Realized P&L
-$31.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$293
Hit rate
66.2%
Resolved
12,380
Trades
41,662
lifetime
Volume
$2.60M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$60.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-26
last 10-28 00:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Other
80% 51% -$27,510
Sports
13% 40% +$10,010
Politics
7% 75% -$14,117
Crypto
0% 48% +$533
Tech
0% 71% +$100
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +15,000 $13,158 86¢ $12.9K -$258 10-21 13:17
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5,548 -$5,492 100¢ $-5539 -$47 06-29 09:06
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5,649 $5,281 93¢ $5.2K -$44 10-27 20:01
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +3,636 $3,069 84¢ $3.1K +$4 10-27 07:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,998 $2,489 94¢ $2.8K +$315 10-23 00:28
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +3,032 $2,549 88¢ $2.7K +$135 10-25 21:01
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers Lakers +4,046 $2,311 55¢ $2.2K -$106 10-27 20:02
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +15,147 $2,136 14¢ $2.2K +$46 10-21 13:16
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,172 -$2,135 99¢ $-2153 -$18 06-29 13:42
Pistons vs. Knicks Knicks +3,169 $1,933 64¢ $2.0K +$111 10-27 12:50
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +1,801 $1,494 92¢ $1.6K +$154 10-25 17:38
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +2,000 $1,804 82¢ $1.6K -$164 10-25 17:41
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +2,551 $1,756 56¢ $1.4K -$315 10-24 17:16
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +1,424 $1,363 100¢ $1.4K +$59 10-25 17:37
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,420 $1,321 94¢ $1.3K +$21 10-25 16:53
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No +1,292 $1,259 94¢ $1.2K -$43 10-26 13:35
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,260 $1,132 90¢ $1.1K -$3 10-27 11:37
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +1,181 $1,033 87¢ $1.0K -$7 10-26 19:00
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,067 $984 96¢ $1.0K +$35 10-27 22:53
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,162 $961 82¢ $959 -$3 10-27 05:04
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +940 $650 100¢ $938 +$288 10-26 22:47
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +898 $538 100¢ $898 +$360 10-23 13:45
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +810 $797 97¢ $787 -$10 10-23 03:49
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +720 $547 94¢ $673 +$126 09-19 21:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,735 $1,842 16¢ $616 -$1,226 10-23 17:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +591 $575 98¢ $577 +$1 10-08 13:49
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +568 $355 98¢ $556 +$202 10-27 23:47
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +588 $547 94¢ $555 +$9 10-27 22:03
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +535 $433 96¢ $511 +$78 10-23 16:45
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +400 $386 98¢ $394 +$8 10-14 16:12