Realized P&L
-$926
Unrealized P&L
+$1.58K
Hit rate
62.0%
Resolved
3,263
Trades
13,544
lifetime
Volume
$383.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$63.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-08
last 10-30 00:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Other
77% 75% -$754
Politics
16% 64% -$33
Sports
4% 69% -$154
Tech
2% 70% -$7
Crypto
1% 57% -$27
Pop-Culture
0% 70% +$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 700 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +7,044 $6,955 98¢ $6.9K -$41 10-09 00:15
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +7,343 $5,873 91¢ $6.7K +$790 10-08 22:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +6,485 $6,340 98¢ $6.4K +$35 10-29 08:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +6,489 $4,989 74¢ $4.8K -$155 10-29 07:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,423 $3,383 99¢ $3.4K +$21 10-12 12:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +2,815 $2,770 99¢ $2.8K +$20 10-21 20:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +2,809 $2,748 99¢ $2.8K +$28 10-21 19:04
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +2,692 $2,613 99¢ $2.7K +$43 10-28 14:39
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +2,686 $2,648 99¢ $2.7K +$5 10-28 14:39
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +2,692 $2,198 84¢ $2.2K +$50 10-28 13:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +2,820 $1,795 76¢ $2.1K +$334 10-21 19:04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +2,017 $1,261 99¢ $2.0K +$738 10-23 02:44
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,564 $1,630 68¢ $1.8K +$127 10-16 17:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +5,816 $1,496 28¢ $1.6K +$104 10-29 07:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,397 $1,378 99¢ $1.4K +$11 10-07 01:20
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +7,078 $1,503 18¢ $1.3K -$194 10-08 22:43
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No +1,341 $1,194 98¢ $1.3K +$114 10-07 05:12
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No +1,342 $1,294 97¢ $1.3K +$1 10-07 05:02
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,580 $1,092 69¢ $1.1K $0 10-28 00:12
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,469 $927 70¢ $1.0K +$109 10-22 02:37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +958 $883 94¢ $896 +$14 10-06 16:47
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +844 $835 100¢ $841 +$6 10-04 18:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +2,808 $1,137 30¢ $828 -$309 10-21 19:04
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,316 $1,040 62¢ $823 -$218 10-21 15:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,564 $916 32¢ $808 -$108 10-16 16:31
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +966 $690 76¢ $729 +$39 10-06 16:47
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +704 $683 99¢ $696 +$13 10-29 14:21
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +650 $642 99¢ $644 +$1 10-05 06:33
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +650 $613 94¢ $614 +$1 10-05 06:53
Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No +595 $588 100¢ $594 +$6 10-06 23:48