Queasy-Airship 0x048a9d…f09be4
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$483
Unrealized P&L
+$3.14K
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved
326
Trades
1,826
lifetime
Volume
$183.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$19.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 10-27 05:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
48% 61% +$3,295
Politics
37% 60% -$3,668
Tech
14% 64% -$109
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +1,200 $1,008 99¢ $1.2K +$185 09-10 17:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1,240 $1,031 96¢ $1.2K +$160 10-25 16:54
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +1,395 $1,037 84¢ $1.2K +$141 08-26 14:13
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,100 $1,012 99¢ $1.1K +$72 10-16 18:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,500 $990 70¢ $1.1K +$68 10-12 20:43
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +1,075 $1,000 98¢ $1.1K +$53 10-02 15:36
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +1,025 $851 96¢ $986 +$135 10-01 18:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,625 $771 58¢ $951 +$179 10-18 22:50
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? No +946 $761 99¢ $935 +$174 10-06 13:03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,000 $623 90¢ $903 +$279 10-02 15:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +867 $666 94¢ $811 +$145 10-23 00:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +800 $24 88¢ $708 +$684 07-26 15:37
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 No +655 $517 90¢ $590 +$72 08-19 14:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +593 $510 94¢ $554 +$44 10-25 17:23
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +574 $376 96¢ $548 +$173 09-19 04:08
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +559 $474 96¢ $535 +$61 09-04 18:41
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +925 $500 55¢ $509 +$9 09-18 19:25
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +2,277 $513 22¢ $490 -$23 10-19 12:47
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +580 $400 82¢ $473 +$72 09-04 18:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +700 -$192 63¢ $438 +$630 06-18 10:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +797 $598 54¢ $427 -$171 09-29 18:08
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +510 $382 80¢ $411 +$28 09-24 02:24
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +650 $455 56¢ $367 -$88 10-21 18:02
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +375 $315 94¢ $353 +$38 09-09 05:22
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +360 $306 97¢ $349 +$43 09-01 16:03
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? Yes +413 $319 84¢ $347 +$28 10-25 17:44
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +600 $390 55¢ $330 -$60 10-12 15:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +350 $298 88¢ $306 +$9 10-26 01:03
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +452 $270 58¢ $265 -$6 07-23 22:44
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655 Yes +1,000 $250 26¢ $255 +$5 08-16 21:18