(anonymous) 0x3a9dad…7bf332
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$605
Unrealized P&L
+$257
Hit rate
52.8%
Resolved
321
Trades
1,488
lifetime
Volume
$13.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$2.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-09
last 10-11 14:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
74% 23% -$415
Sports
13% 12% -$223
Politics
11% 23% +$60
Crypto
1% 33% -$10
Tech
1% 14% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +500 $136 100¢ $500 +$364 10-11 14:16
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +527 $321 52¢ $277 -$44 10-09 04:17
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +230 $61 90¢ $207 +$147 09-15 03:47
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +531 $107 38¢ $199 +$93 09-21 10:47
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? Yes +383 $157 46¢ $176 +$19 09-11 13:05
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +229 $109 74¢ $170 +$61 09-22 02:09
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +527 $122 32¢ $169 +$46 10-09 04:17
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +531 $258 20¢ $109 -$150 09-21 10:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +528 $45 9¢ $46 +$1 10-02 16:15
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $46 38¢ $38 -$8 10-01 03:21
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +160 $53 20¢ $31 -$22 09-26 17:00
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +30 $25 99¢ $30 +$5 09-24 12:24
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +25 $8 98¢ $25 +$17 09-17 15:24
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $29 23¢ $23 -$6 10-01 03:21
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +27 $15 81¢ $22 +$7 09-26 13:32
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +230 $138 9¢ $21 -$116 09-15 03:47
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $10 14¢ $14 +$4 10-01 03:21
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $3 12¢ $12 +$8 10-01 03:21
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +27 $7 15¢ $4 -$3 09-26 13:32
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $3 4¢ $4 +$1 10-01 03:21
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +500 $65 0¢ $2 -$63 10-11 14:16
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +27 $4 6¢ $1 -$3 09-26 13:32
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +506 $84 0¢ $1 -$83 10-11 14:16
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -25 -$1 3¢ $-1 $0 09-14 21:04
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +512 $16 0¢ $1 -$15 10-11 14:14
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +30 $1 2¢ $1 -$1 09-30 04:03
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -25 -$1 2¢ $-1 +$0 09-09 08:31
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -25 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 09-09 12:42
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +30 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 09-24 12:24
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +25 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 09-18 13:04