Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
4
Trades
717
lifetime
Volume
$39.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$463
5 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 07-03 00:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
87% 75% +$0
Other
11%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +404 $196 42¢ $172 $-24 06-18 12:52
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +352 $100 24¢ $83 $-17 06-19 07:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +100 $53 74¢ $74 +$22 06-21 07:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -799 $-72 $-68 +$4 06-17 23:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +100 $66 66¢ $66 +$0 06-29 13:52