Realized P&L
-$119
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved
244
Trades
610
lifetime
Volume
$5.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$85
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 07-20 12:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
36% 47% -$36
Sports
23% 53% -$8
Crypto
23% 79% -$83
Politics
16% 57% +$9
Tech
2% 29% -$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-20).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -13 -$11 91¢ $-12 $0 05-06 03:30
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -5 -$4 99¢ $-5 -$1 05-07 16:40
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No -5 -$4 99¢ $-5 -$1 05-07 16:40
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 -$1 05-07 16:39
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 -$1 05-07 16:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No -5 -$2 98¢ $-5 -$3 05-03 11:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 -$1 05-07 16:39
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 -$1 05-07 16:40
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -5 -$2 96¢ $-5 -$2 05-07 16:29
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -5 -$2 94¢ $-5 -$2 05-07 16:37
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -5 -$3 94¢ $-5 -$1 05-07 16:40
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$4 93¢ $-5 -$1 05-07 16:40
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -5 -$3 92¢ $-5 -$1 05-03 11:22
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$3 89¢ $-4 -$2 05-07 16:29
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -5 $0 79¢ $-4 -$4 05-07 16:45
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -5 -$1 34¢ $-2 -$1 05-03 11:28
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -5 -$3 22¢ $-1 +$2 05-03 11:22
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -5 -$2 21¢ $-1 +$1 05-03 11:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -9 -$2 11¢ $-1 +$1 05-06 03:30
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$3 13¢ $-1 +$3 05-03 11:24
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes -5 -$1 8¢ $-0 +$1 05-07 16:37
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -9 -$2 4¢ $-0 +$2 05-07 16:22
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$3 6¢ $-0 +$3 05-03 11:23
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes -5 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 05-03 11:22