Cumbersome-Circulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

Trades

6,843

lifetime

Volume

$196.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-27 23:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

69% 17% +$9

Sports

16% 100% +$18

Politics

7% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	32	$1.7K	1,510	574	+936	open	—	02-18 00:45
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	8	$1.7K	1,010	1,000	+10	open	—	02-08 10:05
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281	22	$1.4K	1,512	100	+1,412	open	—	01-25 02:08
will alex honnold not complete a free solo of taipei 101 by january 31	22	$1.4K	1,510	100	+1,410	open	—	01-25 02:08
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes 238 682	22	$1.4K	1,510	100	+1,410	open	—	01-25 02:08
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes 266 694	22	$1.4K	1,511	100	+1,411	open	—	01-25 02:08
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	39	$1.4K	1,921	602	+1,319	open	—	01-16 02:10
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes 638 582	21	$1.3K	1,511	90	+1,421	open	—	01-25 02:08
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 480m and 520m by january 31	38	$1.2K	2,009	513	+1,496	open	—	01-10 00:13
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be greater than 520m by january 31	40	$1.2K	1,993	792	+1,201	open	—	01-16 02:10
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	21	$1.1K	1,510	50	+1,460	open	—	01-25 02:08
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours 578 355	22	$1.1K	1,505	100	+1,405	open	—	01-25 02:08
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 440m and 480m by january 31	38	$1.1K	1,863	620	+1,242	open	—	01-16 02:10
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	38	$1.0K	1,926	448	+1,478	open	—	01-16 02:10
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 540 559	9	$983	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-02 13:57
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 520 539	10	$982	1,033	0	+1,033	open	—	01-02 13:57
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	22	$947	1,514	100	+1,414	open	—	01-25 02:08
will the strangers chapter 3 opening weekend box office be less than 3pt5m	6	$925	612	557	+55	open	—	02-09 20:58
will mercy opening weekend box office be between 11m and 14m	14	$920	1,148	280	+868	open	—	01-26 20:51
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$895	931	0	+931	open	—	02-07 16:56
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	10	$846	1,050	0	+1,050	open	—	01-02 13:57
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in less than 1 hour	16	$795	890	100	+790	open	—	01-25 01:53
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 560 579	6	$754	760	0	+760	open	—	01-02 07:44
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be greater than 50m	16	$726	841	110	+731	open	—	01-04 16:11
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 45m and 50m	15	$692	850	110	+740	open	—	01-04 16:11
will the central bank of colombia announce an increase at the january meeting	6	$681	710	55	+655	open	—	01-18 22:44
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$670	930	0	+930	open	—	02-07 16:56
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 460 479	8	$666	949	0	+949	open	—	01-02 12:40
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	5	$635	640	0	+640	open	—	01-02 03:02
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 440 459	5	$619	641	0	+641	open	—	01-02 03:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-27 23:15:58	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xfe095a…
04-27 23:15:58	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xdeb33b…
04-24 12:53:06	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	2¢	$3	0x79475a…
04-24 12:53:06	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	17¢	$23	0x674440…
04-24 12:53:04	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	13¢	$17	0xbaab9f…
04-24 12:53:04	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	1¢	$2	0x11b758…
04-24 12:53:04	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x01cd43…
04-24 12:52:52	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xfdcb34…
04-24 12:52:52	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x223110…
04-24 12:52:52	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	Yes	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0x1a5b3a…
04-24 12:52:50	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	11¢	$7	0xe0bc82…
04-24 12:52:50	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xc8f32e…
04-24 12:52:50	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0x1b9642…
04-22 05:49:14	Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe19123…
04-22 05:49:14	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xc9cdb9…
04-22 05:49:14	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x5ca4ec…
04-22 04:01:10	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xf4cc9f…
04-22 04:01:10	Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xc6b645…
04-22 04:01:10	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x5889fd…
02-18 07:49:52	will trump deport 2000000 or more people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xec6195…
02-18 07:49:52	will trump deport 500000 750000 people	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xc95fc1…
02-18 07:49:52	will trump deport 1000000 1250000 people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7ae4a6…
02-18 07:49:52	will trump deport 1750000 2000000 people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7a0b28…
02-18 07:49:52	will trump deport 1500000 1750000 people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5d458c…
02-18 07:49:52	will trump deport 1250000 1500000 people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1a7184…
02-18 07:49:52	will trump deport 750000 1000000 people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x123c4b…
02-18 00:45:37	will trump deport 500000 750000 people	Yes	SELL	86	4¢	$3	0xf4be3b…
02-18 00:45:37	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	Yes	SELL	121	92¢	$112	0xe9fee4…
02-18 00:45:37	will trump deport 1500000 1750000 people	Yes	SELL	121	0¢	$0	0x68478b…
02-18 00:45:27	will trump deport 750000 1000000 people	Yes	SELL	121	1¢	$1	0xed6054…
02-18 00:45:27	will trump deport 2000000 or more people	Yes	SELL	121	0¢	$0	0x8b6c8f…
02-18 00:45:27	will trump deport less than 250000	Yes	SELL	121	4¢	$5	0x690601…
02-18 00:45:21	will trump deport 1000000 1250000 people	Yes	SELL	121	0¢	$0	0xf97456…
02-18 00:45:19	will trump deport 1750000 2000000 people	Yes	SELL	121	0¢	$0	0xae2949…
02-17 19:05:13	will trump deport 750000 1000000 people	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xda1914…
02-17 19:05:13	will trump deport 500000 750000 people	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xd8b13d…
02-17 19:05:13	will trump deport 1000000 1250000 people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x93451e…
02-17 19:05:13	will trump deport 2000000 or more people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x48200f…
02-17 19:05:13	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x36de8b…
02-17 19:05:11	will trump deport 1750000 2000000 people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x78da7a…
02-17 19:05:11	will trump deport 1500000 1750000 people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x608796…
02-17 19:05:11	will trump deport 1250000 1500000 people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x38bfff…
02-17 11:12:15	will trump deport 750000 1000000 people	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xba0f9a…
02-17 11:12:15	will trump deport 1000000 1250000 people	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xafc587…
02-17 11:12:15	will trump deport 500000 750000 people	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x8661fd…
02-17 11:12:15	will trump deport 2000000 or more people	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x73906d…
02-17 11:12:15	will trump deport 1500000 1750000 people	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x44854c…
02-17 11:12:15	will trump deport 1750000 2000000 people	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x445dae…
02-17 11:12:15	will trump deport less than 250000	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x40dc98…
02-17 11:12:15	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x2695f1…
02-17 10:06:53	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x14075f…
02-17 10:06:51	will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xd6d4c7…
02-17 10:06:51	will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x8dd5c1…
02-17 10:06:51	will there be 22 or more us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x7c1734…
02-17 10:06:51	will there be between 6 and 9 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x617a29…
02-17 09:01:07	will trump deport 1750000 2000000 people	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x49fc77…
02-17 09:01:01	will trump deport 500000 750000 people	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x6f7395…
02-17 09:01:01	will trump deport 1500000 1750000 people	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x5f3b9b…
02-17 09:01:01	will trump deport 750000 1000000 people	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x2dfe00…
02-17 09:00:59	will trump deport 1000000 1250000 people	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xdf6a79…
02-17 09:00:59	will trump deport less than 250000	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x4d4f8c…
02-17 09:00:57	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	Yes	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0xebc7b5…
02-17 09:00:57	will trump deport 2000000 or more people	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xde1fe2…
02-17 00:22:33	will trump deport 1500000 1750000 people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd8eed1…
02-17 00:22:33	will trump deport 2000000 or more people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x59ce24…
02-17 00:22:33	will trump deport 1750000 2000000 people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4742eb…
02-17 00:22:33	will trump deport less than 250000	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x32a1bc…
02-17 00:22:33	will trump deport 500000 750000 people	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x179aa8…
02-17 00:22:31	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xa150b5…
02-17 00:22:31	will trump deport 750000 1000000 people	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x61d8a7…
02-17 00:22:31	will trump deport 1250000 1500000 people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5be338…
02-17 00:22:31	will trump deport 1000000 1250000 people	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x221246…
02-16 22:27:49	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xbea402…
02-16 22:27:49	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 1pt5 and 2pt0	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xa9f22a…
02-16 22:27:49	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 3pt0 and 3pt5	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x9f73c3…
02-16 22:27:49	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 1pt0 and 1pt5	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x786b6d…
02-16 22:27:49	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than 1pt0	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7214b6…
02-16 22:27:49	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x66a429…
02-16 22:27:49	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 2pt5 and 3pt0	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x3882ff…
02-16 22:25:13	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 3pt0 and 3pt5	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xaf40ce…
02-16 22:25:11	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than 1pt0	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xe6b3d3…
02-16 22:25:11	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xbebfdb…
02-16 22:25:11	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 1pt0 and 1pt5	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xa858bb…
02-16 22:25:11	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 1pt5 and 2pt0	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x364fc8…
02-16 22:25:11	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	Yes	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x0f7abd…
02-16 22:25:11	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 2pt5 and 3pt0	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x04438c…
02-16 18:58:31	will trump deport 500000 750000 people	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xecd58b…
02-16 18:58:31	will trump deport 1750000 2000000 people	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xcbe36e…
02-16 18:58:31	will trump deport 1500000 1750000 people	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x49f956…
02-16 18:58:31	will trump deport 1000000 1250000 people	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x41e44b…
02-16 18:58:31	will trump deport 750000 1000000 people	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x32267b…
02-16 18:58:31	will trump deport 2000000 or more people	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x2f3d8f…
02-16 18:58:31	will trump deport less than 250000	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x2d6677…
02-16 18:58:31	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x02b0dc…
02-16 18:47:27	will trump deport 2000000 or more people	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x3da169…
02-16 18:47:25	will trump deport 750000 1000000 people	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xbbf64c…
02-16 18:47:25	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	Yes	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0xa433bf…
02-16 18:47:25	will trump deport 1000000 1250000 people	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8109df…
02-16 18:47:25	will trump deport 500000 750000 people	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x746e4a…
02-16 18:47:25	will trump deport 1750000 2000000 people	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x257b62…