Likable-Share — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

Trades

439

lifetime

Volume

$9.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$174

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-11 11:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

65% 60% +$4

Politics

34% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 80% +$7

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+207	$195	82¢	$171	$-25	06-11 11:45
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes		+5	$9	66¢	$3	$-6	06-06 12:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	48	$1.8K	910	1,080	-170	open	—	06-08 12:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	48	$1.3K	813	762	+51	open	—	05-26 20:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	22	$851	450	450	+0	open	—	05-13 15:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	27	$438	287	266	+21	open	—	05-29 17:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	27	$370	357	150	+207	open	—	06-11 11:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$345	199	199	+0	open	—	02-11 11:31
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	4	$310	161	161	+0	open	—	01-21 11:17
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	8	$307	219	132	+86	open	—	01-27 11:25
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	11	$252	130	130	+0	open	—	06-02 07:28
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	14	$234	124	124	+0	open	—	06-02 11:00
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	3	$199	106	106	+0	open	—	01-21 11:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	10	$176	98	98	+0	open	—	05-13 08:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	15	$136	104	88	+16	open	—	05-29 17:29
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	10	$127	75	75	+0	open	—	05-29 17:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	7	$123	63	69	-6	open	—	05-29 17:30
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$121	48	80	-32	open	—	01-21 11:18
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	8	$120	79	75	+5	open	—	06-06 12:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	8	$99	61	61	+0	open	—	05-12 15:53
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	5	$97	104	0	+104	open	—	06-11 11:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	5	$86	47	47	+0	open	—	05-06 10:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$85	46	46	+0	open	—	01-21 11:15
us strike on colombia by march 31	2	$81	47	47	+0	open	—	01-16 03:55
us strike on colombia by january 31	2	$79	41	41	+0	open	—	01-16 03:54
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	4	$70	38	38	+0	open	—	05-21 18:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$59	34	34	+0	open	—	02-11 11:31
israel strikes iran by january 30 2026	2	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	01-28 11:14
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$51	29	29	+0	open	—	02-06 19:48
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	01-25 16:06
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	5	$46	57	0	+57	open	—	06-09 14:48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$42	0	68	-68	open	—	01-18 11:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 11:45:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x2c9b56…
06-11 11:43:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x244901…
06-11 11:43:42	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xacde92…
06-11 11:35:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x7602c7…
06-09 14:48:42	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	21	84¢	$17	0xf783b7…
06-08 12:41:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	247	98¢	$243	0xb008eb…
06-08 12:39:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	238	98¢	$234	0x27ac04…
06-08 11:36:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x8ef2ac…
06-06 12:29:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	186	98¢	$183	0x42d711…
06-06 12:28:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0xdf2566…
06-06 12:28:33	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x4315de…
06-06 12:27:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x0a7cb3…
06-06 12:26:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x985c3c…
06-05 15:00:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xac82b3…
06-05 14:31:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x828f72…
06-05 14:31:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x3666d0…
06-05 14:24:00	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x807c6c…
06-05 14:23:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x162443…
06-03 10:11:02	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$17	0x424af8…
06-03 05:22:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x9b4612…
06-03 05:10:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x897f85…
06-03 05:06:16	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7587ec…
06-03 05:05:36	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x893666…
06-03 03:08:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	105	97¢	$101	0x049ef4…
06-02 12:13:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xb5d9cb…
06-02 11:00:50	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x776a1e…
06-02 10:48:08	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc221a7…
06-02 10:13:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x93e6f9…
06-02 10:09:03	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdf06c1…
06-02 08:57:11	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x2f96bc…
06-02 08:48:47	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xfccaa5…
06-02 08:48:42	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xfa0089…
06-02 08:45:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x86682e…
06-02 07:28:10	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x09b702…
06-01 16:34:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x85c65f…
06-01 15:35:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9deab4…
06-01 15:35:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x88132a…
06-01 13:52:36	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0xa50f5e…
06-01 13:52:20	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x31d030…
06-01 13:52:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x800be6…
06-01 12:19:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x586947…
05-31 19:16:13	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5bfc0f…
05-31 16:48:29	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc45c31…
05-31 16:41:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xa37cbe…
05-31 16:40:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf89c69…
05-31 16:29:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb5841a…
05-31 16:28:36	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf63999…
05-31 03:42:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x345a3a…
05-31 03:40:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x96276a…
05-30 14:49:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd2cfb2…
05-30 14:49:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5c95b9…
05-30 14:48:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xa0f8e7…
05-30 14:48:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x29c650…
05-30 14:19:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xc5d85a…
05-30 14:19:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xd3b6f1…
05-30 12:58:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x46cff5…
05-30 10:21:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x12301b…
05-30 10:21:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2f6eee…
05-30 10:16:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xff83a7…
05-30 10:04:45	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3b2893…
05-30 10:04:26	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf6260a…
05-30 09:25:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0f8c38…
05-30 08:21:11	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x64fafc…
05-30 05:42:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xfd2484…
05-30 05:42:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc6e73f…
05-30 05:32:08	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	39	77¢	$30	0xe110de…
05-29 20:11:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xbd86ac…
05-29 20:06:49	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa3222b…
05-29 19:48:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x7c148d…
05-29 19:37:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbfc6d1…
05-29 19:29:34	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb75ef6…
05-29 18:51:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x677207…
05-29 18:44:31	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x5257c7…
05-29 18:42:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8b0fb9…
05-29 18:42:35	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x92bc3e…
05-29 18:41:53	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	24	83¢	$20	0x9dba4f…
05-29 18:28:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x9ba309…
05-29 18:23:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x332fd4…
05-29 18:21:18	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xfe423f…
05-29 18:20:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x2f6fc7…
05-29 18:14:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x0ddd91…
05-29 18:14:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x09ce5f…
05-29 17:50:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x0455c5…
05-29 17:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe46f23…
05-29 17:48:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x5b3758…
05-29 17:48:24	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0x14f89a…
05-29 17:47:52	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x320cae…
05-29 17:47:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x9cc801…
05-29 17:41:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	209	85¢	$177	0xf37e42…
05-29 17:41:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	282	85¢	$240	0xcb2eb6…
05-29 17:30:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$42	0xdf3686…
05-29 17:29:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0x350ad0…
05-29 17:29:00	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x2dc4a9…
05-29 17:28:34	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x8cc833…
05-29 17:27:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	26	56¢	$15	0x5a1832…
05-29 17:16:34	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x65016f…
05-29 17:16:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x339f3b…
05-29 17:11:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	35	78¢	$27	0xc2ef56…
05-29 16:41:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	51	56¢	$29	0xa7ae50…
05-29 11:22:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xedcb03…