Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$382
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
204
lifetime
Volume
$36.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$177
Open exposure
$928
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 07-22 22:41
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
58%
Other
39%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +430 $228 99¢ $426 +$198 06-24 17:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +600 $102 50¢ $297 +$195 05-28 01:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +159 $124 74¢ $118 $-6 07-21 05:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $90 $85 $-5 06-04 19:33
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +3 $2 66¢ $2 $-0 07-01 18:31