Realized P&L (30d)
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
4
4 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$342
$342 lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$349
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 16:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
91%
Other
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? Yes +312 $290 92¢ $285 $-5 05-05 11:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +154 $20 18¢ $28 +$8 05-05 13:47
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +25 $20 100¢ $25 +$5 05-05 16:54
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -16 $-12 64¢ $-10 +$2 05-05 14:57