Realized P&L
-$140
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved
38
Trades
273
lifetime
Volume
$6.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$2.36K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-06 14:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
52% 94% -$137
Other
42% 60% -$3
Sports
6% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +740 $585 80¢ $588 +$4 11-06 13:30
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +280 $243 98¢ $274 +$31 11-04 04:06
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +179 $177 99¢ $179 +$1 11-05 16:24
Exact Score: Glentoran FC 4 - 0 Ballymena United? No +211 $0 60¢ $127 +$126 11-04 16:44
Exact Score: CD Pamplona 4 - 2 SD Eibar? No +205 $175 60¢ $123 -$53 11-04 16:31
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +104 $99 100¢ $104 +$5 11-04 17:59
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +87 $87 100¢ $87 +$0 11-05 04:47
Will Barcelona finish first in UCL league phase? No +90 $84 93¢ $84 -$1 11-05 10:40
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in November 2026? No +74 $74 100¢ $74 $0 11-05 11:09
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +90 $70 78¢ $71 +$0 11-03 09:14
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club? No — +123 $122 55¢ $67 -$55 11-04 16:24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +56 $49 100¢ $56 +$7 11-05 08:24
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in November 2026? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 $0 11-05 16:40
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? No +89 $53 60¢ $53 +$0 11-06 16:11
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 0 Athletic Club? No — +55 $51 87¢ $48 -$4 11-04 16:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +59 $47 79¢ $46 -$1 11-05 02:00
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 4 Athletic Club? No — +63 $63 62¢ $39 -$24 11-05 11:51
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 2 Athletic Club? No +70 $68 54¢ $38 -$30 11-04 16:58
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +36 $36 99¢ $36 $0 11-05 10:26
Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 +$0 11-06 01:13
Exact Score: FK Obolon Kyiv 1 - 1 FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih? No +53 $52 60¢ $32 -$20 11-04 17:00
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +26 $22 96¢ $25 +$3 11-04 13:10
Exact Score: FK Obolon Kyiv 3 - 1 FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih? No +37 $37 55¢ $20 -$16 11-04 17:00
Will Astralis Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +18 $18 98¢ $18 $0 11-05 11:21
will chuck fleischmann be next to hold blackburns senate seat by march 31 No — +18 $17 96¢ $17 +$0 11-06 05:12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 1.5% or more? No +17 $17 97¢ $16 $0 11-05 01:03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 20%-25%? No +16 $16 95¢ $15 -$1 11-04 12:54
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +13 $12 94¢ $12 $0 11-06 05:56
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +14 $11 80¢ $11 -$1 11-05 08:28
will the democratic party candidate win the 2026 mississippi senate election by 0pt9 1pt2 No +11 $11 91¢ $10 $0 11-05 00:27