Realized P&L
+$5.93K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.56K
Hit rate
89.0%
Resolved
37,236
Trades
253,559
lifetime
Volume
$2.91M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$34.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 10-26 07:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 278 days
Categories
Other
76% 88% +$9,126
Politics
10% 88% -$228
Sports
8% 92% +$952
Crypto
4% 88% +$62
Tech
1% 74% -$3,753
Pop-Culture
0% 89% -$224
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 645 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +2,907 $2,888 100¢ $2.9K +$14 05-08 14:52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +2,907 $2,861 99¢ $2.9K +$22 05-08 14:52
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,907 $2,378 92¢ $2.7K +$311 05-08 14:52
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +2,407 $1,582 74¢ $1.8K +$187 05-08 14:52
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? No +1,564 $1,545 100¢ $1.6K +$16 08-20 14:31
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No +1,564 $1,545 100¢ $1.6K +$17 08-20 14:31
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No +1,564 $1,529 100¢ $1.6K +$31 08-20 14:31
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +1,560 $750 89¢ $1.4K +$639 08-20 14:31
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1,666 $1,202 80¢ $1.3K +$130 08-20 14:18
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +1,327 $1,300 98¢ $1.3K +$3 07-16 19:26
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +1,364 $1,353 90¢ $1.2K -$130 08-21 01:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,200 $1,052 99¢ $1.2K +$140 08-18 05:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,000 $987 99¢ $990 +$3 08-06 14:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,000 $986 97¢ $974 -$13 08-06 14:48
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +1,272 $708 70¢ $897 +$189 07-16 19:26
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? No +897 $895 100¢ $896 +$1 08-20 14:31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +2,447 $1,285 34¢ $844 -$441 05-08 14:52
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,362 $952 62¢ $838 -$115 07-02 19:55
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,219 $568 66¢ $811 +$243 05-19 16:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,000 $420 78¢ $785 +$365 08-06 14:48
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +771 $717 99¢ $761 +$43 07-06 00:51
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +718 $705 100¢ $717 +$12 06-14 15:42
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +1,327 $708 54¢ $710 +$2 07-16 19:26
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +718 $716 97¢ $695 -$21 06-14 15:42
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +858 $377 72¢ $613 +$237 06-20 20:18
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes -853 -$260 70¢ $-593 -$333 06-21 14:59
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +559 $546 100¢ $556 +$10 05-19 21:36
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +718 $540 76¢ $546 +$6 06-14 15:42
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +772 $686 68¢ $529 -$157 08-19 15:18
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,362 $377 38¢ $524 +$147 07-02 19:55