Realized P&L (90d)
-$129
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
94.4%
Resolved (90d)
45
Trades (90d)
301
301 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$6.80K
$6.80K lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.34K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-07 00:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
50% 94% -$137
Other
44% 73% +$8
Sports
7% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +740 $585 78¢ $581 -$4 11-06 13:30
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +280 $243 99¢ $276 +$33 11-04 04:06
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +179 $177 99¢ $178 +$1 11-05 16:24
Exact Score: Glentoran FC 4 - 0 Ballymena United? No +211 $0 60¢ $127 +$126 11-04 16:44
Exact Score: CD Pamplona 4 - 2 SD Eibar? No +205 $175 60¢ $123 -$53 11-04 16:31
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +87 $87 100¢ $87 +$0 11-05 04:47
Will Barcelona finish first in UCL league phase? No +90 $84 93¢ $84 -$1 11-05 10:40
Will Liquid Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +77 $77 99¢ $76 -$1 11-06 19:15
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in November 2026? No +74 $74 100¢ $74 $0 11-05 11:09
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +90 $70 78¢ $71 +$0 11-03 09:14
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club? No — +123 $122 55¢ $67 -$55 11-04 16:24
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? No +89 $53 66¢ $59 +$6 11-06 16:11
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in November 2026? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 $0 11-05 16:40
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 0 Athletic Club? No — +55 $51 87¢ $48 -$4 11-04 16:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +59 $47 75¢ $44 -$3 11-05 02:00
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 4 Athletic Club? No — +63 $63 62¢ $39 -$24 11-05 11:51
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 2 Athletic Club? No +70 $68 54¢ $38 -$30 11-04 16:58
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +36 $36 99¢ $36 $0 11-05 10:26
Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 +$0 11-06 01:13
Will Chinggis Warriors Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +33 $33 99¢ $33 $0 11-06 12:22
Exact Score: FK Obolon Kyiv 1 - 1 FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih? No +53 $52 60¢ $32 -$20 11-04 17:00
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in November 2026? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 11-06 18:32
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +26 $22 96¢ $25 +$3 11-04 13:10
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 $0 11-06 23:47
Exact Score: FK Obolon Kyiv 3 - 1 FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih? No +37 $37 55¢ $20 -$16 11-04 17:00
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in November 2026? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 +$0 11-06 18:32
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 +$0 11-06 19:27
Will Astralis Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +18 $18 98¢ $18 $0 11-05 11:21
will chuck fleischmann be next to hold blackburns senate seat by march 31 No +18 $17 96¢ $17 +$1 11-06 05:12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 1.5% or more? No +17 $17 97¢ $16 $0 11-05 01:03