(anonymous) 0x083b32…568a8a Create alert
11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$489
Unrealized P&L
-$110
Hit rate
97.7%
Resolved
320
Trades
1,255
lifetime
Volume
$31.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$12.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-12 09:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
54% 79% +$390
Politics
34% 76% +$49
Sports
10% 91% +$50
Tech
2% 67% $0
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% 67% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 207 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,514 $1,491 98¢ $1.5K -$2 11-09 18:13
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? No +1,044 $1,038 99¢ $1.0K -$1 11-12 09:01
Exact Score: Wycombe Wanderers FC 1 - 1 Huddersfield Town AFC? No +986 $910 100¢ $982 +$72 11-08 22:35
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +833 $816 98¢ $818 +$1 11-09 15:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +811 $807 100¢ $809 +$2 11-10 09:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +796 $793 100¢ $794 +$1 11-10 13:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +740 $585 96¢ $713 +$128 11-06 13:30
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +592 $588 99¢ $586 -$1 11-09 15:43
Will Sri Lanka win? No +394 $374 98¢ $385 +$10 11-12 07:17
Will Jordan win on 2026-11-13? No +352 $349 99¢ $349 +$0 11-11 18:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +321 $319 100¢ $320 +$0 11-10 09:10
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +316 $314 99¢ $314 +$0 11-07 23:26
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +305 $303 99¢ $303 $0 11-11 20:34
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +289 $289 100¢ $289 $0 11-11 17:23
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +295 $270 88¢ $258 -$12 11-10 19:08
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +252 $248 100¢ $251 +$3 11-08 17:09
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +245 $244 100¢ $244 $0 11-09 15:43
Will Wisconsin win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +229 $229 100¢ $229 $0 11-12 02:25
Exact Score: FK Obolon Kyiv 1 - 3 FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih? No +366 $365 55¢ $201 -$164 11-04 17:00
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +192 $190 99¢ $190 $0 11-03 09:14
Will Chinggis Warriors Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +188 $188 100¢ $188 $0 11-07 04:56
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +187 $187 100¢ $187 $0 11-10 17:01
Exact Score: Atromitos Athinon 2 - 0 AEK Athens? No +329 $315 55¢ $181 -$134 11-04 16:28
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +185 $174 89¢ $165 -$8 11-11 11:49
Will Tom Emmer be the next House Majority Leader? No +156 $156 99¢ $154 -$2 11-09 12:11
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +151 $150 100¢ $150 +$1 11-11 20:23
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +147 $146 97¢ $142 -$4 11-10 17:08
Will FC Cincinnati be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? No +132 $132 99¢ $131 -$1 11-09 00:08
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +131 $130 99¢ $130 $0 11-08 23:49
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in November 2026? No +129 $129 100¢ $129 $0 11-05 16:40