Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.3%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$402

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 10-18 23:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

49% 37% -$12

Other

38% 56% -$6

Sports

11% 43% -$1

Crypto

2% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?	8	$37	23	23	+0	open	—	06-11 23:35
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	9	$22	21	21	+0	cancelled	$0	06-12 07:50
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	12	$16	23	23	+0	No	$0	06-16 10:26
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$16	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	06-11 21:06
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	2	$16	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 20:24
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	06-11 20:56
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$15	15	15	+0	No	-$2	06-27 03:05
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	4	$9	16	11	+5	No	+$1	09-21 21:02
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?	3	$8	35	35	+0	No	-$2	08-28 22:02
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?	4	$8	33	33	+0	No	-$2	08-29 14:02
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?	4	$8	30	30	+0	open	—	05-29 20:17
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	7	$8	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	09-09 16:09
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	7	$7	23	23	+0	No	+$0	07-06 20:03
will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	1	$6	7	0	+7	No	-$6	10-17 13:42
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$6	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-23 01:40
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	1	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	+$1	10-17 13:39
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in August?	5	$6	49	49	+0	No	-$2	08-29 06:03
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?	2	$6	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-29 14:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	5	$6	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-08 06:07
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	3	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-03 14:09
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	09-06 18:02
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 03:20
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	2	$5	18	18	+0	No	+$0	08-30 13:28
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-04 03:47
mlb tor bos 2026 06 17	2	$5	5	5	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$0	06-17 00:36
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	4	$5	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	09-03 12:22
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	4	$5	15	15	+0	No	+$1	09-10 04:29
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	-$4	10-18 23:38
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	09-26 20:53
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	3	$4	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	07-09 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 23:38:44	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x282914…
10-17 13:42:57	will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x4cb87b…
10-17 13:39:30	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x4f844b…
10-04 03:47:04	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x607e9c…
10-02 05:20:59	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x1dbb4a…
09-29 16:31:11	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa244b0…
09-26 20:53:27	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd1cee7…
09-23 03:05:34	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x418a5f…
09-21 21:02:48	Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa201f2…
09-19 14:01:23	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0xfcf76c…
09-19 13:03:20	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x30dfbe…
09-19 06:02:45	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xcd2c57…
09-18 02:02:15	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xa73771…
09-17 04:28:42	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x459150…
09-16 17:17:57	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x4f7805…
09-16 11:58:01	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x1ce935…
09-16 07:42:37	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x199063…
09-16 03:52:43	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xc361c2…
09-15 23:41:25	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xa6d8d3…
09-15 19:10:00	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x442346…
09-15 18:06:31	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xa61b48…
09-14 18:01:10	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x48df40…
09-14 10:14:00	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xf32edf…
09-14 06:23:06	Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x349432…
09-13 23:20:09	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xc87e5d…
09-13 23:20:07	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x5f92fe…
09-13 21:38:51	Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x9ef075…
09-13 17:55:49	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x1a695d…
09-13 05:02:54	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 18 2026	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xe7c764…
09-13 04:20:42	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 18 2026	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x1656df…
09-12 23:13:03	Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x94655e…
09-12 22:30:19	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x882c7b…
09-12 20:06:39	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x34fa4a…
09-12 19:47:36	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x988ec3…
09-12 19:08:33	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x9afa8b…
09-12 10:03:31	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xd0c911…
09-12 10:01:00	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x4d74c6…
09-12 08:48:22	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 15 2026 copy	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xb9a09a…
09-12 02:01:15	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x20e1fb…
09-11 19:23:48	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x30b16a…
09-10 17:41:52	NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0xa18281…
09-10 16:40:09	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x9c56f5…
09-10 14:29:19	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xec073a…
09-10 04:29:48	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x6ba141…
09-10 01:01:31	NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xc6ed77…
09-09 16:09:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xfd99e9…
09-09 04:09:01	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xca2852…
09-08 12:10:36	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x3f936b…
09-08 06:12:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xd20c1c…
09-07 17:15:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x38f6c7…
09-07 17:07:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x50e18d…
09-07 02:33:58	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa0dea7…
09-06 20:50:03	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x1823d2…
09-06 18:02:49	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x6f8e22…
09-06 15:13:18	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb48905…
09-06 02:00:28	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xfcdd68…
09-06 01:17:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa4ea1c…
09-05 18:03:40	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x4c926c…
09-05 14:03:31	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xac2427…
09-04 18:44:18	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x8926c7…
09-04 18:14:52	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x47cc30…
09-04 13:32:06	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x91b786…
09-04 10:01:52	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xd06bcb…
09-04 04:03:25	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x0cfc52…
09-03 12:22:48	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x004658…
09-03 11:50:46	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x73bc39…
09-03 11:03:34	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0x397ddc…
09-03 03:35:36	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xddece1…
09-03 00:22:07	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xcfcca6…
09-02 18:01:43	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0x96fcf3…
09-02 14:02:10	Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x2b136d…
09-02 12:46:58	Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xe5daa6…
09-02 00:33:10	Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x6e112c…
09-01 18:30:10	Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x338058…
09-01 18:08:19	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xd69b53…
09-01 17:51:06	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x2df7df…
09-01 08:38:09	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xb5f3d6…
09-01 03:39:07	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x437f59…
09-01 02:50:52	israel military action against syria by september 30 2026 21	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0xbf5992…
08-31 18:02:51	will trump meet with elon musk in september 2026 20260826	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x2c5fee…
08-31 13:50:43	will trump meet with elon musk in september 2026 20260826	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x9d3dff…
08-30 13:28:18	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0xb378c0…
08-30 13:14:00	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0x6caff0…
08-30 02:00:58	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x97be59…
08-30 01:32:39	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5ec8bd…
08-29 14:02:36	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in August?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x6da0e0…
08-29 14:02:16	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?	Yes	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0x6c454a…
08-29 10:52:49	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in August?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x73833e…
08-29 10:18:46	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in August?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x33def2…
08-29 06:36:00	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x1b4ad0…
08-29 06:03:42	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in August?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x4095c9…
08-29 06:02:12	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in August?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x04fd34…
08-29 02:01:33	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in August?	Yes	SELL	28	6¢	$2	0x9335e0…
08-28 22:02:15	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?	Yes	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0x35b084…
08-28 14:01:19	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x72d7dc…
08-28 06:07:52	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in August?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xeef0bc…
08-28 04:01:42	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdbe191…
08-27 19:36:22	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xf418ea…
08-27 19:22:45	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in August?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x0af3a8…
08-27 17:05:40	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x338764…