$5.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-06 02:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 186 days
Categories
Other
91% 54% +$2,367
Sports
4% 51% -$107
Crypto
3% 81% -$14
Politics
2% 59% -$78
Tech
0% 36% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +928 $900 99¢ $921 +$21 11-05 15:14
Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +789 $732 99¢ $783 +$51 11-05 15:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 7? No +320 $319 100¢ $320 +$1 11-05 14:58
Spread: Ravens (-16.5) Jaguars +320 $316 100¢ $319 +$3 11-05 17:57
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +296 $288 99¢ $295 +$7 11-06 00:55
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +295 $290 99¢ $293 +$4 11-06 00:55
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +581 $131 34¢ $195 +$64 10-02 16:38
Will XRP reach $2.80 in November? No +170 $168 99¢ $169 +$0 11-04 14:12
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? Yes +221 $46 76¢ $168 +$122 10-13 08:51
Spread: Jets (-10.5) Chiefs +140 $133 94¢ $132 -$1 11-05 21:52
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw? Yes +129 $63 99¢ $128 +$65 11-05 13:25
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of November 2 2026? No +130 $129 95¢ $124 -$5 11-05 11:48
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +171 $151 68¢ $117 -$34 11-04 20:23
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +581 $213 20¢ $116 -$97 10-02 16:38
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? Yes +173 $46 61¢ $106 +$60 09-01 12:58
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? Yes +121 $63 82¢ $99 +$36 10-27 03:48
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? Yes +97 $37 93¢ $90 +$54 07-28 22:36
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) Jaguars +81 $41 98¢ $80 +$38 11-06 01:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? No +80 $79 98¢ $79 +$0 11-03 23:50
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes +220 $26 28¢ $61 +$35 08-15 19:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +104 $65 55¢ $57 -$8 10-02 17:27
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of November 2 2026? Yes +100 $1 55¢ $55 +$54 11-05 13:32
Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? Yes +1,162 $151 5¢ $54 -$97 10-27 02:45
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +172 $19 31¢ $53 +$34 11-04 20:23
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? Yes +220 $51 19¢ $43 -$8 08-15 19:23
will us gas price be between 4pt11 and 4pt12 on november 6 2026 No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$1 11-05 15:22
will us gas price be between 4pt10 and 4pt11 on november 6 2026 No +40 $36 100¢ $40 +$4 11-05 15:22
will us gas price be between 4pt09 and 4pt10 on november 6 2026 No +40 $36 99¢ $39 +$4 11-05 15:22
will us gas price be between 4pt08 and 4pt09 on november 6 2026 No +40 $36 98¢ $39 +$3 11-05 15:22
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? Yes +220 $37 17¢ $38 +$1 08-15 19:23