Realized P&L
+$486
Unrealized P&L
+$132
Hit rate
43.6%
Resolved
2,998
Trades
4,295
lifetime
Volume
$11.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$254
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-04
last 10-27 20:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
78% 22% +$341
Politics
12% 28% +$129
Sports
9% 26% +$27
Tech
1% 0% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Crypto
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +37 $7 74¢ $27 +$21 10-13 17:17
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +29 $4 74¢ $21 +$18 10-15 09:32
will wti dip to 95 in october 2026 from october 15 No +25 $2 78¢ $20 +$18 10-16 06:17
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +36 $5 33¢ $12 +$7 10-14 00:30
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +18 $2 60¢ $11 +$9 10-05 19:09
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +13 $4 84¢ $11 +$7 10-26 21:25
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +33 $6 30¢ $10 +$4 10-15 11:40
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +31 $4 29¢ $9 +$5 10-18 13:09
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +12 $3 71¢ $9 +$6 10-23 22:24
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +15 $5 57¢ $9 +$4 10-16 00:50
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +28 $6 29¢ $8 +$2 10-13 20:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +22 $5 35¢ $8 +$3 10-14 00:21
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +12 $3 62¢ $7 +$4 10-25 18:29
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +9 $2 80¢ $7 +$5 10-17 11:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +20 $4 36¢ $7 +$3 10-15 20:10
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $3 64¢ $7 +$3 10-27 13:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +7 $2 98¢ $6 +$4 10-05 08:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +39 $10 16¢ $6 -$3 10-15 11:23
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +19 $6 34¢ $6 +$0 10-14 02:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +24 $6 24¢ $6 $0 10-15 15:11
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +35 $4 16¢ $5 +$2 10-15 12:22
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +16 $4 30¢ $5 +$1 10-26 13:26
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +21 $4 23¢ $5 +$1 10-15 12:33
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +15 $3 32¢ $5 +$2 10-25 18:33
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +23 $4 20¢ $5 +$1 10-15 12:51
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27? No +18 $4 26¢ $5 +$1 10-27 21:15
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +25 $3 18¢ $4 +$1 10-25 09:48
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +35 $2 13¢ $4 +$3 10-04 16:52
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? No +36 $4 12¢ $4 +$0 10-26 22:25
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +11 $2 40¢ $4 +$2 10-22 14:36