Realized P&L
-$36
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
87.9%
Resolved
30
Trades
350
lifetime
Volume
$6.94K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$3.97K
29 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-04 03:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
55% — —
Other
35% 70% -$36
Sports
10% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +996 $994 97¢ $967 -$27 10-31 09:04
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +516 $515 100¢ $516 +$1 11-04 03:54
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +363 $362 100¢ $363 +$0 11-04 00:05
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +271 $271 99¢ $268 -$3 11-04 03:44
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +261 $247 100¢ $260 +$13 11-02 23:02
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? No +234 $233 100¢ $233 +$0 11-04 01:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +200 $198 100¢ $200 +$2 11-04 00:09
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +164 $164 100¢ $163 $0 11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +161 $160 100¢ $161 +$0 11-02 22:44
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +134 $131 97¢ $131 $0 11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +122 $122 100¢ $122 $0 11-04 01:38
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio? No +106 $106 100¢ $106 +$0 11-02 22:58
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? No +71 $71 100¢ $71 +$0 11-04 01:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +84 $59 71¢ $60 +$1 10-31 14:57
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? No +51 $51 100¢ $51 +$0 11-02 01:04
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan? No +48 $48 100¢ $48 $0 10-30 22:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +43 $37 100¢ $43 +$6 11-04 00:05
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +33 $32 98¢ $32 $0 11-03 09:11
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-30 22:38
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 11-04 01:38
No one announced as next James Bond? No +27 $23 87¢ $24 +$1 11-01 01:57
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 10-30 23:08
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +251 $40 6¢ $16 -$24 11-04 03:44
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 +$0 11-04 01:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 10-30 22:09
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +10 $6 89¢ $9 +$3 11-02 19:07
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 $0 10-30 22:11
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-04 01:47
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No — +6 $5 80¢ $5 $0 10-30 07:56