Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?
open
Total volume
$4,684
$20,923 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$33,109
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-11 11:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $3.7K
vs crowd: 99% YES on $4.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $3.7K | — | +$3.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $78 | $6 | +$72 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $706 | $39 | +$667 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $3.7K | — | +$3.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $78 | — | +$78 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 16 | $274 | — | +$274 |
| Below median | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $3 | $32 | $29 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 5 | $413 | $7 | +$406 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +4,005 | $3,679 | $3,679 | 2 | 05-08 20:16 |
| Subtle-Rediscovery 0x0813…5b41 | No | +640 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-10 05:41 |
| Cheap-Clinic 0x0e15…0e19 | Yes | +400 | $384 | $384 | 1 | 05-10 08:29 |
| Well-Worn-Traveler 0x91fc…54c9 | No | +303 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 20:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x05a3…dc43 | Yes | +244 | $234 | $234 | 1 | 05-10 05:27 |
| Aware-Bachelor 0xe744…f96e | Yes | +85 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 05-08 14:35 |
| These-Compromise 0x71a7…6fcf | No | +66 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 13:14 |
| Woeful-Campaign 0x7a2e…efb8 | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 03:09 |
| Miserly-Signup 0x3094…32e2 | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:49 |
| Agitated-Dogwood 0x1690…9d6c | Yes | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 07:49 |
| Valid-Snake-Thunderbolt 0x19d0…7d9a | Yes | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 11:08 |
| Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | Yes | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x3296…e803 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| Shocked-Birthday 0x3d35…8b0e | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 22:24 |
| Quarrelsome-Earring 0x23ef…0112 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 22:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x4102…f45a | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa117…7411 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 22:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ceb…7b4e | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 22:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e3d…bd04 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 22:24 |
| Lively-Photography 0x1173…eb6e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 22:24 |
| Profuse-Cargo 0x28be…03fc | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 22:24 |
| Little-Ottoman 0xf3fe…e7f8 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| Immaterial-Dome 0xc685…9c2e | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xf34e…a87b | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xbaae…fbb0 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa3c…bd7a | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 20:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 11:08:11 | Valid-Snake-Thunderbolt 0x19d0…7d9a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x7aee44… |
| 05-11 08:15:13 | Ethical-Exploration 0xbcee…4531 | Yes | SELL | 155 | 99¢ | $153 | 0x372794… |
| 05-11 03:09:17 | Woeful-Campaign 0x7a2e…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x024e34… |
| 05-11 02:40:53 | (anonymous) 0x9103…225b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x32f496… |
| 05-10 20:46:46 | Well-Worn-Traveler 0x91fc…54c9 | No | BUY | 303 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x7f2b69… |
| 05-10 08:29:33 | Cheap-Clinic 0x0e15…0e19 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 96¢ | $384 | 0xc33e53… |
| 05-10 07:49:41 | Agitated-Dogwood 0x1690…9d6c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x71d05b… |
| 05-10 05:41:19 | Subtle-Rediscovery 0x0813…5b41 | No | BUY | 640 | 5¢ | $32 | 0x75ed9b… |
| 05-10 05:27:02 | (anonymous) 0x05a3…dc43 | Yes | BUY | 244 | 96¢ | $234 | 0x557850… |
| 05-08 20:16:45 | Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x0cf4a8… |
| 05-08 20:16:35 | (anonymous) 0x9103…225b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x2c8a66… |
| 05-08 20:16:35 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x0bdd14… |
| 05-08 20:16:33 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xc862a9… |
| 05-08 20:16:33 | (anonymous) 0x3296…e803 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xc95395… |
| 05-08 20:16:33 | (anonymous) 0x4102…f45a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x458a20… |
| 05-08 20:16:33 | Immaterial-Dome 0xc685…9c2e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6f98a8… |
| 05-08 20:16:33 | (anonymous) 0xaa3c…bd7a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x367883… |
| 05-08 20:16:33 | (anonymous) 0xf34e…a87b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x1433bb… |
| 05-08 20:16:33 | (anonymous) 0xbaae…fbb0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xc0a043… |
| 05-08 20:16:33 | (anonymous) 0x1ceb…7b4e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xf2faaa… |
| 05-08 20:16:33 | Little-Ottoman 0xf3fe…e7f8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x19d7d9… |
| 05-08 20:16:33 | Profuse-Cargo 0x28be…03fc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x94b846… |
| 05-08 20:16:33 | Shocked-Birthday 0x3d35…8b0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x085e4f… |
| 05-08 20:16:31 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 3,869 | 92¢ | $3,559 | 0xfa933f… |
| 05-08 14:35:13 | Aware-Bachelor 0xe744…f96e | Yes | BUY | 85 | 92¢ | $78 | 0xb13911… |
| 05-08 13:14:43 | These-Compromise 0x71a7…6fcf | No | BUY | 66 | 9¢ | $6 | 0xf0bb76… |
| 05-08 05:18:45 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xa1cd95… |
| 05-07 22:24:54 | Lively-Photography 0x1173…eb6e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x17a9ba… |
| 05-07 22:24:44 | Quarrelsome-Earring 0x23ef…0112 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xcc0f28… |
| 05-07 22:24:44 | Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xab36c8… |
| 05-07 22:24:35 | (anonymous) 0xa117…7411 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x0b06ee… |
| 05-07 22:24:33 | (anonymous) 0x5e3d…bd04 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x9c4e6b… |
| 05-07 22:24:33 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xedcbdc… |
| 05-07 22:24:33 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 136 | 88¢ | $120 | 0x615ec6… |
| 05-07 22:24:33 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xa51b1f… |
| 05-07 11:49:17 | Miserly-Signup 0x3094…32e2 | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8a0aa1… |