Realized P&L
-$1.63K
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
22.1%
Resolved
600
Trades
2,166
lifetime
Volume
$33.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$459
26 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-22 23:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
84% 18% -$1,380
Politics
10% 12% -$114
Tech
4% 14% -$71
Pop-Culture
1% 12% -$21
Crypto
1% 0% -$42
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +78 $44 98¢ $76 +$32 08-14 04:13
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +87 $47 82¢ $71 +$24 08-12 03:10
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +58 $38 96¢ $56 +$18 10-06 16:57
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +40 $26 89¢ $36 +$10 08-04 00:30
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +44 $29 78¢ $34 +$5 07-30 05:57
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +23 $19 99¢ $23 +$4 10-10 07:52
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +23 $16 98¢ $23 +$7 10-03 20:12
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +23 $14 95¢ $22 +$8 08-16 20:07
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +30 $7 70¢ $21 +$14 08-11 17:01
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +87 $52 18¢ $16 -$36 08-12 03:10
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +23 $5 69¢ $16 +$11 10-08 12:46
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +23 $15 61¢ $14 -$1 08-16 04:56
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +17 $11 74¢ $13 +$1 10-07 23:35
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +23 $10 39¢ $9 -$1 08-15 22:55
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +23 $19 31¢ $7 -$12 10-08 13:47
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +15 $10 30¢ $5 -$5 08-11 07:34
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +17 $5 26¢ $4 -$1 10-07 23:35
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? No +40 $14 11¢ $4 -$10 08-04 00:30
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4 $3 66¢ $3 $0 07-30 23:56
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +58 $21 4¢ $2 -$19 10-06 17:14
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +78 $38 2¢ $2 -$36 08-14 04:13
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +4 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 07-30 23:56
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? No +23 $11 5¢ $1 -$9 08-16 18:36
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +23 $11 2¢ $0 -$11 10-01 01:50
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? Yes +23 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 10-10 06:51
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +1 -$3 1¢ $0 +$3 07-21 10:31