Realized P&L
+$38
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
64.0%
Resolved
128
Trades
301
lifetime
Volume
$555
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$23
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 15:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
63% 46% +$8
Politics
37% 33% +$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +11 $2 40¢ $4 +$2 05-29 16:48
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +11 $2 30¢ $3 +$1 10-26 18:51
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +22 $2 11¢ $2 +$0 10-23 16:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4 $2 57¢ $2 +$0 10-29 02:19
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $1 26¢ $2 +$1 10-28 14:44
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +4 $2 45¢ $2 $0 10-21 06:00
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +3 -$2 46¢ $1 +$3 10-11 18:36
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 10-25 22:39
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-11 18:38
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes +13 $1 7¢ $1 $0 08-30 14:40
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +2 $1 42¢ $1 $0 09-16 01:39
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +4 $1 23¢ $1 $0 10-26 18:49
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $0 $0 07-18 17:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +3 $1 16¢ $0 $0 10-26 00:50
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +1 $0 32¢ $0 +$0 10-25 23:18