Realized P&L (24h)
+$87
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
99.2%
Resolved (24h)
20
Trades (24h)
55
392 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$2.03K
$9.66K lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$3.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-09 01:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
47% 78% +$11
Politics
39% 94% -$137
Sports
14% 100% +$85
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +740 $585 78¢ $574 -$11 11-06 13:30
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +280 $243 99¢ $276 +$33 11-04 04:06
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +252 $251 100¢ $252 +$0 11-08 17:09
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +226 $226 100¢ $226 $0 11-07 23:26
Will Liquid Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +188 $187 99¢ $187 $0 11-07 04:56
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +179 $177 100¢ $179 +$2 11-05 16:24
Will Seattle Sounders FC be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? No — +132 $130 99¢ $131 +$1 11-09 00:08
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +131 $129 98¢ $129 $0 11-08 23:49
Exact Score: Glentoran FC 4 - 0 Ballymena United? No +211 $0 60¢ $127 +$126 11-04 16:44
Exact Score: CD Pamplona 4 - 2 SD Eibar? No +205 $175 60¢ $123 -$53 11-04 16:31
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +123 $121 98¢ $121 $0 11-08 03:36
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +87 $87 100¢ $87 +$0 11-05 04:47
Will Barcelona finish first in UCL league phase? No +90 $84 93¢ $84 -$1 11-05 10:40
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in November 2026? No +74 $74 100¢ $74 $0 11-05 11:09
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +90 $70 78¢ $71 +$0 11-03 09:14
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club? No — +123 $122 55¢ $67 -$55 11-04 16:24
Will Columbus Crew be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? No — +66 $65 99¢ $65 $0 11-09 00:10
Will Meta have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2? No +57 $57 100¢ $57 $0 11-08 02:06
Will Yossi Cohen receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +55 $54 99¢ $55 +$1 11-07 03:45
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in November 2026? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 $0 11-05 16:40
Will Faker win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? No +51 $49 99¢ $50 +$1 11-08 01:59
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 0 Athletic Club? No — +55 $51 87¢ $48 -$4 11-04 16:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +59 $47 70¢ $41 -$6 11-05 02:00
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 4 Athletic Club? No — +63 $63 62¢ $39 -$24 11-05 11:51
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 2 Athletic Club? No +70 $68 54¢ $38 -$30 11-04 16:58
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +36 $36 100¢ $36 +$0 11-05 10:26
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +35 $35 99¢ $35 +$0 11-07 07:01
Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 +$0 11-06 01:13
Will Chinggis Warriors Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +33 $33 100¢ $33 $0 11-06 12:22
Exact Score: FK Obolon Kyiv 1 - 1 FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih? No +53 $52 60¢ $32 -$20 11-04 17:00