Realized P&L (24h)
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
7
7 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$618
$618 lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$570
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 05:19
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
95%
Other
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? Yes +312 $290 92¢ $285 $-5 05-05 11:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +210 $200 95¢ $199 $-1 05-06 03:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No +64 $50 78¢ $50 $-0 05-06 05:19
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +25 $20 100¢ $25 +$5 05-05 16:54
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -16 $-12 66¢ $-11 +$2 05-05 14:57