Scornful-Software 0xa0d390…145b5e
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.43K
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
2,891
Trades
6,767
lifetime
Volume
$170.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$19.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-01 15:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Other
83% 49% +$3,670
Politics
10% 49% +$772
Sports
5% 43% +$110
Crypto
2% 26% -$326
Tech
0% 40% -$72
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$81
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +10,479 $2,951 84¢ $8.8K +$5,799 08-22 14:57
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +5,994 $4,053 92¢ $5.5K +$1,461 07-17 16:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +862 $750 93¢ $802 +$52 08-24 10:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +499 $384 88¢ $436 +$52 09-22 11:04
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +2,481 $298 17¢ $422 +$124 09-18 12:20
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +395 $348 96¢ $377 +$30 08-29 17:17
US recession by end of 2026? No +399 $347 94¢ $377 +$30 09-25 15:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,117 $287 18¢ $370 +$83 08-27 07:39
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +294 $259 94¢ $278 +$19 08-23 06:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +222 $160 97¢ $215 +$55 09-14 14:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +447 $184 34¢ $150 -$34 11-01 07:04
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +152 $128 96¢ $147 +$19 09-21 13:24
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +206 $176 70¢ $145 -$31 09-07 13:16
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +182 $90 72¢ $130 +$40 09-06 15:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,012 $245 12¢ $127 -$119 11-01 04:41
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +201 $139 60¢ $120 -$19 09-02 15:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +1,030 $176 12¢ $118 -$58 09-25 15:27
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +147 $127 73¢ $108 -$19 09-02 05:50
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +108 $75 100¢ $107 +$33 10-27 00:24
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +109 $53 99¢ $107 +$54 09-26 23:29
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +362 $194 29¢ $103 -$91 08-25 12:00
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 Yes +492 $148 20¢ $96 -$52 08-20 14:23
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +197 $101 48¢ $94 -$8 10-30 13:52
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +123 $86 72¢ $89 +$4 08-18 14:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +83 $75 96¢ $80 +$5 10-30 21:02
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +81 $62 96¢ $77 +$15 09-03 01:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +80 $74 92¢ $74 $0 11-01 15:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +100 $70 72¢ $72 +$2 10-31 16:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +112 $59 63¢ $71 +$12 09-22 10:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +163 $99 42¢ $69 -$31 09-19 06:33