(anonymous) 0x4aa5b5…fa4a3b Create alert
12W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$341
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
95.3%
Resolved
116
Trades
654
lifetime
Volume
$15.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$6.18K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-11 22:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
45% 92% -$66
Other
36% 89% +$349
Sports
18% 100% +$51
Tech
1% 50% $0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,215 $1,210 100¢ $1.2K -$1 11-09 16:19
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +666 $580 86¢ $576 -$3 11-09 16:09
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? No +300 $300 99¢ $297 -$3 11-09 18:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +305 $290 96¢ $293 +$3 11-11 20:34
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +289 $285 99¢ $285 $0 11-11 17:23
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +242 $241 100¢ $241 $0 11-08 03:36
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +240 $238 100¢ $240 +$2 11-08 17:07
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +226 $224 99¢ $224 $0 11-07 23:26
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +219 $218 100¢ $218 $0 11-11 09:26
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? No +197 $197 100¢ $197 $0 11-09 15:43
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +197 $197 100¢ $197 $0 11-09 15:43
Will Wildcard Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +188 $188 100¢ $188 +$0 11-07 04:56
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +187 $187 100¢ $187 $0 11-10 17:01
Will Terry McLaurin be the highest-scoring fantasy football player of the 2026-27 NFL season? No +184 $184 99¢ $183 -$1 11-04 16:44
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +164 $161 98¢ $162 +$1 11-03 09:14
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +147 $145 100¢ $147 +$2 11-10 17:08
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +131 $131 100¢ $131 +$0 11-08 23:49
Will Oklahoma win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +123 $122 99¢ $121 -$1 11-11 20:34
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +117 $117 100¢ $117 $0 11-11 17:21
Will Los Angeles FC be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? No +121 $117 96¢ $116 -$1 11-09 00:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 +$0 11-06 13:30
will the next gemini model family be named gemini xenon No +96 $93 98¢ $95 +$2 11-11 05:09
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +95 $94 99¢ $94 $0 11-09 15:50
Will Wuthering Heights be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No +90 $90 100¢ $90 $0 11-09 04:50
Will Celtic win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +92 $92 97¢ $90 -$2 11-04 00:40
Will Michigan win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +84 $83 98¢ $82 $0 11-10 20:09
Will St. John's win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +82 $82 99¢ $81 -$1 11-10 20:09
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in November 2026? No +74 $74 99¢ $74 +$0 11-05 11:09
Will Purdue win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +71 $71 99¢ $71 $0 11-11 00:54
Will Ferencvaros win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +72 $71 98¢ $70 -$1 10-30 11:17