Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
84.8%
Resolved
379
Trades
1,263
lifetime
Volume
$3.00K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$271
21 positions
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-30 12:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
82% 67% -$5
Politics
14% 60% $0
Tech
3% 100% +$0
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
0% 33% $0
Pop-Culture
0% 83% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 432 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +48 $47 97¢ $47 $0 10-29 17:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +56 $30 74¢ $42 +$11 10-30 12:15
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +50 $32 62¢ $31 -$1 10-29 23:37
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +27 $27 99¢ $27 +$0 10-30 10:45
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +27 $26 96¢ $26 +$0 10-30 10:45
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +50 $18 38¢ $19 +$1 10-29 23:37
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +56 $33 27¢ $15 -$18 10-30 12:15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +14 $7 100¢ $14 +$7 10-30 12:53
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +12 $12 95¢ $12 -$1 10-30 12:53
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +13 $5 80¢ $10 +$6 10-16 11:44
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +14 $12 66¢ $9 -$3 10-30 12:53
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +14 $14 47¢ $6 -$7 10-30 12:53
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 10-16 19:45
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 10-29 11:33
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $0 10-29 11:33
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 10-29 11:33
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +5 $2 33¢ $2 $0 10-29 12:37
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +27 $1 5¢ $1 $0 10-30 10:45
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +48 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-29 17:42
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +3 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-16 19:45
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +2 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 10-29 11:33