Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.17K

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

382

lifetime

Volume

$70.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$184

Open exposure

$233

1 position

First seen

2026-10-26

last 11-02 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

94% 96% +$6,142

Politics

5% 100% +$30

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes		+350	$252	66¢	$233	-$19	10-27 09:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	19	$12.4K	13,530	4,000	+9,530	Yes	+$2,919	10-26 17:40
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	21	$3.5K	4,820	0	+4,820	No	+$1,343	10-26 17:17
Will "Water Girl" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$2.9K	1,976	1,976	+0	open	—	11-01 17:12
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$2.6K	2,322	2,065	+257	open	—	11-02 12:57
Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$2.3K	1,298	1,298	+0	No	+$257	10-26 17:51
Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	13	$2.2K	1,735	1,366	+369	open	—	11-01 10:24
Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	12	$2.1K	2,875	290	+2,585	open	—	11-02 12:39
Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$2.0K	2,857	0	+2,857	open	—	10-31 16:27
Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	8	$1.7K	1,640	291	+1,350	Yes	+$155	10-26 13:33
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$1.7K	2,236	0	+2,236	Yes	+$567	10-26 16:53
Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	5	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-30 07:19
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?	10	$1.4K	1,000	552	+448	open	—	11-01 06:44
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	11	$1.2K	1,369	0	+1,369	No	+$171	10-26 17:35
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	5	$1.1K	788	788	+0	open	—	11-02 20:05
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$1.0K	1,421	406	+1,015	open	—	11-02 12:55
Will Nightfaces win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	1	$1000	1,226	0	+1,226	open	—	10-30 19:23
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Club of the Year award?	1	$920	937	0	+937	Yes	+$17	10-26 18:33
Will Qwen have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	6	$863	439	439	+0	No	+$7	10-26 18:14
Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$820	500	500	+0	open	—	10-30 07:20
Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	1	$817	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-27 13:51
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$810	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-27 13:49
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$779	950	0	+950	open	—	10-30 19:43
Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$738	907	160	+747	open	—	11-02 19:19
Will "I Love Boosters" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$610	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-28 13:25
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	1	$600	986	0	+986	open	—	11-01 17:53
Will "Minotaur" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$572	1,202	0	+1,202	open	—	11-01 16:47
Will "God is Shy" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$561	794	306	+488	open	—	11-01 16:19
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	1	$552	667	0	+667	open	—	10-27 13:46
Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	1	$549	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-28 10:01
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?	1	$500	667	0	+667	open	—	10-30 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 21:54:52	Will Garrett Wilson have 1,399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x5c72ee…
11-02 20:05:54	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0x9bf131…
11-02 19:41:33	Will Emeka Egbuka have 899.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	153	89¢	$136	0x2d2d0c…
11-02 19:19:28	Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x28bda4…
11-02 19:00:45	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xc8e5c4…
11-02 18:18:31	Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	203	95¢	$194	0x97c5c1…
11-02 18:05:24	Will any player have 10+ interceptions in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	80	72¢	$58	0xfd2e10…
11-02 17:42:16	Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	336	57¢	$190	0xb18716…
11-02 16:57:40	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6fa651…
11-02 16:57:10	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	125	10¢	$12	0xe8c819…
11-02 16:57:09	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x3bc97e…
11-02 16:34:04	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xdacae5…
11-02 16:23:03	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x29bb13…
11-02 16:23:01	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xa5dd36…
11-02 16:23:00	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x114b99…
11-02 16:20:33	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5c73bc…
11-02 16:20:31	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x3880d1…
11-02 16:19:48	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	46	74¢	$34	0xe18203…
11-02 16:19:48	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x655f9f…
11-02 16:19:48	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x1c1639…
11-02 16:19:48	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	160	74¢	$118	0x076831…
11-02 15:00:10	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xfd25be…
11-02 14:54:03	Will "Anthony Ippolito" be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	529	49¢	$257	0x30ee35…
11-02 14:50:24	Will "Because Today is Saturday" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	117	60¢	$70	0x2e570f…
11-02 13:40:58	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xed881c…
11-02 13:40:55	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	59	58¢	$34	0x2ddc24…
11-02 12:57:09	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	1,100	65¢	$711	0x1ad5f5…
11-02 12:55:24	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0x684a2e…
11-02 12:39:48	Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	601	65¢	$391	0x3d6de4…
11-02 12:25:34	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0x0baacb…
11-02 11:55:40	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	206	62¢	$128	0xb5fdd8…
11-02 11:55:21	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	1,421	56¢	$790	0x40dfe0…
11-02 11:50:27	Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x3c677e…
11-02 11:50:15	Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	150	75¢	$112	0xeb4c18…
11-02 11:50:01	Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	897	68¢	$611	0xd519a8…
11-02 11:31:15	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	668	71¢	$475	0x89c2fb…
11-02 11:31:13	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x2ec6b3…
11-02 11:16:18	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	91	77¢	$70	0xae0cf4…
11-02 10:36:55	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	778	68¢	$526	0x7430f2…
11-02 09:23:52	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x6963a4…
11-02 04:51:00	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0xeab49c…
11-02 01:10:30	Will HEICO (HEI) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xd2502a…
11-02 01:09:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x3d6d66…
11-01 21:15:36	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	965	66¢	$634	0x29e290…
11-01 21:09:07	Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	483	57¢	$277	0x766a71…
11-01 19:18:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	91	76¢	$69	0xe32d60…
11-01 19:03:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	24	76¢	$18	0xa044dc…
11-01 17:59:27	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x8aa0f4…
11-01 17:53:43	Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	986	61¢	$600	0xd3cf2d…
11-01 17:12:57	Will "Water Girl" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	257	74¢	$190	0xfda36c…
11-01 16:47:07	Will "Minotaur" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xeeb7d8…
11-01 16:19:57	Will "God is Shy" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x9b93ed…
11-01 16:19:57	Will "God is Shy" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	306	66¢	$202	0x8a58f1…
11-01 14:37:09	Will "The End of Oak Street" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x373f8f…
11-01 14:36:46	Will "The End of Oak Street" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	73	90¢	$66	0xcf84e1…
11-01 13:36:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0x59941b…
11-01 10:56:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x3f3515…
11-01 10:24:24	Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	22	71¢	$15	0x04856c…
11-01 10:14:18	Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x3ef9b3…
11-01 10:11:13	Will "Minotaur" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	1,182	47¢	$560	0xf93cf9…
11-01 10:08:15	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x89438a…
11-01 10:08:15	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	401	35¢	$139	0x6799f1…
11-01 09:52:48	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xe71e16…
11-01 09:51:15	Will "God is Shy" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x96e88c…
11-01 09:48:49	Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	58	74¢	$43	0xd2b1a6…
11-01 09:45:30	Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	303	63¢	$192	0x49e6bf…
11-01 09:44:43	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	2,302	53¢	$1,229	0x6f48fa…
11-01 09:36:10	Will "God is Shy" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x810ed3…
11-01 09:36:00	Will "God is Shy" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xf130e6…
11-01 07:58:07	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x129593…
11-01 07:45:36	Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x9187b9…
11-01 07:12:40	Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$35	0x41095f…
11-01 07:02:48	Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	465	81¢	$375	0xdde18c…
11-01 07:02:24	Will "Water Girl" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0xbf4386…
11-01 06:55:39	Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	126	72¢	$92	0x0dff63…
11-01 06:49:01	Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9b5c1e…
11-01 06:44:13	Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	436	92¢	$401	0x80953e…
11-01 03:20:43	Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x313759…
11-01 02:40:15	Will "Dog Alone" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x8f1aae…
11-01 01:21:28	Will "The End of Oak Street" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xfbd3d4…
10-31 19:25:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x747162…
10-31 17:06:19	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xe41efc…
10-31 17:05:34	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x93f927…
10-31 17:04:58	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	783	25¢	$193	0x3011b3…
10-31 16:53:10	Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	150	80¢	$120	0x82f55d…
10-31 16:51:30	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	52¢	$14	0xdc8c99…
10-31 16:51:30	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	52¢	$23	0x0cec96…
10-31 16:51:22	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x107165…
10-31 16:51:19	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	52¢	$20	0xe2fd6b…
10-31 16:51:19	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	52¢	$20	0xb7b3a5…
10-31 16:51:19	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x7b08ea…
10-31 16:51:19	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x28e998…
10-31 16:51:18	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	52¢	$30	0x293423…
10-31 16:48:46	Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x7c8414…
10-31 16:47:40	Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xb2ca55…
10-31 16:43:10	Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	41	83¢	$34	0x8ed4e2…
10-31 16:42:03	Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xc39b5f…
10-31 16:42:03	Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	680	68¢	$462	0x322acd…
10-31 16:27:55	Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	1,983	71¢	$1,412	0x7a7e5b…
10-31 16:05:31	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	No	SELL	46	80¢	$37	0x99289f…