Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?
open
Total volume
$4,436
$20 in 24h
Trades
300
Unique wallets
72
Liquidity
$26,287
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-10
last 10-27 19:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-18.7¢
(top1%: 10% YES on $413
vs crowd: 29% YES on $3.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 27 | $418 | $795 | $377 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $269 | $1.0K | $766 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $252 | $459 | $207 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $9 | $15 | $6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 13 | $43 | $370 | $327 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $31 | $95 | $63 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| Below median | 5 | $133 | $214 | $82 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $65 | $66 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $136 | $206 | $71 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 31 | $539 | $1.3K | $810 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +694 | $191 | $191 | 18 | 10-27 19:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +377 | $253 | $253 | 9 | 10-25 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x2771…6d24 | No | +369 | $226 | $226 | 1 | 10-26 09:13 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +200 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 09-20 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | +200 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 10-24 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | +200 | $124 | $124 | 1 | 10-24 15:39 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +123 | $98 | $98 | 9 | 10-17 20:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +100 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 10-26 09:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +79 | $55 | $55 | 5 | 10-26 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +79 | $29 | $30 | 4 | 10-26 09:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +60 | $38 | $38 | 3 | 10-24 15:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +55 | $43 | $97 | 7 | 10-21 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +55 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 10-21 19:38 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +53 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 10-24 14:54 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +50 | $29 | $30 | 4 | 10-24 14:54 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +50 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 10-24 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +43 | $31 | $31 | 4 | 10-18 07:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +43 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-24 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +40 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 09-20 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +40 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 10-24 14:54 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +40 | $17 | $39 | 6 | 10-24 15:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | +40 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 10-26 09:13 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +40 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 09-20 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +40 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-24 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +40 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-12 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | +40 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 10-12 16:39 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +37 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-26 23:30 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +36 | $29 | $111 | 11 | 10-24 15:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +35 | $9 | $11 | 5 | 10-18 07:05 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +35 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 10-21 19:38 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | +35 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-19 09:05 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | +35 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-19 09:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 09-20 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x9530…5699 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-17 04:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xadb4…bc39 | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-24 15:39 |
| Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-11 03:52 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | +20 | $8 | $20 | 3 | 10-26 09:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e7c…fa1d | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-19 09:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xadb4…bc39 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-24 15:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-27 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e7c…fa1d | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-19 09:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9530…5699 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-17 04:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 09-20 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 09-20 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xa314…5ba7 | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-24 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-21 17:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 10-21 17:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | +18 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-24 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +16 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-21 17:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +16 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-21 17:37 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 09-20 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b57…7c7b | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-17 20:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 09-20 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-12 01:56 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-17 01:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-11 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $4 | 2 | 09-21 18:14 |
| Serious-Vegetarianism 0xedc7…e92b | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-19 10:57 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +1 | $3 | $40 | 2 | 10-24 15:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 19:06:36 | (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | No | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x06807c… |
| 10-27 19:06:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x06807c… |
| 10-26 23:30:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 129 | 34¢ | $44 | 0x968091… |
| 10-26 23:30:00 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 37 | 66¢ | $24 | 0x968091… |
| 10-26 23:30:00 | (anonymous) 0x03a4…92ea | Yes | SELL | 92 | 34¢ | $31 | 0x968091… |
| 10-26 14:40:17 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 39 | 74¢ | $29 | 0x7eff1b… |
| 10-26 14:40:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 26¢ | $10 | 0x7eff1b… |
| 10-26 09:13:48 | (anonymous) 0x2771…6d24 | No | BUY | 369 | 61¢ | $226 | 0x77ea09… |
| 10-26 09:13:48 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 1 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xc44c7e… |
| 10-26 09:13:48 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x77ea09… |
| 10-26 09:13:48 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 99 | 62¢ | $61 | 0x77ea09… |
| 10-26 09:13:48 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 1 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xc44c7e… |
| 10-26 09:13:48 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 39¢ | $16 | 0x77ea09… |
| 10-26 09:13:48 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 39¢ | $16 | 0x77ea09… |
| 10-26 09:13:48 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x77ea09… |
| 10-25 23:39:14 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0xb3b135… |
| 10-25 23:39:14 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | SELL | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0xb3b135… |
| 10-25 10:40:56 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 64 | 60¢ | $39 | 0x2d9b0c… |
| 10-25 10:40:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 64 | 60¢ | $39 | 0x2d9b0c… |
| 10-25 10:16:57 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x743ba9… |
| 10-25 10:16:57 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 80 | 62¢ | $50 | 0x743ba9… |
| 10-25 10:16:57 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 38¢ | $15 | 0x743ba9… |
| 10-25 10:16:57 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x743ba9… |
| 10-24 17:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x0cfc…7f6b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x4715d9… |
| 10-24 17:54:23 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x4715d9… |
| 10-24 15:54:26 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 61 | 63¢ | $38 | 0x48ec58… |
| 10-24 15:54:26 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x0cf161… |
| 10-24 15:54:26 | (anonymous) 0x9dc5…d8b9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x0cf161… |
| 10-24 15:54:26 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 37¢ | $23 | 0x48ec58… |
| 10-24 15:39:51 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xef36b0… |
| 10-24 15:39:51 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xef36b0… |
| 10-24 15:39:41 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 9 | 63¢ | $6 | 0x433d44… |
| 10-24 15:39:41 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x433d44… |
| 10-24 15:39:38 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xb41c7c… |
| 10-24 15:39:38 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x093447… |
| 10-24 15:39:38 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x093447… |
| 10-24 15:39:38 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 38¢ | $15 | 0x093447… |
| 10-24 15:39:38 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xb41c7c… |
| 10-24 15:39:23 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 90 | 62¢ | $56 | 0x962c2b… |
| 10-24 15:39:23 | (anonymous) 0xadb4…bc39 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x962c2b… |
| 10-24 15:39:23 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 11 | 62¢ | $7 | 0x826b66… |
| 10-24 15:39:23 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 38¢ | $11 | 0x962c2b… |
| 10-24 15:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x826b66… |
| 10-24 15:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 38¢ | $11 | 0x7afbab… |
| 10-24 15:39:23 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 29 | 62¢ | $18 | 0x7afbab… |
| 10-24 15:39:23 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | BUY | 200 | 62¢ | $124 | 0x962c2b… |
| 10-24 15:39:21 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 38¢ | $3 | 0xb27ead… |
| 10-24 15:39:21 | (anonymous) 0xadb4…bc39 | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0xb27ead… |
| 10-24 15:39:21 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xb27ead… |
| 10-24 15:28:41 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 49 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xb8dbdb… |
| 10-24 15:28:41 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 49 | 62¢ | $30 | 0xb8dbdb… |
| 10-24 15:28:35 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 38¢ | $11 | 0xebc863… |
| 10-24 15:28:35 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0xebc863… |
| 10-24 15:19:27 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x579958… |
| 10-24 15:19:27 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x579958… |
| 10-24 14:54:54 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | BUY | 40 | 62¢ | $25 | 0xe3d11a… |
| 10-24 14:54:54 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 40 | 62¢ | $25 | 0xe3d11a… |
| 10-24 14:54:48 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xccaac1… |
| 10-24 14:54:48 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xccaac1… |
| 10-24 14:54:47 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 16 | 64¢ | $10 | 0xcfb080… |
| 10-24 14:54:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 16 | 64¢ | $10 | 0xcfb080… |
| 10-24 14:54:23 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 1 | 57¢ | $0 | 0x7bd546… |
| 10-24 14:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x9dc5…d8b9 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 34¢ | $36 | 0xcdf9fd… |
| 10-24 14:54:23 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 1 | 57¢ | $0 | 0x7bd546… |
| 10-24 14:54:23 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | SELL | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0xcdf9fd… |
| 10-24 14:54:23 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 21 | 71¢ | $15 | 0xcdf9fd… |
| 10-24 14:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | No | SELL | 19 | 63¢ | $12 | 0xcdf9fd… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 18 | 58¢ | $11 | 0xbdfc71… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | (anonymous) 0x0cfc…7f6b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 44¢ | $27 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | (anonymous) 0x9dc5…d8b9 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 43¢ | $54 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 44¢ | $88 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 44¢ | $19 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | (anonymous) 0x03a4…92ea | Yes | BUY | 92 | 44¢ | $40 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | (anonymous) 0xa314…5ba7 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 42¢ | $8 | 0xbdfc71… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | (anonymous) 0xa314…5ba7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xde3457… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 51 | 57¢ | $29 | 0xde3457… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 48 | 44¢ | $21 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0xde3457… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | BUY | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0xde3457… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 43¢ | $9 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xde3457… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 890 | 56¢ | $501 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 43¢ | $22 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 44¢ | $18 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 14:54:21 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | BUY | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0xbb8082… |
| 10-24 02:41:02 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x791d75… |
| 10-24 02:41:02 | (anonymous) 0x22eb…7178 | No | SELL | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x791d75… |
| 10-23 21:51:56 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 1 | 43¢ | $0 | 0xd11808… |
| 10-23 21:51:56 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 43¢ | $0 | 0xd11808… |
| 10-23 21:51:54 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | SELL | 1 | 43¢ | $0 | 0xad35c1… |
| 10-23 21:51:54 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 1 | 43¢ | $0 | 0xad35c1… |
| 10-23 20:30:41 | (anonymous) 0x22eb…7178 | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xba83d9… |
| 10-23 20:30:41 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 72 | 64¢ | $46 | 0xba83d9… |