Cumbersome-Circulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

Trades

12,324

lifetime

Volume

$208.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$101

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 12:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

65% 17% +$9

Sports

21% 100% +$18

Politics

7% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 539 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	+52	$24	57¢	$30	+$5	06-30 04:17
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Milwaukee Brewers	+45	$26	61¢	$27	+$1	06-23 15:54
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	+59	$30	42¢	$25	$-4	06-30 10:16
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	+47	$19	39¢	$18	$-1	06-23 18:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	32	$1.7K	1,510	574	+936	open	—	02-18 00:45
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	8	$1.7K	1,010	1,000	+10	open	—	02-08 10:05
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281	22	$1.4K	1,512	100	+1,412	open	—	01-25 02:08
will alex honnold not complete a free solo of taipei 101 by january 31	22	$1.4K	1,510	100	+1,410	open	—	01-25 02:08
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes 238 682	22	$1.4K	1,510	100	+1,410	open	—	01-25 02:08
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes 266 694	22	$1.4K	1,511	100	+1,411	open	—	01-25 02:08
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	39	$1.4K	1,921	602	+1,319	open	—	01-16 02:10
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes 638 582	21	$1.3K	1,511	90	+1,421	open	—	01-25 02:08
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 480m and 520m by january 31	38	$1.2K	2,009	513	+1,496	open	—	01-10 00:13
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be greater than 520m by january 31	40	$1.2K	1,993	792	+1,201	open	—	01-16 02:10
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	21	$1.1K	1,510	50	+1,460	open	—	01-25 02:08
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours 578 355	22	$1.1K	1,505	100	+1,405	open	—	01-25 02:08
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 440m and 480m by january 31	38	$1.1K	1,863	620	+1,242	open	—	01-16 02:10
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	38	$1.0K	1,926	448	+1,478	open	—	01-16 02:10
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 540 559	9	$983	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-02 13:57
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 520 539	10	$982	1,033	0	+1,033	open	—	01-02 13:57
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	22	$947	1,514	100	+1,414	open	—	01-25 02:08
will the strangers chapter 3 opening weekend box office be less than 3pt5m	6	$925	612	557	+55	open	—	02-09 20:58
will mercy opening weekend box office be between 11m and 14m	14	$920	1,148	280	+868	open	—	01-26 20:51
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$895	931	0	+931	open	—	02-07 16:56
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	10	$846	1,050	0	+1,050	open	—	01-02 13:57
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in less than 1 hour	16	$795	890	100	+790	open	—	01-25 01:53
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 560 579	6	$754	760	0	+760	open	—	01-02 07:44
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be greater than 50m	16	$726	841	110	+731	open	—	01-04 16:11
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 45m and 50m	15	$692	850	110	+740	open	—	01-04 16:11
will the central bank of colombia announce an increase at the january meeting	6	$681	710	55	+655	open	—	01-18 22:44
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$670	930	0	+930	open	—	02-07 16:56
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 460 479	8	$666	949	0	+949	open	—	01-02 12:40
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	5	$635	640	0	+640	open	—	01-02 03:02
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 440 459	5	$619	641	0	+641	open	—	01-02 03:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 14:48:01	mlb pit phi 2026 06 30	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x547d09…
06-30 14:40:29	mlb mia col 2026 06 30	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9fe935…
06-30 14:40:07	mlb pit phi 2026 06 30	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7e6ae0…
06-30 14:15:29	mlb tex cle 2026 06 30	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x41e46a…
06-30 14:10:13	mlb cin mil 2026 06 30	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0795cd…
06-30 14:09:34	mlb min hou 2026 06 30	Houston Astros	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe17bf4…
06-30 14:04:17	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2ccd58…
06-30 14:03:23	mlb cin mil 2026 06 30	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x76c11c…
06-30 14:03:16	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1f1a11…
06-30 14:03:13	mlb mia col 2026 06 30	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x14c986…
06-30 14:03:11	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc4e9fd…
06-30 14:02:43	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x69fe13…
06-30 14:02:08	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8708f9…
06-30 14:00:44	mlb lad oak 2026 06 30	Athletics	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1e9320…
06-30 13:59:17	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x57469a…
06-30 13:52:40	mlb cin mil 2026 06 30	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x575afb…
06-30 13:51:08	mlb cin mil 2026 06 30	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6f84f8…
06-30 13:50:46	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0e7430…
06-30 13:48:23	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	San Francisco Giants	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x98915b…
06-30 13:47:02	mlb det nyy 2026 07 01	New York Yankees	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8e2621…
06-30 13:39:56	mlb min hou 2026 06 30	Houston Astros	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x65948b…
06-30 13:31:31	mlb min hou 2026 06 30	Houston Astros	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x65c080…
06-30 13:29:26	mlb min hou 2026 06 30	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x13df4b…
06-30 13:29:02	mlb det nyy 2026 06 30	New York Yankees	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xda0c59…
06-30 13:26:52	mlb tex cle 2026 06 30	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2a0a06…
06-30 13:24:34	mlb mia col 2026 06 30	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x720fe8…
06-30 13:06:53	mlb laa sea 2026 06 30	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe87a77…
06-30 13:06:19	mlb sd chc 2026 06 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7309d6…
06-30 13:04:58	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x69a39b…
06-30 13:04:29	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x73613b…
06-30 13:04:14	mlb det nyy 2026 06 30	New York Yankees	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdc10f7…
06-30 13:01:08	mlb laa sea 2026 07 02	Seattle Mariners	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5029c0…
06-30 12:55:31	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x046b48…
06-30 12:31:52	mlb lad oak 2026 06 30	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x80abcc…
06-30 12:31:13	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x60453a…
06-30 12:25:25	mlb laa sea 2026 06 30	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1851ed…
06-30 12:24:44	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x448b13…
06-30 12:21:08	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x370d87…
06-30 12:16:53	mlb cin mil 2026 06 30	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4e8809…
06-30 12:15:31	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7a4909…
06-30 12:13:52	mlb cin mil 2026 06 30	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x4a9199…
06-30 12:04:50	mlb min hou 2026 06 30	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd551e8…
06-30 12:02:25	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	San Francisco Giants	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x27294c…
06-30 12:01:08	mlb cin mil 2026 06 30	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0xbfca63…
06-30 11:57:38	mlb det nyy 2026 07 01	New York Yankees	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf3720f…
06-30 11:45:04	mlb lad oak 2026 06 30	Athletics	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6f7f20…
06-30 11:19:34	mlb cin mil 2026 06 30	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x652bb3…
06-30 11:19:19	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xbc8635…
06-30 11:13:59	mlb lad oak 2026 06 30	Athletics	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2b7606…
06-30 11:06:56	mlb mia col 2026 06 30	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x615b7a…
06-30 10:56:49	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa95b65…
06-30 10:55:47	mlb cin mil 2026 06 30	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0d1a78…
06-30 10:55:46	mlb cin mil 2026 06 30	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd4d8e7…
06-30 10:54:53	mlb mia col 2026 06 30	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xdf2329…
06-30 10:46:26	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xec3ca8…
06-30 10:16:16	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7bc37e…
06-30 09:53:52	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9f4ba0…
06-30 09:17:22	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x99297f…
06-30 08:37:29	mlb mia col 2026 06 30	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x829f3b…
06-30 08:27:04	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2bf3e9…
06-30 08:23:02	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4c92a7…
06-30 08:15:37	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x54bce0…
06-30 08:06:49	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbc3763…
06-30 07:53:10	mlb nym tor 2026 07 01	New York Mets	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf1490c…
06-30 07:52:02	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30	New York Mets	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7e7ded…
06-30 07:50:26	mlb sd chc 2026 06 30	Chicago Cubs	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x0f1934…
06-30 07:50:02	mlb wsh bos 2026 06 30	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe6cca2…
06-30 07:49:49	mlb cws bal 2026 06 30	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6c824f…
06-30 07:49:26	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xeb885d…
06-30 07:49:14	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30	New York Mets	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc221b3…
06-30 07:42:02	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30	New York Mets	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x680c16…
06-30 07:37:50	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2d3312…
06-30 07:37:35	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30	New York Mets	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x657cc6…
06-30 07:36:28	mlb tex cle 2026 06 30	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfea314…
06-30 07:36:22	mlb tex cle 2026 06 30	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x59f9ef…
06-30 07:36:14	mlb cws bal 2026 06 30	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa1058b…
06-30 07:33:23	mlb ari stl 2026 06 25	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7e7cba…
06-30 07:33:08	mlb laa sea 2026 06 30	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x832c14…
06-30 07:31:46	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb6e3e2…
06-30 07:26:41	mlb stl atl 2026 07 01	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x25721a…
06-30 07:26:19	mlb min hou 2026 07 01	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x615058…
06-30 07:26:16	mlb pit phi 2026 07 01	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x81b991…
06-30 07:26:07	mlb sf ari 2026 07 01	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9d456e…
06-30 07:26:02	mlb det nyy 2026 07 01	Detroit Tigers	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x93b036…
06-30 07:26:01	mlb nym tor 2026 07 01	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe4bf0b…
06-30 07:26:01	mlb det nyy 2026 07 01	Detroit Tigers	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0x796b7e…
06-30 07:25:56	mlb det nyy 2026 07 01	New York Yankees	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x31c28a…
06-30 07:25:31	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe1f24a…
06-30 07:25:10	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4e2bbd…
06-30 07:24:50	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	San Francisco Giants	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9f5ac0…
06-30 07:08:25	mlb cws bal 2026 06 30	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2070bf…
06-30 07:01:23	mlb mia col 2026 06 30	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xba1900…
06-30 07:01:07	mlb sd chc 2026 06 30	Chicago Cubs	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc7c103…
06-30 07:00:46	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x11015c…
06-30 06:57:44	mlb sd lad 2026 07 02	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x709455…
06-30 06:56:19	mlb mia col 2026 06 30	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5f02b9…
06-30 06:49:32	mlb ari stl 2026 06 25	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x019762…
06-30 06:44:04	mlb mia col 2026 07 01	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x03d297…
06-30 06:21:04	mlb cin mil 2026 06 30	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe6133c…
06-30 06:21:04	mlb cin mil 2026 06 30	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd954c8…