Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$456
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
49
lifetime
Volume
$16.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$343
Open exposure
$6.72K
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 06-05 17:12
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
72%
Other
28%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +1,500 $1,020 82¢ $1.2K +$202 06-01 18:29
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026? No +700 $677 99¢ $694 +$17 06-04 19:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +1,100 $506 61¢ $671 +$165 06-03 20:31
Will Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election? No +575 $519 98¢ $564 +$44 05-31 19:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +625 $500 88¢ $553 +$53 06-03 20:15
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? No +550 $511 94¢ $520 +$8 06-04 19:38
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +535 $498 94¢ $506 +$8 06-01 18:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +555 $498 88¢ $489 $-9 06-01 18:31
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +540 $498 87¢ $470 $-28 06-01 18:31
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No +465 $421 92¢ $428 +$7 06-01 18:39
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +300 $240 76¢ $226 $-14 06-02 23:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +600 $102 24¢ $144 +$42 05-28 01:53
Will Ralph Nwobi advance from the CA-07 primary election? No +140 $126 99¢ $139 +$13 05-31 19:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $90 $85 $-5 06-04 19:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -15 $44 36¢ $-5 $-49 06-05 17:12