(anonymous) 0xa5eb12…076409
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$87
Unrealized P&L
+$254
Hit rate
48.4%
Resolved
219
Trades
2,944
lifetime
Volume
$18.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$1.77K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-29 17:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
68% 15% -$87
Other
27% 27% -$5
Tech
4% 33% +$5
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 1092 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +161 $50 100¢ $160 +$110 10-26 20:38
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +106 $50 98¢ $104 +$54 10-28 04:41
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +147 $52 56¢ $82 +$31 10-26 06:22
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +238 $50 30¢ $73 +$22 10-27 05:18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +96 $50 68¢ $66 +$16 10-28 16:43
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +132 $50 48¢ $64 +$14 10-26 21:12
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +128 $51 48¢ $62 +$11 10-26 21:12
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes +111 $50 54¢ $59 +$9 10-26 18:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +114 $50 51¢ $58 +$8 10-29 02:22
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +187 $50 30¢ $57 +$7 10-28 20:15
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +208 $52 26¢ $55 +$4 10-28 09:45
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +208 $51 26¢ $55 +$4 10-28 09:44
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +167 $50 32¢ $53 +$3 10-29 14:21
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +167 $53 32¢ $52 $0 10-29 14:21
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +141 $51 36¢ $52 +$1 10-29 15:03
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +93 $50 55¢ $51 +$1 10-29 12:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +89 $50 57¢ $51 +$1 10-28 00:35
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +109 $50 46¢ $51 +$1 10-29 06:40
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +238 $50 20¢ $49 -$1 10-27 18:33
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +294 $50 16¢ $49 -$1 10-29 11:29
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +115 $50 42¢ $48 -$2 10-29 02:44
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +156 $49 30¢ $48 -$2 10-28 21:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +134 $49 36¢ $48 -$1 10-29 08:09
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +148 $48 32¢ $47 -$1 10-28 16:49
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +135 $50 35¢ $47 -$3 10-29 01:42
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +147 $56 32¢ $46 -$9 10-28 00:04
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +132 $51 35¢ $46 -$5 10-28 21:15
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +263 $50 18¢ $46 -$4 10-28 20:01
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +143 $50 32¢ $45 -$5 10-27 17:25
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +139 $50 30¢ $42 -$8 10-26 15:53