Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
5
lifetime
Volume
$542
lifetime
Avg / trade
$108
Open exposure
$549
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 03:04
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
94%
Other
6%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? Yes +312 $290 92¢ $287 $-3 05-05 11:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +210 $200 95¢ $199 $-1 05-06 03:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +154 $20 18¢ $27 +$7 05-05 13:47
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +25 $20 100¢ $25 +$5 05-05 16:54
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -16 $-12 67¢ $-11 +$2 05-05 14:57