(anonymous) 0xadb4ce…f1bc39
bot cold 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.17K
Unrealized P&L
+$62
Hit rate
43.0%
Resolved
1,026
Trades
4,766
lifetime
Volume
$52.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$694
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-22
last 10-28 06:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Other
64% 39% -$818
Politics
32% 57% -$272
Tech
3% 13% -$32
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$1
Crypto
0% 0% -$6
Sports
0% 0% -$44
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 823 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +78 $70 97¢ $75 +$6 10-26 19:28
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +100 $70 72¢ $72 +$2 10-20 21:14
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $29 84¢ $42 +$13 10-21 14:15
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +40 $20 98¢ $39 +$19 10-28 01:02
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +40 $36 97¢ $39 +$3 10-27 12:57
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +50 $40 76¢ $38 -$2 10-23 14:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $37 72¢ $36 -$1 10-23 14:08
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +100 $33 29¢ $28 -$5 10-20 21:14
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +32 $14 76¢ $24 +$10 10-21 13:33
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +40 $21 53¢ $21 $0 10-23 23:45
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 10-27 20:49
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +20 $14 99¢ $20 +$5 10-27 13:59
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +40 $19 47¢ $19 +$0 10-23 23:45
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $15 86¢ $17 +$2 10-24 14:18
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 76¢ $15 +$0 10-24 02:43
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +20 $14 75¢ $15 +$1 10-23 18:19
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 71¢ $14 $0 10-24 00:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +20 $14 71¢ $14 +$1 10-26 10:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $14 28¢ $14 +$0 10-23 14:08
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027? Yes +20 $13 68¢ $14 +$1 10-27 07:50
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +17 $13 82¢ $14 +$1 10-23 14:48
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +20 $14 68¢ $14 $0 10-24 07:44
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +20 $12 63¢ $13 +$0 10-27 10:52
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +20 $15 62¢ $12 -$2 10-26 15:05
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $12 62¢ $12 $0 10-24 00:10
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +50 $13 24¢ $12 -$1 10-23 14:49
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +20 $8 55¢ $11 +$3 10-24 14:07
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +20 $9 51¢ $10 +$1 10-28 02:23
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +20 $11 49¢ $10 -$1 10-28 02:23
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +16 $5 61¢ $10 +$5 10-21 13:44